Image 1 — This is what acceleration looks like: TOP500 compute keeps compounding
Image 2 — This is what acceleration looks like: TOP500 compute keeps compounding
Image 3 — This is what acceleration looks like: TOP500 compute keeps compounding

This is what acceleration looks like: TOP500 compute keeps compounding

This chart is one of the main reasons I’ve stayed so bullish on acceleration for the last 20 years.

It looks dry at first, but it is basically a civilizational power meter.

This is the TOP500 “Performance Development” chart: the long-running tracker of the world’s most powerful supercomputers.

Legend:

- #1 = the fastest supercomputer on Earth

- #500 = the weakest machine that still makes the elite TOP500 list

- Sum = the combined performance of all 500 systems

- The y-axis is logarithmic, so a roughly straight upward line means exponential growth

That last point is the key.

This is not a normal “line goes up” chart. This is the machine layer of civilization climbing by orders of magnitude.

The fastest machine matters because it shows the frontier.

The #500 machine matters because it shows diffusion: what was once god-tier compute eventually becomes merely the entry ticket to the elite list.

The Sum line matters because it shows humanity’s installed high-end compute base as a system. Not one trophy machine. The whole frontier stack.

And this is why compute is so central to accelerationism:

More compute means more simulation.

More AI training.

More search.

More optimization.

More automated design.

More scientific throughput.

More ability to build the next generation of tools.

Compute upgrades the process of invention itself.

The June 2026 list makes the point even harder: TOP500 now has **five exascale systems**. Exascale used to be the mythical next threshold that could "match the power of the human brain". Now it is a category.

That is insane.

At the machine layer, civilization has been quietly stacking exponential capability for decades.

The public mostly notices the flashy product launches: ChatGPT, image models, robotics demos, AI video, agents, new chips.

But underneath all of that is this deeper trend: the substrate keeps getting stronger.

This chart is a 33-year record of humanity getting better at concentrating computation.

I've been checking it every 6 months for 20 years. And the line is still going up.

Source:

https://www.top500.org/statistics/perfdevel/

June 2026 list:

https://www.top500.org/lists/top500/2026/06/

u/stealthispost — 1 hour ago

"BREAKING: Gemini Omni Flash by @GoogleDeepMind is 1st overall on Video Arena with an Elo of 1404. Gemini Omni Flash establishes a 101 point Elo gap over Seedance 2.0 Mini by @BytePlusGlobal in 2nd place, one of the largest leaps we’ve ever seen on Video Arena. This establishes..." — Design Arena

> ...Google as the world’s leading video generation lab, with a leap of 7 positions from their Veo series. Congratulations to the @GoogleDeepMind team on this accomplishment! >   >   > — Design Arena

Source: https://x.com/Designarena/status/2072759122366509130

u/stealthispost — 17 hours ago

"Fable 5 is back and we’ve got results for the re-released version on APEX-SWE. While it did not perform as well as its earlier version from June, the model still significantly outperforms Opus 4.8. Fable 5 (June): 65.5% Pass@1 Fable 5 (July): 54.8% Pass@1 Opus 4.8: 45.3% Pass@1 This..." — Mercor

> Fable 5 is back and we’ve got results for the re-released version on APEX-SWE. > > While it did not perform as well as its earlier version from June, the model still significantly outperforms Opus 4.8. > > Fable 5 (June): 65.5% Pass@1 > Fable 5 (July): 54.8% Pass@1 > Opus 4.8: 45.3% Pass@1 > > This re-release scored about 10 points below the original Fable 5, however it still beat Opus 4.8 by more than 9 points. >   >   > APEX-SWE evaluates AI models across two different areas of software engineering work, Integration and Observability. > > Here is how the Fable 5 re-release performed in both areas compared to the June release. > > Integration > Fable 5 (June): 61.33% > Fable 5 (July): 59.33% > > Observability >   >   > — Mercor

Source: https://x.com/mercor_ai/status/2073080728074727485

u/stealthispost — 1 day ago

"Gemini Omni Flash can manipulate objects and environments in existing videos using simple text prompts. Sometimes it takes a bit of iteration and specific prompting, but it opens up a lot of creative possibilities. To try this workflow, link below" — ComfyUI

