NXXT NRG short position increased yesterday from 285 million shares to 467 million shares short. With 157 million shares outstanding and a float of about 80 million.
The borrow rate is 286%.
This is ripe for a short squeeze!
Major squeeze potential on this one. Breaking out of strong daily chart.
RFP officially closed. AI operator tenants shortlisted. Target signed deal by June 30.
The overlooked detail: multiple formal offers were received to ACQUIRE the Mo i Rana asset at a material premium to the $41M VIVO paid. All rejected.
Mgmt sees "materially higher value" in 10+ year powered-shell leases to AI operators. APLD/CoreWeave structure. $1.5-2.5M/MW/yr economics on 41.5MW.
Math if true: $62-104M revenue potential vs current $31M pro forma run-rate.
Catalyst: signed agreement targeted by June 30.
NFA.
(Credit: @TheStockDon on X)
Started to move ! Price target $7 .. let's see how this one goes .
Fuck Reddit.
I hate how they think every picture I post is not mine.
As a result, my very detailed DD post was lost and below is a curtailed version, without much regard to formatting and limited pictures.
We can see that the 100SMA held today, which is the red line.
The stock has historically had trouble to keep its head above the 200sma (yellow line).
So long as the 100SMA acts as a support, we are in good shape.
Also, look at how crazy these spikes are.
We've seen this behavior is many stocks that have went through their own short squeeze.
I will not attempt to place arrows anywhere because Reddit has issues with me pasting modified pictures.
One thing I've noticed is that the shorts will borrow ~3 million shares in the morning, then return the same amount by end of day.
However they did not do so yesterday or today.
https://www.iborrowdesk.com/report/flws
Right now there are only 650K shares available for borrow.
The great thing about FLWS leadership is that they have never done an S-3 shelf offering or major dilution event.
In fact I go back to the earliest 10K annual filing available on their IR website to show they only had ~40 million Class A shares in 1999!
The existing Class A share count is ~60 million as per their most recent 10-Q filing.
The increase of 20 million shares can be attributed to stock based compensation, etc...
This is an increase of only 20 million shares in 27 years.
Yes this is a 50% increase, but given how it is standard operating procedure for companies to dilute and increase the float in multiples... I'd say this is damn good.
Squeezes get killed due to dilution when management skeets on retail, I do not have the same fear on this play.
This one kills me because I spent such an inordinate amount of time on.
Top line revenue has been decreasing around 10-12% on all avenues (QoQ, YoY, 9 Months Ended).
Expenses have been reduced about the same percentage wise, which is their path to profitability if they can keep their revenues stable.
EPS has trending massively in a positive trend.
QoQ March 2026
Revenues declined ~12%
Expenses reduced ~14%
EPS went from (2.80) --> (1.56); which is a 44% decrease in EPS losses.
Nine-Months Ended
Revenues declined ~10%
Expenses reduced ~10%
EPS went from (2.32) --> (1.29); which is a 45% decrease in EPS losses.
Positive free cash flow for the nine months ended in March compared to last year.
Decent amount of assets, but lots of debt.
I'm not re-writing this part, see for yourself below.
There are a few AI intern roles open.
https://myjobs.adp.com/800flowerscareers/cx/job-listing?keyword=AI
What they plan to do is leverage their decades of eCommerce data to help maximize their revenue.
AI is total bullshit in the enterprise space, they're just re-branding the same processes as AI.
For example, reporting is now called AI.
Analytics and big data is now called AI.
However we don't really care about that.
All a company needs to do is whisper AI in the next earnings call and the stock will pull a BIRD.
We need the CEO to become a spin doctor to say buzzwords and how this can help top line revenue grow.
FLWS is on a path to profitability
CEO can use the word AI transformation for a huge catalyst
Price Movement, Volume, Borrows + Support/Resistance
Do not sell covered calls on this stock, you will regret it
I will load up next month with even more shares, I'll post my updated position once available.
Hello again. I've been deep in this for a while and finally put everything into one place.
Sharing the spreadsheet link in the comments below.
