UPDATE: 2 more months of Front of the Line pause. USCIS has stopped processing I-130 consular cases. Why?
Update to this post from two months ago: https://www.reddit.com/r/USCIS/comments/1rr3vag/uscis_has_stopped_processing_i130_consular_cases/
TL;DR: The latest new approvals for consular processing are from the second half of February, then it came to a halt.
UPDATE:
Two months later, still no new approvals for I-130 (this part is handled stricly by USCIS in consular processing). AOS cases seem unaffected.
Why isn't there any information regarding this limbo? Why are consular cases left in the dust? Why is this "front of the line" pause happening?
We only have gossip and speculation. Current possible reasons:
1. Increased vetting / enhanced security checks
Recent reporting suggests this may be a factor. However, those reports indicate the policy was introduced around the end of April, while the slowdown in consular processing has been ongoing for over three months already.
2. SCOPS employees moved to field offices
There's no official public confirmation. This has been mentioned in a TMV blog post and discussed on r/fednews (some posts were reportedly removed).
Based on those discussions, it appears that many primarily remote workers are being reassigned to field offices and retrained to handle additional petitions - mainly AOS - and to conduct interviews.
Some employees reportedly live far from any field office, suggesting this may function as a de facto return-to-office mandate that could lead to resignations.
3. USCIS is clearing older cases
Partially true. Recent approvals are for older priority dates. However, overall approval volume appears to have slowed significantly. If cases were being processed at previous speeds, the backlog should be clearing faster, with a much higher number of older approvals by now.
4. Re-vetting green cards from the previous administration
There are indications that resources may be redirected toward re-reviewing previously approved cases. If so, this could further reduce capacity for processing new applications.(Source: https://x.com/USCISJoe/status/2048056901825437865)
5. Government shutdown
This was one of the leading theories months ago, as it has impacted DHS and background checks. However, processing has been ongoing normally during previous government shutdowns, and this one ending didn't influence Front of the Line pause.
Are there any other theories or information?
Why is it that just consular cases are affected? We are talking ONLY about the I-130 Front of The Line stalling. This is strictly under USCIS, not related to NVC or embassy level interviews.