r/PredictionTrading

Building a Real-Time “News → Sentiment → Stock Mapping” Pipeline from Scratch
▲ 9 r/PredictionTrading+6 crossposts

Building a Real-Time “News → Sentiment → Stock Mapping” Pipeline from Scratch

People often talk about news trading, but very few explain how to actually build a news trading system. I spent some time tinkering with it myself, so here is the full process.

I roughly break it down into four steps:

Step 1 — Capture the news the moment it comes out.

Speed: the goal is to receive a piece of news the second after it is published. If your news feed is delayed, everything that follows becomes useless. So instead of constantly refreshing web pages or scraping data, what you really need is a real-time stream that actively pushes news to you the moment it happens.

Step 2 — Determine the “sentiment” of the news.

A headline may carry a clear bias. “Company beats earnings expectations by a wide margin” is positive; “Regulator launches investigation into company” is negative. What this step does is automatically score every piece of news as positive, negative, or neutral, while also measuring how urgent it is. A routine update and a breaking news alert are completely different things. This is what people usually refer to as sentiment.

Step 3 — Map the news to the specific stock it affects.

This is the step most people skip, but it is also the most important one. Information like “market sentiment is a bit nervous” is not actionable. Information like “this news is clearly bearish for TSLA” is what can actually be traded. So you need to tag each news item with the stock it truly affects, and attach the sentiment to that stock instead of vaguely assigning it to the broader market.

Step 4 — Turn it into an actionable signal.

At this point, you have fresh news, its sentiment, and the precise stock it maps to. From here, you can do whatever you want: send yourself alerts, feed it into backtests, or connect it to a trading strategy. The only job of this pipeline is to turn a pile of text into clean, structured information that lands in your hands.

To be honest, the hard parts are latency and mapping the news to the correct stock. Getting raw news is easy; making sure it is fast and accurately tied to the right stock is much harder.

Later on, I got tired of maintaining everything myself because the time cost was too high, so I recently started using an API called Tradingnews directly. I’m explaining this four-step framework today to help people understand how the system works, but after building it myself, I feel it is more practical to just buy a ready-made API.

If you need it, Tradingnews is here: https://tradingnews.press/

u/bjxxjj — 5 days ago
▲ 9 r/PredictionTrading+9 crossposts

CU Boulder research: Are prediction market users actually different from sportsbook bettors? (7-min survey, anonymous)

We're a group of students at the University of Colorado Boulder studying whether prediction market users think and behave differently from traditional sportsbook bettors — and whether platforms like Polymarket are pulling people away from sportsbooks or just growing the overall market.

This community is one of the few places where the right people actually hang out, so we'd genuinely appreciate a few minutes of your time.

What it covers: how often you use prediction markets vs. sportsbooks, what draws you to each, and what (if anything) would make you consider switching or adding one.

What it isn't: a company survey, a marketing pitch, or anything that collects your name or contact info. It's a 7-minute academic research project and that's it.

The findings will be used to understand prediction-market users better — the kind of data that's basically nonexistent right now in the published literature.

Takes about 7 minutes. Completely anonymous. Thanks — genuinely.

cuboulder.qualtrics.com
u/Strong_Analyst7368 — 6 days ago