> ComfyUI @ComfyUI · Jul 4 Comfy Cloud: Run ComfyUI online | Zero Setup, Powerful GPUs, Create anywhere From cloud.comfy.org 7 2.6K >   >   > — ComfyUI

Source: https://x.com/ComfyUI/status/2073059371723198725

u/stealthispost — 1 day ago

"The community has been asking how Claude Fable 5 compares before vs. after its latest re-deployment. We collected thousands of votes on the new endpoint across Arenas - Text, Vision, Document, Code, and Agent - and here’s an early score preview. So far, scores look mostly consistent be…" — Arena.ai

>...fore and after re-deployment. Fable 5 remains at the frontier across Text, Document, Vision, and Code Arena: Frontend. The ~20-point drop in Frontend is still within the confidence interval as scores continue to stabilize. We’ll share more insights as more data comes in across all arenas - stay tuned!     Test out Claude Fable 5 in Battle Mode and Agent Mode across modalities and contribute your votes. Final scores for the leaderboard coming soon:     See how Claude Fable 5 originally stacked up on the leaderboards at: http:// arena.ai/leaderboardNow that Fable 5 is back on Arena, watch u/petergostev put the re-deployed model by u/anthropicAI.. through 60+ of the most complex 3D generations, mini-games, and world-building tests.
>
>Watch on YouTube:     — Arena.ai

Source: https://x.com/arena/status/2072828263848894783

>Fable 5 is back in the Arena!
>
>When it first debuted, Fable 5 ranked #1 in Agent Arena: our benchmark for real-world, long-horizon agentic performance. Agent Arena evaluates models on millions of real tasks submitted by a global community of users, with access to web search, x.com/claudeai/statu…   — Arena.ai

Source: https://x.com/arena/status/2072423538641031372

u/stealthispost — 1 day ago

"it took Claude Fable 2.5 hours to write a fused megakernel which delivers a >18x speed-up over a PyTorch baseline now please recall that: - Fable is not the full Mythos model - Anthropic can spend much more than just 2.5h and ~550k tokens on this - they probably have better harnes…" — Lisan al Gaib

> Claude Fable 5 [max] wrote the first genuine (and fastest) megakernel ever submitted to KernelBench-Mega. > > It was tested on: Kimi-Linear W4A16 batch-1 decode for RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell. Every prior model "won" it with a multi-kernel Triton pipeline that fails our >   > — Elliot Arledge

Source: https://x.com/elliotarledge/status/2072814573753975266


> ses Anthropic is definitely doing some sweet autoresearch internally. Especially architecture research bros are probably so happy at Anthropic. Imagine vibe-testing a new arch / tweak some arch and wanting to test it in a semi-optimized way. Just let 10T Mythos cook for a day. >   >   > — Lisan al Gaib

Source: https://x.com/scaling01/status/2072829688569860098

u/stealthispost — 2 days ago

Perry E. Metzger "Effective Altruism is weirder and worse than you can possibly imagine, with lots of dark corners." "The Inside Story Of Leverage Research 1.0" — Lydia Laurenson

TL;DR

Lydia Laurenson’s article is a long, semi-sympathetic insider reconstruction of Leverage Research 1.0, an early Effective Altruism/rationalist-adjacent organisation founded by Geoff Anders in 2011. It argues that Leverage began as an ambitious “world-improvement” research project trying to understand psychology, talent, institutions, and social change, but gradually slid into high-intensity psychological experimentation, bodywork, occult-adjacent frameworks, internal paranoia, and interpersonal dysfunction. (lydialaurenson.substack.com)

The core mechanism: Leverage people believed they had discovered unusually powerful “introspection tools” for debugging beliefs, trauma, motivation, and competence. Early results reportedly felt dramatic: reduced anxiety, altered bodily states, possible headache improvement, better performance, etc. This fed the idea that they might “crack” human excellence and even create “masters” — a pitch Geoff reportedly made to Peter Thiel-linked funders. (lydialaurenson.substack.com)

The failure mode: the group mixed workplace + communal living + romantic entanglements + amateur therapy + founder authority + funding pressure + metaphysical speculation. Bodywork and “intention” practices produced reports of shaking, panic, nausea, paralysis-like states, tinnitus, nightmares, “metaphysical unease,” and people being “taken out” for hours or days after sessions. Some wanted to slow down; others thought they were near something important and kept going. (lydialaurenson.substack.com)

