r/EducatedInvesting
"They keep driving interest rates up because they're so afraid of inflation, and they shouldn't be" Trump dismisses inflation existing for US citizens
"In the old days... when we announced good numbers interest rates would go down" - Trump
"I almost like to hear bad numbers. I'm saying, I hope we have bad numbers so the interest rates will go down." Trump openly admits that he roots for worse economic numbers just to force interest rates down.
Costco managed to roll out Medicare plans to everyday Americans faster than the GOP could deliver a healthcare plan.
Moderna just added $30 billion to its market value in a single day after proving its new mRNA cancer vaccine, intismeran, works in a late-stage trial.
States take Meta to trial with penalties that could theoretically reach $1.4 trillion
Four states are putting Meta on trial over alleged addictive design, youth-safety claims and data collection from children under 13. The theoretical penalty reaches $1.4 trillion, although legal experts say anything close to that is unlikely, which still leaves a very expensive question about who pays when engagement becomes the product and children become the input.
ARM +10.3% today — the China exposure math is more interesting than the headline
A lot of the discussion around ARM today centers on its ~18% China revenue exposure (mostly royalty revenue through licensees like Samsung and SK Hynix). Ran the EPS sensitivity instead of just looking at the headline percentage: a 10% cut to that China revenue only moves EPS by about $0.01. The royalty/licensing model has enough operating leverage that revenue shocks don't translate 1:1 into earnings hits.
HPE was up almost identically (+10.0%) the same session, which points more toward broad tech/infra rotation than an ARM-specific catalyst. The AI infrastructure and custom silicon design-win narrative ("physical AI buildout" robotics, edge, data centers) is getting cited as the underlying driver.
Full writeup: https://metricshour.com/briefs/2026-07-10/
Curious if others are seeing the same EPS math or reading the exposure risk differently.
Trump says the quiet part out loud when asked about the economy: "The economy is doing unbelievably from the standpoint of Wall Street."
12.9% of US credit cards are now 90 days past due as consumer debt defaults rival the 2008 Financial Crisis
Treasury ends ownership reporting rules for U.S. companies
RICO case when?
Amazon (AMZN) 2025 Revenue: 68% Still Comes from the United States
Amazon gets 68% of its revenue from the US market in 2025.
Full split:
- US: 68%
- Germany: 6%
- UK: 6%
- Japan: 4%
- India: 2%
- Other: 4%
Quite concentrated for a global giant.
Full data: https://metricshour.com/stocks/amzn
What do you think about this exposure?
The S&P 500 just crossed 7,800 for the first time ever, pushing the stock market to a record $70.8 trillion valuation.
"When the Miners Lead, Silver Follows." Hecla Mining just broke its massive 2026 downtrend, and physical silver is testing the exact same resistance line right now.
"I don't think tariffs are an issue": Trump official Kevin Hassett scrambles on CNN as Jake Tapper uses the Federal Reserve to destroy his economic spin
ETF Movers: Capital is splitting between Semis (+2.5%) and Utilities (+1.2%)
Looking at the sector flows today, we are seeing a very clear split in where capital is moving. It is not a straight risk-on or risk-off environment.
Here is the breakdown of the biggest ETF sector movers today:
The Risk Bid: iShares MSCI South Korea (EWY) is up 3.4%, and Semiconductors (SOXX) are continuing their momentum, up 2.5%.
The Defensive Hedge: Usually, when tech and emerging markets are running, utilities bleed. Not today. The Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU) is up 1.2%. Money is still actively locking in defensive yield.
The Pullback: Materials (XLB) are down 1.5% and Gold Miners (GDX) are taking the biggest hit, dropping 2.1%.
This type of barbell action (buying high-growth semis while simultaneously bidding up slow-growth utilities) usually points to institutions hedging their bets.
Are you guys currently rotating into defensive sectors like XLU, or continuing to ride the momentum in SOXX?
D.E. Shaw's $166.3B Q1 2026 13F: Tech dominance continues, plus an interesting $958M hold on Intel ($INTC)
The latest SEC EDGAR filings are fully updated, and taking a look under the hood of quantitative hedge fund D.E. Shaw reveals a massive $166.3 billion portfolio spread across 3,287 positions.