How I compiled this
Pulled 881 days of daily short data (Jan 2023 to May 2026) directly from the Ortex API - short interest shares, availability shares, borrow utilization, and avail % of SI. Cross-referenced every major holder using SEC EDGAR filings: the Pale Fire 13D/A (Apr 28 2026), Continental 13G/A (Mar 31 2026), Senkypl Form 4s, and the Q1 2026 10-Q for the current share count. Built a True Float Model from scratch rather than trusting Ortex's mechanical float calculation. Tracked the full institutional ownership table from Ortex to see who is adding vs. reducing.
The numbers that matter
Short interest has nearly tripled since January 2023 - from 4.7M shares to 13.7M shares, while the stock has been cut in half. Shorts have been adding into weakness the entire time.
Availability vs. SI tells the real story. In mid-2024, there were 670% more available shares to borrow than shares short. Today that number is 2.2%. The borrow market has essentially closed.
The Ortex float is misleading in my opinion. Their reported float is 23.96M shares. When you subtract the holders who have demonstrated they are not selling - Pale Fire (10.18M shares, zero sales, avg cost $8.60), Continental/Gorzynski (3.62M, added 691K in Q1 2026), Windward (2.21M, added 272K in Q1 2026), Linmar, Garnet, Divisadero, and several individuals - you get a true tradeable float closer to 12.7M shares.
At 13.7M shares short against a 12.7M true float, SI exceeds 100% of the realistic tradeable float.
Key metrics as of May 18, 2026
SI shares: 13.73M
SI % of Ortex float: 57.3%
SI % of true float (base case): 74.3% (my opinion)
SI % of true float (realistic): 108.4% (my opinion)
Borrow utilization: 86.9%
Avail % of SI: 2.2%
Squeeze Pressure Index: 49.8
What the spreadsheet contains
Definitions sheet - plain English explanation of every metric and why it matters for this specific setup
Data and Ratios - 881 rows of daily Ortex data with 10 derived ratios including a Squeeze Pressure Index, SI Coverage Ratio, Supply Gap, and 30-day momentum columns
Squeeze Dashboard - summary KPIs at a glance
Key Milestones - exact dates when each threshold was crossed (SI at 40%, 45%, 50%, 55%, borrow util at 80%, 85%, 90%)
True Float Model - step by step float reconstruction from the Q1 2026 10-Q share count through each locked holder, with every source cited
Institutional Ownership - full Ortex holder table with 51 institutions, color coded by who is adding vs. reducing
Charts - 5 line charts covering all major metrics over the full 3 year period
This is research I did for my own position.
Do your own diligence.
$ONFO 🚀 took a swing on catalysts + a possible short squeeze setup
📰 "Onfolio Signs Exclusive LOIs for Four Acquisitions Expected to Add Approximately $4.1M of Annual Adjusted EBITDA"
The deal:
Now look at the setup 👀
Tiny float + heavy shorts + sky-high CTB + RegSho + a real fundamental catalyst that could double the business... that's a lot of dry powder loaded into one name.
1.56M float ...
GRPN Update: The Spring is Compressing 📈
The mechanical short squeeze thesis is playing out exactly as planned. As we push up, ballooning paper losses trigger automated broker margin calls, strict institutional risk stop-losses, and aggressive dynamic market-maker delta hedging in real-time long before the calendar expiration arrives.
The Plays for the Rest of the Week:
TL;DR: The bear trap is set. The spring is fully compressed. We just need the volume spark to ignite the fuse. 🚀 Bottom line: The coiled spring is tight. Hold the $15 floor, watch the $17.72 breakout volume, and let the structural gamma loop do the heavy lifting.
This is not financial advise at all! I'm just a nerd.
Saw the number on fintel, seems crazy high to me for that kind of Company, what do you guys think?
UPDATE: market just closed and my thesis still holds. Short sellers aren’t panicked yet because the borrow cost are manageable and their positions are heavily bracketed by options hedges. The macro bullish in inverse head and shoulders pattern remains valid as long as the stock holds above 15.25.
Today’s price action was a textbook defensive battle by institutional shorts. The mechanical thesis remains completely untamed. Bears managed to temporarily defend the $19.10 algorithmic breakout wall on the average volume of 1.7 million shares. Left first a minor close at $16.93, but that only compressed the spring tighter. Live Ortex data confirmed they burned through another 180 thousand borrowed shares today just to keep us pinned, keeping utilization locked at 100% and short interest completely untouched at a massive 56.8% of the float.
