r/MLB_Bets
My Betzy Agent slate for MLB today. Let’s go!
There seems to be some technical issues with Reddit today. Posting these Agent Picks in text form as well as the photos in case it works.
Braves ML
Reds ML
Brewers ML
Guardians ML
Orioles ML
u/IceFit5329 — 3 days ago
MLB plays from my Betzy Agent 5/16/26
4/5 on Thursday, 5/9 Friday. Let’s go!
u/IceFit5329 — 6 days ago
▲ 1 r/MLB_Bets
5/15 MLB Card
5/15/2026
MLB card for today. Posting the plays straight up.
New York Yankees/New York Mets First 5 Innings Under 4.5, Total, -166 (2.5 units)
Arizona Diamondbacks/Colorado Rockies Over 12, Total, -110 (1.5 units)
Atlanta Braves Moneyline, -144 (3 units)
San Diego Padres Team Total Under 3.5, Team Total, -140 (3 units)
San Diego Padres/Seattle Mariners Under 7, Total, -105 (2 units)
All plays are tracked at TrustMyRecord.com.
We just launched, and the platform is going to keep improving. You can track your record, build verified stats, compete against other handicappers, and join challenges with free prizes as the community grows.
Come join early and start building your record.
u/Ambitious_Local5218 — 6 days ago
I built an MLB model focused on long-term ROI instead of just win rate — looking for people to test it
I’ve been building an MLB prediction model focused primarily on long-term ROI rather than just raw win rate.
Over the past months I’ve been testing different approaches around:
- market inefficiencies
- matchup/context analysis
- pricing/value
- pitcher and bullpen situations
- situational trends
- probability filtering
One thing I wanted to avoid was posting random picks with no explanation behind them, so every play also comes with detailed written analysis explaining WHY the model likes the spot.
I’m at the point where I want real feedback from actual bettors before scaling it further.
So I created a Whop page and made the model completely free for 2 months for people willing to test it and give honest opinions/results.
There are only 200 free passes available because I want to keep the sample controlled while I improve the system.
If you’re interested in testing it:
Free Access Link
u/athanato8 — 7 days ago
My Betzy Agent has been going nuts. Gave me two dogs and one favorite betting the spreads on tonight’s MLB slate. Smacked all 3
u/IceFit5329 — 7 days ago
My Betzy Agent went 4/5 yesterday on MLB. 3/3 betting the evening games. Here’s my agents pick for tonight’s slate
u/IceFit5329 — 7 days ago
▲ 1 r/MLB_Bets
MLB HR Model — Top 10 Targets Tonight (May 14) | 3 Nationals Stacking at Great American (122)
Running a Statcast-based HR model scoring hitters on Barrel %, Avg EV, park factors, and pitcher matchups. Here are tonight's top 10 targets on an 11-game slate.
Best value on the board tonight:
- 3 Nationals (Lile, Wood, García Jr.) all facing Chase Burns at Great American Ball Park (122) — best HR park on the slate, great stacking opportunity
- Kyle Schwarber (#5) vs vulnerable Ranger Suarez at Fenway (101)
- Bobby Witt Jr. (#2) at Guaranteed Rate (116) — leads MLB in WAR and has been absolutely locked in over the last 10 days
- Buxton & Jeffers both at Target Field (103) vs TBD — two props at the same park
- Devers sneaks in at #10 at Dodger Stadium (105)
Who are you targeting tonight?
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u/Kgwmine — 8 days ago
Taking the Dogs in Tonights MLB Action.
Can the Giants pull it off again? I like the Cards in any event.
u/muggaveli — 9 days ago
Early afternoon MLB baby legs.
I like this bet. Max Fried is 4-2 and Kyle Bradish has been struggling hard at 1-5. Yankees are also 5-1 against Baltimore this season.
The Angels have been so horrible on the road that second leg just makes sense with Cleveland at home. Let’s get it!
u/IceFit5329 — 9 days ago
▲ 3 r/MLB_Bets
5-13 MLB Card
Los Angeles Angels team total under 3.5 (3 units) -150
Cleveland Guardians moneyline (3 units) -150
Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds over 9 (3 units) -115
Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres first 5 innings under 4.5 (3 units) -160
Chicago Cubs and Atlanta Braves under 9 (3 units) -132
u/Ambitious_Local5218 — 9 days ago
▲ 2 r/MLB_Bets
MLB card today: Pirates RL, two unders, F5 looks + HR darts
Posting the whole MLB card in one spot instead of splitting it up.
Main plays:
- Pirates -1.5 (+120) vs Rockies
- Tigers/Mets UNDER 8.0 (-102)
- Cardinals/Athletics UNDER 10.0 (-103)
F5 looks:
- Rangers F5 (-110) vs Diamondbacks
- Pirates F5 (-166) vs Rockies
- Mets F5 (+106) vs Tigers
Player prop:
- Ben Rice over 0.5 RBI (+155)
HR moonshot parlay:
- Kyle Schwarber HR (+245)
- James Wood HR (+350)
- Byron Buxton HR (+335)
The main card and F5 board are the cleaner stuff. The RBI prop and HR parlay are high variance by nature, so I’d keep those tiny.
What would make me wrong: early bullpen chaos on the unders, Pirates not getting enough separation for the run line, or the HR legs just doing normal HR-prop variance things.
u/pantyinthe203 — 8 days ago