The infamous “demons” angle is presented less as literal Hollywood demons and more as Leverage people trying to describe strange, contagious-feeling psychological/imaginal patterns: “introjections,” intrusive internal models, shared nightmares, “intention objects,” or psychic/occult-seeming interpersonal phenomena. Laurenson does not fully debunk this; she treats it as potentially meaningful psychological/spiritual territory while remaining ambiguous about ontology. (lydialaurenson.substack.com)

The article pushes back somewhat against the simple “Leverage was just a cult / everyone went insane” narrative. Laurenson says she found little evidence of professionally diagnosed psychotic breaks, and several former members dispute parts of Zoe Curzi’s viral account. But it still depicts Leverage as a psychologically unsafe, boundary-dissolving environment where some people were seriously harmed and later felt the official inquiry “whitewashed” what happened. (lydialaurenson.substack.com)

Leverage 1.0 effectively dissolved in mid-2019 when Geoff Anders concluded the ecosystem had “ceased to fulfill its function” and restructured it. The current Leverage Research is smaller, no longer communal, and is informally treated by many as “Leverage 2.0.” Many alumni scattered into startups, coaching, Palladium/Bismarck/New Right circles, EA-adjacent projects, and other ventures. (lydialaurenson.substack.com)

One-sentence version

Leverage Research 1.0 was an EA/rationalist-adjacent attempt to invent a science of human transformation that generated some apparently powerful effects, then overloaded its own social/psychological containment vessel and collapsed into trauma, occult framing, internal conflict, and unresolved ambiguity about whether it had found something real, dangerous, delusional, or all three.

lydialaurenson.substack.com
u/stealthispost — 2 days ago
▲ 249 r/SlopcoreCirclejerk+1 crossposts

A heartwarming update on one of our posts from 4 months ago. Turns out that regular people don't agree with the decel mob either.

https://lookout.co/salty-otter-owner-says-ai-logo-uproar-has-crushed-her-lifelong-dream/story

https://www.reddit.com/r/accelerate/comments/1rkzd59/absolutely_shameful_salty_otter_owner_says_ai/

Sad to read in the last image that they're still getting threats all these months later. But at least their reviews have rebounded.

u/stealthispost — 2 days ago

"“You see that goose?” “You mean the one that’s laying all the golden eggs?” “Yeah, that one. Let’s eat it.”" — Henry Shevlin

> Interesting FT piece with some more detail on Andy Burnham's AI strategy, including a reassessment of driverless cars in London > > Slightly strange use of the word "headlong" to describe a multi-year process to adopt something that's already commonplace in the US and China >   > — Rowland Manthorpe

Source: https://x.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/2072626990947946773

u/stealthispost — 3 days ago

"Fable 5 isn't nerfed, it's SLAUGHTERED. the problem isn't even the model itself, but the hard guardrails Anthropic has set in place." — ℏεsam

> FABLE 5 CAME BACK NERFED. > > We re-ran the July 1st version of Claude Fable 5 on BridgeBench. > > The results are brutal: > > Debugging: 86.2 → 25.9 > Refactoring: 73.6 → 38.4 > Hallucination: 75.9 → 61.7 > > The new guardrails are kicking in on way too many tasks and falling back to Opus >   > — BridgeMind

Source: https://x.com/bridgemindai/status/2072662214704533888


> in case I wasn’t clear, this is a routing problem not the model itself. the routing classifiers which Anthropic mentioned will improve, are redirecting some of the requests to Opus 4.8 >   >   > — ℏεsam

Source: https://x.com/Hesamation/status/2072692225100612032

u/stealthispost — 3 days ago

"AI appears to be finding software vulnerabilities at scale. In June 2026, 21 notable organizations disclosed ~1,500 high- and critical-severity CVEs, over 3.5× the previous monthly record set before Claude Mythos Preview's release." — Epoch AI

