u/tornavec

Since the second half of April, the prices of Ethereum and Bitcoin have diverged by 12%. While the ETH price traded sideways for the first ten days of May, the BTC price continued to rise steadily. Following a minor correction in the price of Bitcoin, the market capitalisation of Ethereum dropped by 10%.

A similar situation occurred in late January, when the resulting divergence in prices foreshadowed a 20% drop in BTC. Analysing data from 2020 onwards reveals that Ethereum’s declines amid Bitcoin’s growth have served as a leading indicator in 85% of cases.

Crypto investors often shift their holdings to BTC when fundamental forecasts are negative. While this does not prevent Bitcoin from declining under pressure from external circumstances, the loss in market capitalisation is lower than that of altcoins.

A divergence signal between BTC and ETH merely indicates a likely decline, rather than predicting a trend reversal. Bitcoin has passed the low point of the crypto winter and is now in a global growth cycle driven by the 2028 halving event.

Shiba Inu's three-day decline slowed at the $0.0000057 support level. This is the final line of defence: breaking below this level could lead to Shiba Inu hitting new all-time lows. Below this level on the chart, there are no significant price levels that could halt the sell-off of the meme coin.

The overall fundamental backdrop is negative for the cryptocurrency market. The new Fed chair will be unable to cut rates due to surging inflation; Trump plans to resume strikes against Iran; and the vote on the Clarity Act is only three days away.

SHIB is currently ranked 29th on CoinMarketCap. The sell-off will accelerate as soon as the meme coin drops out of the top 30.

Motley Fool freelance stock market analyst Manali Pradhan predicts that SHIB’s price will drop to zero by the end of 2026. She emphasises that, with a 93% drop in market capitalisation, the token’s supply is enormous at 589.5 trillion coins. Furthermore, 60% of the market cap is controlled by whales across 10 wallets.

The sale of even a portion of these holdings could trigger a sharp decline that retail investors would be unable to offset. Furthermore, the developers have failed to establish the Shiba Inu ecosystem. They have attempted to develop the technology, yet the token continues to be associated with a Dogecoin clone by institutional investors.

Analysts are highlighting the $82K level for Bitcoin, where prices formed either a double top or a 'head and shoulders' pattern. Both of these are reversal signals, which is precisely what occurred on the chart, followed by a fall below the previous support level of $80K.

However, on-chain data reveals a more intriguing battle between short-term (STH) holders and Bitcoin whales.

The $80K level marks the average entry price for STH holders, who began to take profits as prices increased. It was these sales that triggered Bitcoin’s three-day decline from 11 to 13 May. The bulls' attempt to push the price back above $80k led to Friday's panic sell-off. STH transactions accounted for 97% of all Bitcoin sales.

Evidently, a BTC price below $80K is highly attractive to whales. They secretly purchased $24 billion worth of the cryptocurrency. All trades were conducted through OTC desks to minimise the impact on Bitcoin’s price. Interest from bulls was so strong that the market experienced a rare moment where OTC volumes dominated CEX volumes by 69% to 31%.

Here’s the result. As the chart shows, the bulls gave up the $80K level, with the closing prices of two candles falling below the support line. However, the secret deals indicate significant Bitcoin accumulation.

TRX broke through the $0.3550 mark yesterday, hitting a new yearly high that was last set on May 10. The altcoin's rise coincided with transaction numbers hitting 13.11 million in a single day. That's an all-time record for activity on the Tron network since it launched.

Stablecoin transfers are the main driver, keeping the daily average above 10 million transactions. Daily fee revenue on the Tron blockchain overtook Hyperliquid by about 100k, hitting 1.30 million.

Network profitability is the first thing institutional investors are looking at these days. An inflow of their money could push TRX quotes up to $0.37. That's last year's high, and for technical reasons, breaking through it won't be easy at all.

In two days, Bitcoin could be sitting at $90K or down around $65K. . Those are the nearest strong resistance and support levels. Everything else, the price will just blow right through depending on how the Senate vote goes.

If lawmakers don't pass the Clarity Act on May 14, they'll head off on break, and the bill will get pushed to the end of the year because of the midterms. In that case, it's a dump. Everyone and their mother will be selling Bitcoin. If it passes, the act will finally lay out clear rules for what counts as a security in crypto and make stablecoins legal. That would open the real liquidity floodgates, and Bitcoin would be looking at a pump.

Judging by on‑chain data, whales are getting ready for a dump scenario. They've sold 27.6 thousand BTC over the past month. Yesterday, within just a few hours, sell orders went through for 1,481 BTC, then 2,886 BTC, and another 1,181 BTC.

On the Polymarket prediction platform, the odds of the law passing in 2026 are around 67%. Analysts are calling it a 50/50 toss‑up. So what's an ordinary crypto investor supposed to do here? Hedge with options? Wait for the drop and average down? Or just buy Bitcoin right now?

Justin Sun has built a reputation as someone who knows how to spin up news to pump TRX. At the end of April, the Tron founder even managed to turn a pretty nasty event to his advantage.

Sun got involved with the Trump family's projects after he was elected US president. But the $276 million he'd put into World Liberty Finance tokens got unexpectedly frozen after they were unlocked back in September 2025.

Justin Sun waited seven months, and then, as TRX was hitting new highs again in late April, he spotted a perfect news hook to drive the price even higher. By that time, the US president's approval rating had hit rock bottom, and just about everyone was accusing his family of making money off crypto.

On April 21, Sun filed a lawsuit against World Liberty Finance. It was a real information bomb. Sun is the only person in crypto who wasn't afraid to pick a fight with the famously thin‑skinned Trump. At first, TRX dipped, but then it shot up with ten straight days of gains in May!

