r/GRRR_Gorilla_Tech
🚨 PSA: Be VERY careful with GRRR — my risk model threw multiple hard fails 🚨
Not trying to tell anyone what to buy or sell — just sharing something that came out of a quantitative screener I built. I’m not posting the screener itself, but the output was bad enough that I think it’s worth warning people who might be looking at GRRR right now.
Here’s the breakdown of what triggered the alerts:
🔴 Business Quality — HARD FAIL
- ROIC: 4.0% → way below sector norms
- Gross Margin: 33.4% → thin, suggests weak pricing power This alone would have kicked it out of the model. Poor capital efficiency + low margins = structurally weak business economics.
🔴 Financial Health — HARD FAIL
- Debt/Equity: 0.07 → low debt (good)
- Current Ratio: 3.33 → strong liquidity But the model still hard‑failed it because…
Major red flags:
- Deeply negative FCF yield (-9.3%)
- Negative free cash flow 2 years in a row
- Equity issuance at ~20%/yr → They’re diluting shareholders to survive
- Accruals ratio elevated (6.4%) → Earnings not converting to cash
- AR growing +86% vs revenue +36% → Potential aggressive revenue recognition or customer concentration
- Working capital deterioration → Cash conversion cycle worsening
🔴 Valuation — FAIL
- EV/EBITDA: 23.7x → not cheap for a company with this risk profile
- Stale fundamentals → Last filing was 140 days ago → Stock is -49% off 52‑week high → Valuation ratios may be using outdated earnings against a crashed price
This is a classic trap: looks “cheap” because the price fell, but the fundamentals haven’t been updated.
📉 Growth — FAIL
- Revenue growth is strong (+35.7%), but:
- Gross margin contracting
- 2 of last 4 quarters show deterioration
Top‑line growth doesn’t matter if the economics are getting worse.
📉 Momentum / Technicals
Not part of the rating, but:
- Below 200D MA by -11.1%
- Mixed MA structure
- Institutional selling pressure
Not a great sign.
TL;DR — 9 major warnings, 2 hard fails, persistent cash burn, dilution, deteriorating fundamentals
Again, not financial advice — just sharing what my model flagged.
If you’re in this name or thinking about it, double‑check the latest filings and make sure you understand the dilution + cash burn situation.
I do want to also post that the balance sheet, the analyst targets, and the IFRS‑vs‑adjusted earnings distinction are improving, however the above flags stay.
I would like to hear your outputs on the above.
Stay safe out there.
Considering the future, the current price of around $12 is heaven. If it goes up, it's heaven. If it goes down, it's heaven.
reddit.comGorilla Technology and CHELPIS Accelerate Quantum-Safe SD-WAN to Global Market Deployment, Securing Sovereign Infrastructure for the Post-Quantum Era - Gorilla Technology
investors.gorilla-technology.comThis is good news for the gorilla defenses → Indian cargo ship attacked near Hormuz...sinks after explosion..
reddit.comShackleton - Gorilla Tech Capital
Expected to be completed by May.15th.
Updates soon?
Gorilla DC is fine.
Gorilla Technologies' (GRRR) data center (DC) strategy takes a fundamentally different approach from the physical bottleneck of "year-long waits for power grids" that U.S. hyperscalers face, and is currently in a highly advantageous position. This is due to: ① Geographic advantages and "guaranteed power" greenfield development; ② Leveraging existing infrastructure (partnership with Yotta); and ③ The power of "operational optimization" through Astrikos.AI.
Can $GRRR 10X-20X within 24 Months? YES
reddit.comClean chart + earnings date
Hey all, I'm feeling positive with this clean break of the descending wedge, signifying a reversal. Looks like it's gonna bounce off the trend line today or tomorrow before bouncing back up. Does anyone know the rough date of earnings?
are we being diluted ??
- Closure of ATM: In February 2025, Gorilla announced the closure of its ATM program to protect shareholder value and prevent further dilution.
- Persistent Risks: Despite the announcement, analysis in May 2026 indicates shareholders have been significantly diluted over the past year.