Despite the broad diversification, their conviction in mega-cap tech is clear. The top five holdings make up over $14 billion in capital alone:
$NVDA: $3.8B (22.0M shares)
$MSFT: $3.0B
$TSLA: $2.7B
$AVGO: $2.4B
$AAPL: $2.3B
Further down the list at position #14, they are holding 21.7M shares of Intel ($INTC), valued at $958M. This is a particularly interesting allocation to watch. With the recent Stifel Nicolaus price target downgrade weighing on Intel's market narrative, it will be telling to see if D.E. Shaw holds the line or trims this position in Q2.
Are you mirroring any of these top quantitative allocations in your own portfolios? You can explore all 3,200+ holdings on the MetricsHour D.E. Shaw tracker.
(Data compiled via MetricsHour)
How to Read a 10-K Filing for Geographic Revenue Data (Practical Guide)
Most investors read the income statement and balance sheet, but miss critical details hidden in the 10-K about where a company actually makes its money.
This guide walks through exactly how to find and analyze geographic revenue breakdowns in SEC filings, including:
• Which sections to check
• How to interpret country and region exposure
• Why geographic concentration risk matters
• Common pitfalls to avoid
Full step-by-step breakdown here:
https://metricshour.com/blog/how-to-read-a-10-k-filing-for-geographic-revenue-data-2/
Have you ever dug into the geographic revenue notes in a 10-K? Worth the effort?
Highest Government Debt to GDP Ratios (IMF Data)
Here are the top 10 countries with the highest government debt as a percentage of GDP, according to IMF data:
- Japan — 204.4%
- Singapore — 171.9%
- Sudan — 169.1%
- Bahrain — 152.4%
- Italy — 138.4%
- Greece — 136.9%
- Senegal — 132.3%
- Maldives — 129.4%
- United States — 125.8%
- Ukraine — 122.6%
Full interactive rankings available
Libertystream CEO Alex wylie & Matt from Wellspringhydro visting Packet Digital's- Badland Batteries, Battery cell manufacturing facility
Packet Digital’s Badland Batteries plant in Fargo, North Dakota. Is A 80,000 square-foot facility wich will be producing 100% American-made, NDAA-compliant lithium-ion battery cells tailored for high-performance drones, autonomous systems, and defense applications.
The facility is heavily fueled by major defense backing, including a $9.8 million U.S. Navy Phase 3 contract to scale volume manufacturing and a $50 million APFIT investment from the Department of Defense to supply advanced high-energy cells to the U.S. Army, Air Force, Navy, and Special Operations Command.
To lock down its supply chain, Packet Digital signed a strategic Memorandum of Understanding with LibertyStream and Wellspring Hydro.
This partnership focuses on sourcing domestic battery-grade lithium carbonate extracted directly by Libertystream.
This visit implies progression towards future off-take agreement.
Not a financial advice, do your own research
The Nearshoring Screener: 5 US Stocks with the Highest Geographic Revenue Exposure to Mexico
If you are trying to play the Mexican economic boom (nearshoring, manufacturing shifts from China, growing middle class), buying a generic emerging markets ETF exposes you to too much global drag and currency volatility. The clinical way to play this macro shift is through US-listed equities with massive, established geographic revenue exposure south of the border.
Here is the direct SEC EDGAR data breakdown of the operators most structurally embedded in Mexico right now:
$WMT (Walmart): 40% Exposure. Retail investors treat WMT strictly as a gauge for the US consumer. At 40% Mexican revenue exposure, it is actually one of the heaviest blue-chip proxies for the Latin American consumer baseline.
$LYV (Live Nation): 10% Exposure. A massive structural play on the expanding discretionary income and live entertainment TAM in the region.
$WPC (W. P. Carey): 8% Exposure. Commercial real estate with a heavy physical footprint in Mexican industrial and retail sectors.
$CL (Colgate-Palmolive): 8% Exposure. Pure consumer staples baseline.
$MET (MetLife): 7% Exposure. Financials and insurance capital flows.
When the market talks about supply chains moving to Mexico, the capital flows directly to the operators that have already spent a decade building out the physical infrastructure there.
Data compiled via MetricsHour SEC EDGAR terminal screener.