The quick after our bounce back at $17.16 proves that our structural right shoulder compression range is holding firm. We don’t need a gradual climb, we just need a single high volume cuddle session over 8 million shares of trigger catastrophic gamma loop through their options hedges and blast pass the $22.50 threshold.
Ignore the day noise and watch the premarket volume tomorrow morning.
Key levels to watch for tomorrow: to keep this inverse head and shoulders macro pattern valid. We need to see buyer step up and defend the $15.25 to $16 horizontal support zone on any morning dips. The absolute technical validation line for this entire thesis sits down at $13.35. On the upside look for a strong premarket defense of the $17 line, followed by high volume regular session pushback above 1752 put immediate pressure on today’s $18.55 day high.
Stay, disciplined, track the volume spikes, and let the mechanical math do the work
As always, this is not financial advice I am just a nerd
The recent post-split runners:
HCAI - 1-for-30 split effective 4/13/26, 163K float - ran from $3.96 to $16.96 intraday yesterday (5/18), multiple halts
AKAN - 1-for-4.5 split effective 4/13/26, ~534K float - ran from ~$10 to $29.51 intraday on 4/28 (+40% day)
ERNA - 1-for-25 split effective 4/30/26, micro float - ran from sub-$0.20 to $15.58 high on 5/12 KOL event
PPCB - 1-for-25 split effective 5/18/26 (yesterday), 540K float - currently $2.05, day 1 post-split
All four: micro-cap, recent reverse split done to maintain Nasdaq compliance, tiny float, retail-tradeable. PPCB is literally day 1 of the same setup.
PPCB specifics:
• 874K shares out, 540K free float, $1.79M market cap
• Pre-clinical cancer biotech, lead asset PRP (proenzyme therapy for pancreatic/ovarian/colorectal)
• Phase 1b first-in-human study targeting advanced solid tumors
• Scheduled catalyst: 7/1/26 - clinical manufacturing & PK milestones
• 52w high $270.25 (pre-split adj), currently $2.05
Tape this morning:
• Closed $2.05 yesterday, +20.59% on the day
• Pre-market +1.46% at $2.08 - the ONLY one of the four green right now
• ERNA pre -4.49%, HCAI pre -14.09%, AKAN faded back to ~$12 zone
• Volume 17.25K pre vs 138K avg daily
The thesis: ERNA needed a catalyst (preclinical data) to ignite. HCAI ran on Chinese AI-parking narrative + halts. AKAN ran on pure float/short-interest mechanics with a fiber angle bolted on. PPCB has the cancer biotech narrative + the freshest split + the smallest market cap of the group. If retail discovers it, the math works the same way.
Picture shows what’s going on. Either they’re pricing in the major cool off, if that happens, or they’re trying to keep it from being more parabolic. Looking to see where NVDA earnings land and hope that more sentiment piles back into semis after this massive attack on this sector in general
It seems to be heating up, let’s see if this continues. I got in at 1.86 around Friday. Low float/mc play with 0 shares to short and over 500% ctb.
Sweetgreen SG has finally broken out of a long term chop, put in a strong bottom, and is poised for a strong rebound driven by fundamentals including revenue and margin expansion from wraps addition, same store sales return to positivity, Spyce divestiture, and a marketing strategy pivot that is yielding positive social media results.
Wraps are an easy win for SG in targeting cost-sensitive demos, priced from $10.95, and are showing success in expanding the base beyond salads. In April 2026, SG demonstrated a 4.8% same-store sales growth increase in wrap test markets. SG now competes with Chipotle and other fast-casual wrap and burrito offerings, which are highly popular. Wraps are substantially positive for margins and require little capex investment as it builds almost entirely from existing ingredients. Restaurant-level profit margins are currently around 10%, but tortillas are higher margin and store longer than salads. If the wrap-to-salad product mix reaches only 20% of sales, this alone could yield a restaurant profit margin increase to 15%. As a result of the wraps roll-out and operational stabilization, Sweetgreen updated its full-year 2026 guidance, projecting positive Adjusted EBITDA of $1-$6.0M.
