The Moon or Bust!

08/18/2026

HOUSTON, TX / ACCESS Newswire / August 18, 2026 / XCF Global, Inc. (NASDAQ:SAFX) ("XCF" or the "Company"), an emerging U.S.-based producer of renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), today announced a key operational and revenue-generating milestone: its flagship New Rise Renewables Reno facility is actively delivering approximately 55,000 gallons of renewable diesel per day to the market.

Outbound transport of renewable diesel marks the shift from commissioning to active commercial deliveries and revenue realization. It is the first sale of its kind for XCF since the Reno facility came back online, successfully turning production into real revenue. The Company is currently in talks with other potential customers to secure additional sales agreements.

"Shipping 55,000 gallons a day is concrete proof that New Rise Reno is actively producing, delivering, and earning," said Chris Cooper, Chief Executive Officer of XCF Global. "More importantly, this volume represents our baseline operational pace. We are delivering real product, generating real revenue, and executing a disciplined ramp to maximize long-term equity value, all while supporting the continued need for domestic, lower-carbon fuel supply."

Direct Execution with Significant Expansion Headroom

By establishing a daily baseline output of 55,000 gallons, XCF Global provides shareholders with clear, verifiable proof of physical output and commercial execution. This initial production tier establishes immediate cash flow while leaving substantial headroom to ramp operations toward the Reno facility's permitted objective of 38 million gallon per year nameplate capacity.

The current sales volume successfully builds on the commercial framework XCF implemented earlier this year to line up feedstock supply, production, logistics, and sales at the Reno facility. By bringing these additional renewable diesel volumes to market, XCF is supporting domestic fuel supply while helping transportation customers access lower-carbon fuel options. Importantly, this fuel serves as a drop-in solution that works seamlessly with existing diesel engines and fueling infrastructure.

MU trade card · OptionWhales daily thesis

The consensus on Micron has a celebrity attached to it. On the SpaceX earnings call of August 4, per 24/7 Wall St. on August 17 (https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/08/17/elon-musks-5-word-statement-should-have-every-micron-investor-paying-attention/), Elon Musk named memory rather than power or GPUs as the ceiling on his compute buildout, citing demand growing 200% a year against 20% supply growth. At 10:52:47 ET a 680-contract January 15, 2027 put vertical printed in one burst into that story, $50 wide and wrapped around spot at $943, for a net credit of $1,028,500. A credit on a put vertical can only come from writing the higher strike, so the $1,000 put is the sold side. Net delta across the legs lands near flat and the two vegas cancel, which leaves the $50 band between the strikes as the exposure rather than any direction.

The bull case here is not soft. Micron's fiscal Q3 release in June carried record free cash flow, HBM3E and HBM4 booked through 2027 with demand into 2028, and $22B of strategic customer agreements including $18B in cash deposits. Against that, TrendForce's July survey (via Tom's Hardware, July 4: https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/ram/memory-price-surge-begins-to-cool-as-consumers-hit-affordability-limit-ai-demand-still-keeps-dram-and-nand-prices-climbing-through-q3-2026) has conventional DRAM contract prices up 13% to 18% in Q3, a marked cooling from prior quarters, with Q4 penciled at 3% to 8%. Both of those are facts about the memory cycle and the whole name, not about this order.

The two legs, same second, matched size:

- Sold 340 January 15, 2027 $1,000 puts at $191.35 a share, 69.7% IV, delta -0.45
- Bought 340 January 15, 2027 $950 puts at $161.10 a share, 69.2% IV, delta -0.40

That is 150 days out, with the lower strike sitting $7 above a $943 spot, so the whole $50 corridor is at or just above the money. The written strike carried 3,168 contracts of prior-day open interest and the bought strike 1,497, both far larger than the 340 done on each leg, so whether this opens new exposure or unwinds existing exposure is not determinable here. Our leg-signing confidence on the individual sides is weak on its own; the $1.0M credit is what pins the net shape.

For this to be an attractive structure standalone, you would want vol at 70% five months out to be rich relative to how a $943 stock actually travels through a $50 window, and you would want the pricing deceleration TrendForce sketches for Q4 to matter less to the path than the booked-through-2027 order book suggests. Collecting $30.25 of a $50 width is roughly 60% of the distance, which is aggressive pricing for a corridor straddling spot. The competing reading is that both strikes already had thousands of contracts open, and a matched 340x340 burst inside that is as consistent with adjusting an existing January book as with a fresh position. I lean to the second, mostly because of the strike selection: someone building this from scratch has the whole chain and picked the two strikes with prior interest.

My read is that this position is comfortable with the memory cycle staying loud in either direction and uncomfortable with a slow drift that parks the stock inside the corridor. Micron's next quarterly report is estimated for September 29 per TipRanks, and a December print lands before expiry too, so two earnings and two quarters of DRAM contract data sit inside the contract's life. What would change the regime by January is supply arriving: SK Hynix, which Tech Times put at 56% of global HBM revenue in Q1 2026, approved new capacity at board level in August.

*Educational content only, not investment advice.*

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