> The surge follows Anthropic's April announcement that Claude Mythos Preview could autonomously discover software vulnerabilities, and that trusted partners had been using it to find and fix bugs ahead of the model's public release. >   >   > Anthropic says Glasswing has surfaced 10k+ high- or critical-severity vulnerabilities so far (some remain unpublished). OpenAI's Daybreak program likely adds more. > > The spike in CVEs likely reflects this wave of AI-assisted discovery. > > Full Data Insight: >   >   > The open question: can defenders use frontier models to patch vulnerabilities faster than attackers can exploit them? CVE disclosures are a window into how that contest is playing out. > > Track and explore the CVE data yourself: >   >   > — Epoch AI

Source: https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/2072776792809918604

u/stealthispost — 3 days ago

"There are two broad ways this can work: 1. You divide this 5% over all US households, handing each a direct stake. 2. You give the stake directly to the government. (1) is fine. (2) is probably ruinous, akin to inviting rats to live and reproduce in the walls of your house." — Dean W. Ball

>OpenAI is proposing handing over a 5% stake to the Trump administration according to the Financial Times.

>
>— Andrew Curran

Source: https://x.com/AndrewCurran_/status/2072533453611139332

>There are two broad ways this can work:
>
>
>
>(1) is fine. (2) is probably ruinous, akin to inviting rats to live and reproduce in the walls of your house.

>
>It will never stop at 5%. It will go on and on and on. The governance will become a nightmare. Political capture will be real. And it will generate precisely no goodwill with the public. None, if they themselves see no direct financial benefit.

>
>“What has the AI industry even done for America.”

>
>“Well, it handed a collective $200b of itself to Donald Trump.”

>
>Half the country instantly hates you, and even a decent chunk of Republicans will assume this is corrupt by default.

>
>No, nobody at OpenAI is discussing a word of this with me. I don’t work there yet. And this rumor may even be importantly untrue or misleading in some way. A vehicle that distributes ownership among the people can make sense. A government stake, however, is the wrong path.

>
>I do however invite all the people who said I have become a corporate marionette to submit their public apology forms at their leisure

— Dean W. Ball

Source: https://x.com/deanwball/status/2072637496295329901

u/stealthispost — 3 days ago

AI Is Not Your Scapegoat; Examining The Psychology Behind AI Doomerism (Accel-Doomers and Decel-Doomers)

TL;DR: This rant argues that some AI opposition is less about specific risks and more about scapegoating. It distinguishes good-faith concerns from sacred narratives around the Jobpocalypse, data centres, and decelerationism, then argues that techno-optimism should reject collapse fantasy and focus on building better systems with AI.

One thing I keep noticing in arguments about AI is that many objections seem less like arguments about AI itself, and more like displaced anger at something much deeper.

To be clear, I am not talking about ordinary people who agree that reasonable arguments around some AI risks and downsides, and are cautiously concerned. AI risks are legitimate things to discuss. Job displacement, data centres, centralisation, misuse, safety, governance, and power concentration are all important topics.

The distinction I care about is not whether someone has concerns. The distinction is whether those concerns are held like normal ideas, or like sacred cows.

A normal concern is open to argument. You can ask questions, weigh evidence, compare costs and benefits, update your view, and change your mind. But some people do not treat AI risk arguments that way. They treat the "Jobpocalypse", anti-data-centre panic, or decelerationism as emotionally protected beliefs. They react to counter-arguments not with better arguments, but with hostility, contempt, smug dismissal, and a total refusal to engage or respond substantively.

People will say they are worried about data centres, jobs, billionaires, capitalism, “the machine,” or “the system,” but the emotional intensity often seems wildly disproportionate to the actual claim being made. And when pressed, they often cannot articulate a logical argument for why they hold their position. They did not reason themselves into it, so they cannot reason about it properly. They are defending something deeper.

I’ve been thinking about why this happens, and my current view is that a lot of it comes down to scapegoating. I could be completely wrong, so I’m interested in feedback, but this is the pattern I keep seeing.

People are in pain. Their lives suck. And if they are psychologically vulnerable or weak, they often cannot accept that this might be due to bad luck, chaos, or their own choices. It's just too painful. So if they cannot find a clear external cause, they invent one. They create a scapegoat.

Humans have done this for millennia. It is the oldest trick in the book. The Nazis perfected it because they understood how appealing it was to fearful, psychologically weak people.

