Latest US economic indicators:
• GDP: $30.8 Trillion
• GDP Growth: 2.2%
• Inflation: 2.7%
• Debt/GDP: 123.9%
• Unemployment: 4.2%
• Exports: $3.2 Trillion
Full profile with more data and charts: https://metricshour.com/countries/us
Thoughts on the current state of the US economy?
A lot of the discussion around ARM today centers on its ~18% China revenue exposure (mostly royalty revenue through licensees like Samsung and SK Hynix). Ran the EPS sensitivity instead of just looking at the headline percentage: a 10% cut to that China revenue only moves EPS by about $0.01. The royalty/licensing model has enough operating leverage that revenue shocks don't translate 1:1 into earnings hits.
HPE was up almost identically (+10.0%) the same session, which points more toward broad tech/infra rotation than an ARM-specific catalyst. The AI infrastructure and custom silicon design-win narrative ("physical AI buildout" robotics, edge, data centers) is getting cited as the underlying driver.
Full writeup: https://metricshour.com/briefs/2026-07-10/
Curious if others are seeing the same EPS math or reading the exposure risk differently.
Amazon gets 68% of its revenue from the US market in 2025.
Full split:
- US: 68%
- Germany: 6%
- UK: 6%
- Japan: 4%
- India: 2%
- Other: 4%
Quite concentrated for a global giant.
Full data: https://metricshour.com/stocks/amzn
What do you think about this exposure?
Looking at the sector flows today, we are seeing a very clear split in where capital is moving. It is not a straight risk-on or risk-off environment.
Here is the breakdown of the biggest ETF sector movers today:
The Risk Bid: iShares MSCI South Korea (EWY) is up 3.4%, and Semiconductors (SOXX) are continuing their momentum, up 2.5%.
The Defensive Hedge: Usually, when tech and emerging markets are running, utilities bleed. Not today. The Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU) is up 1.2%. Money is still actively locking in defensive yield.
The Pullback: Materials (XLB) are down 1.5% and Gold Miners (GDX) are taking the biggest hit, dropping 2.1%.
This type of barbell action (buying high-growth semis while simultaneously bidding up slow-growth utilities) usually points to institutions hedging their bets.
Are you guys currently rotating into defensive sectors like XLU, or continuing to ride the momentum in SOXX?
The latest SEC EDGAR filings are fully updated, and taking a look under the hood of quantitative hedge fund D.E. Shaw reveals a massive $166.3 billion portfolio spread across 3,287 positions.
Despite the broad diversification, their conviction in mega-cap tech is clear. The top five holdings make up over $14 billion in capital alone:
$NVDA: $3.8B (22.0M shares)
$MSFT: $3.0B
$TSLA: $2.7B
$AVGO: $2.4B
$AAPL: $2.3B
Further down the list at position #14, they are holding 21.7M shares of Intel ($INTC), valued at $958M. This is a particularly interesting allocation to watch. With the recent Stifel Nicolaus price target downgrade weighing on Intel's market narrative, it will be telling to see if D.E. Shaw holds the line or trims this position in Q2.
Are you mirroring any of these top quantitative allocations in your own portfolios? You can explore all 3,200+ holdings on the MetricsHour D.E. Shaw tracker.
(Data compiled via MetricsHour)
Most investors read the income statement and balance sheet, but miss critical details hidden in the 10-K about where a company actually makes its money.
This guide walks through exactly how to find and analyze geographic revenue breakdowns in SEC filings, including:
• Which sections to check
• How to interpret country and region exposure
• Why geographic concentration risk matters
• Common pitfalls to avoid
Full step-by-step breakdown here:
https://metricshour.com/blog/how-to-read-a-10-k-filing-for-geographic-revenue-data-2/
Have you ever dug into the geographic revenue notes in a 10-K? Worth the effort?
Here are the top 10 countries with the highest government debt as a percentage of GDP, according to IMF data: