⛅️ Daily Discussions 💬
Relaaaaaax.
#love
Yeeeee haw
dan the man!
Relaaaaaax.
#love
Yeeeee haw
dan the man!
I see a lot of people talking about the 360 million revenue guidance. So I looked deeper and have been sitting with the RZLV numbers for a while and the more I look, the more I think people should stay cautious on the revenue quality side.
The preliminary H1 figure of ~$127M is a huge year-over-year jump (company release). No question about the scale. But a few things keep nagging at me, I would love if anyone can help me clarify and understand this further but this is my take:
••• A large portion of that absolute revenue looks tied to acquisitions. Reward Loyalty was described as adding approximately $90M of revenue (Reward acquisition release). Crownpeak was expected to add ~$70M (Crownpeak release). Management has been open about the roll-up strategy, but we still don’t have a clean organic vs inorganic bridge.
•••Q1 was claimed at ~$60M (Q1 release). That means H1 at $127M implies Q2 only added roughly $67M. Sequential growth slowed pretty hard.
••• Everything so far is still preliminary/unaudited. Final H1 results are now scheduled for September 1.
The stock barely reacted to what management called a “breakout.” That tells you the market is already applying a pretty heavy discount, and a big part of that is the revenue quality + credibility questions.
I’m not saying the numbers are fake. I’m saying we don’t yet have enough visibility on how much of the growth is true organic scaling of the AI platform versus consolidating acquired revenue bases. Until that split is clearer (and preferably reviewed/audited), treating the current run-rate as fully high-quality recurring AI commerce revenue feels premature.
One more thing worth keeping in mind: even if September comes in clean, the stock still might not move much. The credibility overhang and the acquisition questions are already baked into the price to a large degree. We’ve seen multiple “strong” updates this year that produced only muted reactions. A good organic bridge would help, but it may not be enough on its own to force a real re-rating.
September 1 is still important for the information, but I’m tempering expectations on the price reaction either way.
Just my read after digging through the filings and prior releases. Curious if anyone else is weighting the acquisition contribution the same way, or if I’m overthinking it.
Not financial advice. I’m honestly just sharing the caution.
Sources:
H1 preliminary revenue (~$127M):
https://rezolve.com/press-releases/rezolve-ai-delivers-breakout-first-half-performance-preliminary-h1-2026-revenue-expected-to-reach-approximately-127-million-nearly-20x-h1-2025/
Q1 revenue (~$60M):
https://rezolve.com/press-releases/rezolve-ai-delivers-60-million-q1-2026-revenue-exceeding-full-year-2025-revenue-in-just-90-days/
Reward Loyalty acquisition (~$90M revenue contribution):
https://rezolve.com/press-releases/rezolve-ai-plc-expands-core-ai-commerce-platform-with-acquisition-of-reward-loyalty-uk-limited/
Crownpeak acquisition (~$70M revenue):
https://rezolve.com/press-releases/rezolve-ai-defines-the-future-of-commerce-with-acquisition-of-crownpeak/
So not only has Wagner moved up the H1 earnings call to Sept 1 vs Oct 1 last year…which almost has to be bullish. But…
He has relentlessly reconfirmed the full year $360m revenue guidance. Here’s the deal. What possible motivation would he have to guide to $360m if that’s not going to happen? In March we’re going to know one way or another and he’s absolutely without credibility if it’s a big miss. The stock would tank. Rightly so.
It’s not like he’s going to exit his position in the meantime. He can’t sell a single share without killing his “undervalued…buyback” rationale.
And here’s the capper. We’re 2/3s of the way through the year. Wagner KNOWS with high certainty the full year 2026 revenue within a small range at this point. Contracts are signed. Onboarding in progress. If not, the number wouldn’t be achievable. You don’t recognize revenue based on signing a contract. You have to onboard and deliver services this year.
Not investment advice. But my money is where my mouth is. I just increased to 25k shares. Holding until at least March. The current price cannot reasonably hold if $360m prints.
Relaaaaaax.
#love
Yeeeee haw
dan the man!
H1 2025 earnings were announced Oct 1.
I can’t imagine a scenario where the company voluntarily moves the 2026 H1 announcement up a full month to release bad news. Just not a thing.
Relaaaaaax.
#love
Yeeeee haw
dan the man!
Relaaaaaax.
#love
Yeeeee haw
dan the man!
Relaaaaaax.
#love
Yeeeee haw
dan the man!
Relaaaaaax.
#love
Yeeeee haw
dan the man!
If you haven’t seen this, the premise is the SOUN is a better bet than RZLV.