Sweetgreen has pivoted their marketing strategy to a more personality and influencer based model including both pop culture and health influencers. This appeals to younger demographics and has resulted in a notable 27% increase in social media traffic year over year. Sweetgreen wraps searches notably have been doubling on a weekly basis since launch.
Sweetgreen has been a target of short sellers for several years, and this rebound is a catalyst to push short sellers to other opportunities. SG currently sits at 22% short, (22.8M shares), 4.8 days to cover, and 44.4% off-exchange short volume ratio in dark pools. Shorts have done well for several years here but I believe the easy money has been made here.
Strong insider buys signal the future, with the last year 1.276M net insider buys. Hedge funds also increased ownership by 400k shares last quarter.
By December 2026, these positive trends could easily drive Sweetgreen's price to sales ratio up from 1.2 to 2, which would increase the price to $12.60/share (+150% from today). A more optimistic case would be a P/S back at the historical 4 level, which would correspond to a share price of $25.20 (+300% from today). I'm optimistic in our chances of being in this range by then and have taken significant stock and options positions accordingly
ALP Alpha Computer Corp an AI stock is working with Nvidia they just landed a 32 million dollar contract with 16 million recurring annual revenue and 7.5 million cash upfront for an AI deal.
Their market cap sitting at only 7.5 million expected to 10X in price next week, get in as soon as possible.
You read the fundamental case. Now let me show you the plumbing.
I rebuilt the entire ownership stack from scratch as best I could. 120+ filers, cross-referenced across every 13D, 13G, 13F, and Form 4 filed. Even had Claude double check to be sure. What I found is that the float most people think exists doesn't. (in my opinion)
I wont dive into that since my prior post covers it.
This post uncovers the hidden leverage in the plumbing. The things that might worry bulls, shouldn't.
The Notes Aren't the Problem for a Short Squeeze in the slightest.
They're an Exit Ramp for GRPN and a catapult for further short covering.
The bear case on the balance sheet used to have teeth. $244M in convertible debt, near-term maturities, a company that couldn't refinance at gunpoint.
That was then. Last June, Groupon exchanged the 2026 and 2027 notes into a single new series, 4.875% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030. Nothing callable until July 2028, nothing due until 2030.
But here's what nobody is talking about as a shareholder.
We want the conversion price on those 2030 notes to execute.
Yes, I said it. I want that dilution at those levels and here's why.
Think about what that means in the context of a squeeze. The notes don't even become convertible until the stock sustains above $70.25, that's 130% of the $54.04 conversion price, for at least 20 out of 30 trading days in a prior calendar quarter. So at $55, $60, $65, noteholders are just sitting there watching the move with zero ability to convert and sell into it. The conversion window doesn't even open until the quarter after the stock has proven it can hold above $70. Even at that point, yes noteholders control whether to convert (once the window opens). Groupon controls how they settle it when conversion happens. Whether that's cash, stock, or a mix (probably would be heavier on the stock side if I'm being realistic). Senkypl is not going to dilute Pale Fire's position if he doesn't have to. $244 million of balance sheet debt would be wiped out immediately and the only way it even starts to become a discussion for existing shareholders is if the stock first sustains above $70.
The bears built their whole balance sheet argument on debt that, at squeeze prices, converts itself out of existence. The best part, it doesn't even hurt us.
Senkypl is pushing buybacks hard, we saw that last quarter, retiring float periodically, but more that their Free Cash Flow, that's aggressive. He's the largest shareholder. He feels every newly issued share personally. He's not going to sit on a approximately $223M remaining buyback authorization and watch conversion significantly dilute Pale Fire's position without doing something about it. The buyback are periodically taking out chunks of shares that would lighten the blow of dilution if complete conversion happened.
So the sequence, if this moves: shorts cover into an 8.9M loanable supply (based on my previous analysis) backing 13.87M of reported short interest. Stock trades through $54. Notes convert if it maintains a price level of $70.25 for at least 20 out of 30 trading days in a prior calendar quarter. $244M of debt gone. Buyback absorbs any true impact of the dilution. Groupon exits the squeeze with a cleaner balance sheet than it had going in.
