
r/SpaceXBets

Say it louder for the people in the back
It should be done. Elon Musk deserves it. Throw Trump with him too.
SpaceX will unlock another 7% of its shares tomorrow as its second post-IPO lockup expires
Amazon is probably 6-8 weeks away from being able to launch competing satellite internet service
I went through the current status of the last 4 launches done for Amazon LEO to see what are in operational orbit altitudes and which aren't. I define operational altitude as a semi-major axis of greater the 580 kilometers altitude (Amazon Leo operates at 590 km, 610 km and 630 km shells with some licensed lee-way up and down). The launches were....
- April 30th launch of Ariane 6 with 32 satellites (currently 100% at operational altitude)
- May 29th launch of Atlas V with 29 satellites (76% at operational altitude)
- June 17th launch of Ariane 6 with 36 satellites (19% at operational altitude)
- July 2nd launch of Atlas V with 29 satellites (41% at operational altitude)
The July 2nd launch was the last launch needed to provide continuous coverage to specific latitudes, once those satellites and the previous satellites have completed raises, Amazon Leo likely has the technical ability to launch their service and provide comparable service to Starlink in specific regions/countries. Given that the April 30th launch that was 3.5 months back is at 100% completed orbit raising, I posit that July 2nd launch which is current 1.5 months back only will require under 2 months more to complete deployment to operational positions.
Musk
It has been reported that he designed one thing. The ugliest vehicle on the road.
SpaceX and Tesla to lose 90% of the value
SpaceX is a $10-20 stock, according to a lot of people. None of their plans will materialize in the next 2 years, no Moon landings, no useful robots, no AI profits. Literally zero. When bear market hits- and it’s guaranteed to hit in the next 2 years- these science fiction stocks will be going down 10-15% per day. Every day.
Hopefully SpaceX stops going down at $10-20. But I’m not so sure. Markets tend to overshoot