Why? Because RZLV promotes their company too much.
I’m curious about the group’s opinion here.
DW has lived in the retail space for most of his life. In the retail world, you had better be promoting and selling your product. It’s called “sales and marketing.”
I think the premise is absurd that one company is better because they don’t promote the company or dial back how much they promote it.
I still maintain DW is a maverick and the establishment in some ways hates him for it. He hasn’t and doesn’t play by their rules.
He is a disrupter and change agent. I’m not saying he is always right. The establishment is a well oiled machine. They set the rules and expect everyone to play by them. Everything we see around us “is establishment.” The disrupters and change agents are looked down upon… until and unless their vision and direction “become establishment.”
This is the good, the bad, and the ugly truth. Those who think in future state are wrong until everyone embraces their way.
We don’t know where this will end up but the ride with DW driving is surely entertaining.
Disclaimer: My posts are intended to be a bit provocative and thought provoking. They’re hopefully entertaining, worth engaging and dialogue creating. While I did add more shares yesterday I do so knowing we can swing up or down at a moment’s notice. If you’re so inclined add more shares and enjoy the roller coaster.
Cheers!
Bullish!
Partner Content
Rezolve Ai
August 11, 2026
"Sponsored articles are content produced by a company that is either paying for the post or has a business relationship with VentureBeat, and they’re always clearly marked. "
Published Aug. 10, 2026
Sponsored content
By Rezolve Ai
Relaaaaaax.
#love
Yeeeee haw
dan the man!
I guess this answers the question why Rezolve has so many engineers located in India.
Relaaaaaax.
#love
Yeeeee haw
dan the man!
Relaaaaaax.
#love
Yeeeee haw
dan the man!
I’ve been watching the SQD Network dashboard (network.sqd.dev/dashboard/analytics) and the numbers are getting hard to ignore.
Current stats:
Queries (24h / 90d): 37.82M / 1.63B
Data served (24h / 90d): 83.6 TB / 5.01 PB
Workers online: ~2,000+
Data stored: ~1.62 PB across 200+ chains
For context, this isn’t a new network that’s suddenly farming numbers. Query volume has been climbing steadily for months, with previous spikes (including an 18M+ day earlier this year) already called out by the team as coming from enterprise Portal clients and production dApps.
What’s actually driving the volume?
From what I can tell:
Real production usage from indexers, dApps, and analytics platforms that need fast historical + near-real-time data without running their own archival nodes.
Multi-chain demand (EVM, Solana, Tron, Substrate, etc.). Different chains lead on queries vs data volume at different times.
Portal adoption (both public and enterprise). A single Portal request can fan out into many worker-level queries.
Continuous indexing and backfill workloads rather than one-off traffic.
The dashboard treats “Queries” as application-level traffic served by the worker network, not internal system noise.
Commerce.com (formerly BigCommerce, ticker CMRC) rejected two unsolicited all-stock offers from Rezolve AI (RZLV) earlier this year.
First offer in February: 1 RZLV share for every 1 CMRC share.
Board rejected it.
Second offer in April (hostile, taken directly to shareholders): 1 RZLV share for every 2 CMRC shares.
Board rejected it again, called it significantly undervalued, and put in a poison pill.
At the time, Commerce’s board said they were focused on their own “material business transformation” and AI positioning. Rezolve claimed a combination would create a $700M+ revenue company with better margins and AI infrastructure layered onto Commerce’s merchant base.
Fast forward to now (August 2026):
Commerce.com’s recent results:
Q2 revenue basically flat (~$84.5M)
ARR only up ~2% YoY
Subscription revenue slightly down
They did post positive GAAP net income and improved operating margins through cost cutting
But they just cut full-year revenue guidance lower
Stock is still trading in the low $2s with relatively thin volume.
Rezolve’s claims:
Guiding ~$360M revenue for 2026 (roughly 7.5x their 2025 number)
Preliminary H1 already looking very strong according to them. Positioning hard as an agentic commerce / AI infrastructure play.
I’m not saying Rezolve is some perfect high-quality company (their growth is aggressive and still needs to be fully proven). But looking at the two trajectories side by side, it’s hard not to wonder if Commerce shareholders would have been better off taking the original 1:1 offer, or at least forcing the board to engage more seriously.
Commerce has stabilized the P&L and isn’t burning cash, so they can survive as a smaller independent company. The question is whether “survive” is good enough when the stock has already destroyed most of its post-IPO value and growth remains anemic in a market that’s clearly shifting toward AI-native commerce platforms.