The shorts didn't just pick the wrong stock. They accidentally built the mechanism for the company's own recapitalization.
CEO's PSU's
Let's talk about what Senkypl actually signed up for.
The total grant was 1,393,948 PSUs, split equally across four price hurdles. Every hurdle cleared puts another 348,487 shares into play, vesting in thirds across May 2025, May 2026, and May 2027.
The ladder looks like this:
Tranche 1 at $14.86: Cleared.
Tranche 2 at $20.14: Cleared on the run to $43.
Tranche 3 at $31.01: Cleared on the run to $43.
Tranche 4 at $68.82: Not cleared. 348,487 shares sitting there waiting.
Source for the above: (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490281/000149028124000069/exhibit103-ceonoticeofgran.htm)
He gets paid at every rung he clears, not just the top. The structure is designed so that every dollar of stock price performance delivers more. But the final 348,487 shares, the ones tied to $68.82, don't move until the stock gets there and holds a 90-day VWAP above that level.
Before anyone raises dilution, the total remaining PSU overhang is roughly 348,487 shares on that final tranche plus whatever partial vesting remains on the earlier tranches. Against 39.2 million shares outstanding, it's rounding error.
He's not a hired-gun CEO collecting a base salary either way. His 2025 base salary was $150,000 and a nice bonus ($54,405). Yea read that again, that's what THE CEO is making. That is extremely low compared to peers, he likes the equity. He's not here for the salary. He came in through Pale Fire as an activist, took the seat himself, and has been buying shares in the open market personally on top of the fund's 10.18M and on top of the PSUs. His net worth is substantially this stock. Every buyback dollar, every note that converts, every short that covers, he feels it three ways simultaneously.
The last time this stock looked remotely like this setup it went from $10 to $43. That move happened when the float was less constrained, when the note structure was messier, and before Senkypl had restructured the debt and extended the runway.
$50 is not the ceiling. It's where the mechanism starts to get interesting.
The math is the math.
TLDR: The $244M in convertible debt doesn't become a conversation until the stock sustains above $70, at which point it converts itself off the balance sheet while the $223M buyback has the potential to absorb the dilution. Bears want bulls to fear this dilution, I welcome it.
Price target: $55 base case if squeeze mechanics alone do the work. If my loanable supply math holds, the real short interest has to cover into a float that doesn't exist. That's not a $55 outcome. That's $100+. Not a gradual jump to $100 either a very, very violent one. This stock can move in 25 cent ticks on low volume.
Long GRPN. Game on.
Not advice.
1 to 150 reverse split coming this Tuesday could set this thing off Monday going 10,000 shares in (100 bucks)
GRPN coiling for a squeeze
57% shorted
5-11 days to cover
Cost cutting and debt stabilized
Hidden assets with stake in SumUp
If we get to $19 it’s easy to $39
Unusual option activity
Not financial advise, just interesting
I’m in already but looking at $19.10, $17.50, and dips down to 15.25. Next week will be nuts in my opinion.
Looking to scale back at $23, $32, and riding to $43
Algorithmic breakout programs and momentum scanners are heavily set to trigger buys at $19.10
$23.29 clears the neckline exposes liquidity vacuum.
$13.35 is the structural floor of the current pattern. For the bullish chart thesis to remain intact, the price must not print a daily close below this line in the sand.
MACD Lines are beginning to pinch tightly together just above the zero-line
The chart is intentionally being held down like a coiled spring just below the $19 trigger to accumulate cheap shares and trap late entering shorts. I bought in the tight compression on the right shoulder ($17-17.5) before momentum indicators trigger a broad-market breakout alert.
Chart setup:
simple moving at 50 tracks dynamic floor at 15.2
Volume profile in visible range displays point of control at $14.8 confirming institutional support
Momentum RSI set to 14 length to lower study slot. As long as it consolidates between 55 and 62 the stock is storing energy without being overbought.
It seems to be set up for quite a squeeze. Very low float and over 500% CTB. There’s no shares to short,.
Yes it did move 60% already but nothing significant yet compared to its float and marketcap. It held its price really steady.
Average volume is between 1-2m however Friday it was at over 130m volume.
Thinking of going big on this one as it’s trading near the 52 weeks low.
