Amazon is probably 6-8 weeks away from being able to launch competing satellite internet service
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Amazon is probably 6-8 weeks away from being able to launch competing satellite internet service

I went through the current status of the last 4 launches done for Amazon LEO to see what are in operational orbit altitudes and which aren't. I define operational altitude as a semi-major axis of greater the 580 kilometers altitude (Amazon Leo operates at 590 km, 610 km and 630 km shells with some licensed lee-way up and down). The launches were....

- April 30th launch of Ariane 6 with 32 satellites (currently 100% at operational altitude)

- May 29th launch of Atlas V with 29 satellites (76% at operational altitude)

- June 17th launch of Ariane 6 with 36 satellites (19% at operational altitude)

- July 2nd launch of Atlas V with 29 satellites (41% at operational altitude)

The July 2nd launch was the last launch needed to provide continuous coverage to specific latitudes, once those satellites and the previous satellites have completed raises, Amazon Leo likely has the technical ability to launch their service and provide comparable service to Starlink in specific regions/countries. Given that the April 30th launch that was 3.5 months back is at 100% completed orbit raising, I posit that July 2nd launch which is current 1.5 months back only will require under 2 months more to complete deployment to operational positions.

Amazon Leo deployments - Google Sheets

u/ClassroomOwn4354 — 1 day ago

What would you rather buy? Every publically listed aerospace company in the world except SpaceX or SpaceX?

Because they cost about the same...

u/ClassroomOwn4354 — 1 month ago

"Never bet against Elon Musk"

Could have doubled your money in a month. If you double your money every month for 12 months straight, you can turn $100 into almost half a million dollars.

u/ClassroomOwn4354 — 1 month ago

Starlink has basically stopped growing subscriber count?

According to SpaceX IPO, subscriber count is 10.3 million now. Back in February 13th, 2026, they announced that they had 10 million subscribers. So, that is almost zero subscriber growth in 4 months (<100,000 per month). Previously, they seemed to be announcing a new million subscribers every 2 months or so.

u/ClassroomOwn4354 — 2 months ago

The one share to rule them all...and in the darkness bind them....

>Our Class B common stock will have ten votes per share; our Class A common stock will have one vote per share; and, except as summarized here, our Class A common stock will vote together with our Class B common stock on any matter submitted to the shareholders for a vote. Under our charter, holders of our Class B common stock, voting separately as a class, will be entitled to elect 51% of the total number of authorized directors constituting our board (rounded up to the nearest whole number) and will have the ability to remove those directors for as long as there is at least one share of Class B common stock outstanding. As a result, holders of our Class B common stock will have control over the composition of our board and significant influence over the outcome of matters requiring shareholder approval. Please refer to “Description of Capital Stock” for certain other actions that will require approval of a majority of the voting power of the outstanding shares of Class B common stock voting separately as a class. This concentration of voting power will limit or preclude the ability of holders of our Class A common stock, including purchasers of Class A common stock in this offering, to influence corporate matters and the election of our directors.Upon completion of this offering, Mr. Musk will beneficially own a majority of the outstanding shares of our Class B common stock and a majority of the voting power of the common stock (the Class A common stock and the Class B common stock voting together) and therefore will be able to elect all the members of our board. Mr. Musk, who will serve as our Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of our board under our charter and can only be removed from our board or these positions by the vote of Class B holders, as set forth in our charter, will exert significant influence over our business and affairs.

Space Exploration Technologies - S-1

Essentially, if all Class B shares convert to Class A shares except one, one Class B share will elect over half of the board of directors. Literally, the one share to rule them all.

reddit.com
u/ClassroomOwn4354 — 3 months ago