Suddenly, the names of Trump's sons disappeared from the list of people tied to the project on World Liberty Finance's website. Donald Trump Jr. had to explain himself at the Consensus Miami conference. He claimed there was an "information attack" in the media and that they aren't going anywhere.

Maybe Sun's marketing team stirred up the social media posts. Or perhaps the Tron founder figured the president's family wouldn't want to reveal just how deep they're into crypto, especially if that would come out in court?

In fact, the "Meet our team" section on World Liberty Finance's website, where the sons' faces used to appear, has now been removed. Word is, it's due to a restructuring of the "Super Nodes" program.

Meanwhile, TRX has cleared $0.35 and looks well-positioned to take a shot at last year's high of $0.37.

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Dogecoin took the top spot for weekly gains among the top 10 cryptocurrencies. In the top 30, the biggest memecoin only trailed behind TAO and ZEC. The chart shows how just three days of gains pumped DOGE's market cap by a full 12%.

This surge is tied to big news. The memecoin is set to become a "public" coin after Shuttle Pharmaceutical Holdings merges with United Dogecoin Inc. The new company, whose shares will be widely traded on the stock exchange, will start mining DOGE right away, instantly grabbing 1.5% of the network's total hash rate. The mined memecoins will be held in reserve, and the company will also buy additional coins from the open market, copying Michael Saylor's playbook.

As a result, Dogecoin will get a boost from institutional investors buying shares on the stock exchange. Those investors will help the company raise more capital to buy even more DOGE. Mining will kick off with a farm of 3,000 ASICs from ElphaPex. A steady rise in hash rate will ensure network security for DOGE holders. And expanding the memecoin's treasury will create a supply shortage, pushing its price higher.

Analysts are busy debating whether Bitcoin can break through the $80K level, riding the sharp rally seen in the first days of May. Meanwhile, whales are quietly loading up on tokenized gold. Large transaction share in Tether Gold has hit 9.34%, with PAX Gold not far behind at 4.28%. These are the highest readings since November 2025, pointing to a growing rotation out of Bitcoin and into gold-backed tokens.

Oddly enough, these purchases in PAX Gold and Tether Gold came right as physical gold was taking a notable hit. After climbing to around $5,600 earlier in 2026, the price has since pulled back into the $4,500–$4,800 range.

This kind of behavior points to a new playbook emerging among crypto investors. Buying gold-backed tokens lets them keep capital liquid and within easy reach — ready to rotate back into Bitcoin at a moment's notice. At the same time, buying into the dip lets them spread risk during a period of broader macroeconomic uncertainty.

Tron (TRX) hit a new yearly high six times in April, outperforming both Bitcoin and most altcoins in terms of growth. The reason for TRX's rise was the activity on the Tron network. According to DeFiLama, the number of transactions grew by 53.76% last month, and active addresses rose by 46.72%.

The TRX trend correction in the latter half of April was triggered by a technical "double top" signal. However, when the price fell below $0.32, Tron Inc. stepped in – the company has been steadily buying the altcoin on dips to hold in its treasury. That move stabilized prices, and yesterday TRX bounced off a key Fibonacci retracement level (23.6%). So the correction won't last long, and the altcoin should quickly return to its yearly highs.

Further price action will depend on fundamentals and the overall demand for crypto. Crypto investors will also be watching Justin Sun's battle with Donald Trump's family over the World Liberty Financial case

Yesterday's breakdown of Bitcoin's rising trend support line on the daily chart could turn into a serious correction — for both obvious and less obvious reasons. Basic technical analysis tells us that a few candle closes below the trend line are enough to confirm a breakout.

Every trend needs to go through a correction phase before it can push higher, but in the current setup, this breakdown has a real shot at turning into a full-on sell-off. On the Ethereum blockchain, there's been a sharp drop in active addresses using stablecoins. The weekly moving average has fallen 35% from its peak of 550K wallets — and that number covers all dollar-pegged ERC-20 tokens.

Stablecoins are the fuel that drives Bitcoin's rallies, something Nouriel Roubini pointed out back in 2018. The shrinking wallet count signals a collapse in trader activity. That same story shows up in Ethereum's on-chain data — trading volume histograms have dropped two to three times compared to Q1 figures.

My first downside target is the $72K–$70K resistance zone. That level will act as a Rubicon — if it breaks, hopes for a Bitcoin rally through the summer are essentially gone. By that point, Kevin Warsh may be in a position to revisit the question of a Fed rate cut.

The Tradoor token lost 90% of its value in just half an hour. Analysts think the project's developers deliberately went for a pump‑and‑dump scheme after the crypto winter. The coin launched last September on Binance Alpha, rallied nearly 5x, then dumped 79% in December. So the developers probably figured a rug pull was a better move than trying to deliver on their white paper promises. The project was supposed to be a decentralized Robinhood for DeFi, with multichain support and DAO governance.

From February 2026, the token started getting heavily pumped. The team held 86% of all tokens, with a total supply of only 60 million. Artificial scarcity, combined with wash trading, sent the crypto up nearly 1,000% in three months. In the end, the team dumped their own tokens, making millions with minimal upfront investment.

Granted, analysts at Cryptomus point to the project's low security score — 3.8 out of 10 from CertiK. It's possible the smart contract was hacked. But the concentration of 86% of tokens with the team looks a lot like what happened with MemeCore and RaveDAO recently. Blockchain analyst ZachXBT has already flagged similar manipulation — developers dumping tokens after an artificial pump. Centralized exchanges are now looking into these incidents.