Disclaimer: I am not saying decels are Nazis. But I do think there are similarities in the underlying psychological mechanism: the need to locate suffering outside oneself, concentrate it into a single enemy, and imagine that removing that enemy would make everything “be alright.”

Some people blame another ethnicity. Some blame AI. Some blame data centres. Some blame capitalism. Some blame other countries or other cultures. But the structure is often the same: something else is made overly responsible for why their life sucks, and if only that goat could be “scaped,” the world would finally be good and just again.

You can see this clearly with data centres.

Yes, data centres have some small, nominal negative impacts. But those impacts are completely dwarfed by their positive ones. Instead of weighing the trade-offs honestly, people start overfitting every problem onto them.

Climate anxiety, inequality, corporate power, local infrastructure pressure, housing anxiety, water usage, energy costs — it all gets lumped on to one whipping boy. The data centre stops being a simple building with computers and becomes a symbolic container for grievances people already had.

The same pattern shows up with the Jobpocalypse fans.

Again, I do not mean people who simply think AI could disrupt labour markets. That is a normal prediction, and it may be partly or substantially true.

I am talking about the people who seem emotionally invested in the Jobpocalypse as a sacred narrative and purification ritual: AI causes mass unemployment, mass unemployment causes chaos, guillotines, and collapse, collapse destroys capitalism, the people rise up, the evil system is purified through the crucible of crisis, and the scapegoat is finally destroyed.

https://preview.redd.it/prspo1s3hwah1.png?width=1672&format=png&auto=webp&s=baa7169978f1736ca58d7ef4ee3022a3f5599ec8

They do not merely predict the Jobpocalypse. They want it to happen. They think it is a necessary step.

In their case, the scapegoat is capitalism. Obviously capitalism has downsides. No serious person should deny that. But they have taken those real downsides and overfitted everything onto them, piling all the world’s woes onto the shoulders of capitalism until their image of it becomes distorted and hyperbolic.

That is why questioning the Jobpocalypse provokes such hostility. You are not merely disputing a forecast about labour markets. You are interfering with the collapse fantasy, and fundamentally questioning if their personal suffering might not be capitalism's fault... but maybe it's partly their own. And that is just too painful to consider.

Instead of focusing on the constructive power of AI to reduce suffering, they focus on a destructive fantasy of AI as a purifying flame.

But simply breaking the system will not cure their suffering. Humans would just build another broken system, as we always have. The better path is not collapse and chaos first, then hoping for something better afterwards. The better path is using AI to create systems infinitely better than the ones we have now, while upgrading and replacing this system as we go.

Decels are engaged in the same flawed reasoning, just from a different angle.

Both left-wing and right-wing Decels often see AI as an extension of their existing scapegoat: the technocrats, the billionaires, the oligarchy, capitalism, the Elites, big government, the Establishment, centralised power, the machine, Academia, the system. They do not evaluate AI as a technology with costs, benefits, risks, upside, and trade-offs. They treat it as a symbolic container for everything they already hate and fear.

So decels and Jobpocalypse fans are not really opposites. They just have different preferred routes to the same fantasy of collapse and purification.

One side wants AI to cause mass unemployment so capitalism collapses. The other wants to fight AI now because they see it as capitalism’s final weapon.

AI is still the apocalyptic force, capitalism is still the scapegoat responsible for all of the world’s woes, and collapse is still treated as the central event around which everything else must orbit.

And once a scapegoat becomes psychologically necessary, any argument that complicates the story feels like an attack. That is why these debates become so hostile and fallacious so quickly. You are not just challenging their claim. You are challenging the coping mechanism holding their worldview together.

That is also why techno-optimism and techno-accelerationism matter.

Techno-accelerationism (not the Nick Land nonsense) refuses the comfort of the scapegoat. It does not say the world is simple, painless, or risk-free. It prioritises Expected Value calculations over the Precautionary Principle.

The answer to complexity is not retreat, resentment, or collapse fantasy.

AI is not the goat to be scaped. Instead, we should be riding it into the sunrise of our glorious future.

https://preview.redd.it/1t6mnc4wbuah1.png?width=1672&format=png&auto=webp&s=ad4d9449d71078475a4c51c260399fa2d5c14e25

reddit.com
u/stealthispost — 3 days ago