Copy sim a Polymarket wallet with 960 resolved bets: he made +228%, a $500-per-trade copier made +122%
Ran a copy-sim on a wallet called cqk. 960 resolved positions, sitting on about $41k in open value right now. $500 per copied entry, 60 seconds behind his fill, last 180 days
His 5,671 fills collapse into 3,039 real positions. A copier only gets a shot at 2,119 of them. The other 920 had no price left in the one-minute window by the time the trade would've been visible. Put $500 on each fillable one, $1,059,500 deployed total, and you land at +122%. He made +228% on the same trades, same window. Average slippage alone was 1.13 cents a share.
About half his edge survives being copied. The rest is just being faster than everyone else reading the same tape.
u/Secure-Trouble5522 — 2 days ago