r/StockInvest

Not long ago, many investors saw SanDisk as just another cyclical storage company.

Today, the narrative is changing.

AI isn't just creating demand for GPUs it also requires massive amounts of high performance storage for training, inference, and data centers.

Sometimes the biggest winners aren't the companies making the most headlines, but the ones quietly providing the infrastructure behind the AI revolution.

Is SanDisk finally getting the recognition it deserves, or is there still more upside ahead?

Why would I or would I not invest in APPLOVIN? PE seems healthy now. It was a bit overpriced back at the top, but now, isn't it undervalued... Heavily?

Want to hear an overview/analysis from who had the same question.

looking back over the past, which investment are you happiest with and why? For me is WRD, strong revenue growth, better margins and higher guidance. Their demand are becoming stronger, they improve cash flow and better operating efficiency. The progress has kept it interesting for me.

I had numerous highly educated individuals who were overly zealous of Motley Fool. Living on the coastline of Connecticut my neighbor who is one of the top cardiologists at Yale New Haven Hospital swore by it. My other neighbor a retired Coast Guard officer and ex USCG Academy professor of mechanical engineering endorsed Motley Fool too, several other medical professionals also held it in high regard. When I went on disability (I have a private tax-free Northwestern Mutal 70% of income with cola policy) I was getting bored and decided to start getting more involved in the market besides holding QQQ, VXUS, etc. I decided to give Fool a shot for ideas as the ultimate responsibility is mine by taking a stock and continue with my research. In two weeks, I realized how asinine the dogma was and I asked for a refund which I was ignored. I tried a different approach and was given back my money. If you ask for your subscription fee back after two weeks because you notice the hubris and structural flaws in their approach, they resist you. You must as I did start posting actual data, pointing out the holes in their philosophy, and logically refuting the moderators, the tone changed instantly. They stop arguing, denying your refund and labeled me “difficult.” Motley Fool processed my refund without delay. The moment you threaten the narrative, they fold. It does not teach why are you buying ABC?, risk management: how much you're willing to lose before you sell and profit taking plan. Just a blind buy and hold mandatory no if, ends and buts; just a blind 5-year hold.

Motley Fool has spent decades selling the idea that it teaches people how to invest, but the results tell a different story. What it actually promotes is a lottery‑ticket philosophy — a system built on hope, storytelling, and the belief that one miraculous winner will redeem a portfolio full of disasters. It is not investing. It is not discipline. It is not analysis. It is a scratch‑off strategy wrapped in long‑term rhetoric. I’m using only six stocks as examples, but the pattern runs far deeper. This is what happens when dogma replaces reality — when a one‑sided culture shuts down opposing views instead of examining them.

The failures of FMC and UPST, the blindness to the 6,000% moonshots in RGTI and QBTS, and the complete misreading of GE and Intel’s transformations are not isolated mistakes. They form a single, coherent pattern: Motley Fool’s research philosophy is built on narrative preservation rather than analytical revision, and that philosophy has led investors to miss some of the most extraordinary opportunities of the past decade while holding some of the worst disasters.

FMC was promoted as a stable long‑term compounder, a blue-chip stock at $110, a company supposedly positioned for durable agricultural demand. Today it trades near $11. UPST was celebrated as an AI lending revolution at $320, a generational disruptor. Today it trades near $30. These collapses were not unpredictable; they were inevitable. FMC’s business was tied to commodity cycles and pricing pressure that Motley Fool never analyzed. UPST’s model was hypersensitive to interest rates and credit conditions that Motley Fool again never analyzed. Both were framed as long‑term winners because the narrative demanded it. When the collapse came, the firm did not update the thesis. Fool hid in the corner, stopped talking about the stocks. The silence was avoidance: don't talk about the 90% loss so it never existed.

This same avoidance defined Motley Fool’s treatment of RGTI and QBTS. Both companies sat at the bottom for more than seventy‑five weeks — RGTI near $0.56, QBTS near $0.75 — yet Motley Fool said nothing. No analysis. No updates. No recognition that these companies were not going to zero. No acknowledgment that RGTI had more than five years of cash burn on its books, making the claim that it would “go to zero” not just wrong but absurd. No acknowledgment that QBTS was stabilizing and preparing for a move. The bottoms were visible. The accumulation was visible. The operational progress was visible. But Motley Fool ignored all of it because it contradicted the established narrative.

When the stocks finally took off, Motley Fool did not discuss the bottom, the recovery, or the magnitude of the move. RGTI ran from $0.56 to $65. QBTS ran from $0.75 to $50. These were more than 6,000% moonshots — gains that dwarfed the returns of most “official” Motley Fool recommendations. Yet the firm pretended they never happened. Instead, it reverted to its preferred rhetorical shield: the IPO price. By anchoring commentary to the IPO, Motley Fool could claim that RGTI and QBTS were still failures, even as they delivered returns that would have transformed any portfolio. The IPO became a way to erase the significance of the bottom and hide the fact that the firm missed the entire move. This is not analysis. It is narrative protection.

The blindness to bottoms and recoveries is the same blindness that caused Motley Fool to misread GE and Intel. GE was dismissed as a disaster, yet a $5,000 investment before the reverse split — roughly 1,000 shares — became 125 shares worth about $45,000, plus 32 shares of GEV worth more than $34,000, plus 73 shares of GEHC worth about $5,000. The total value is roughly $84,000. This was not a fluke. It was one of the most successful large‑cap restructurings of the decade. But Motley Fool did not see it because it was too committed to the narrative of decline.

Intel was dismissed as a value trap, yet a $5,000 investment at $20 — about 250 shares — is now worth roughly $25,000. The five‑year chart that once looked hopeless now shows a dramatic recovery. But Motley Fool did not see it because it was too committed to the narrative of technological stagnation.

The pattern is unmistakable. When a company declines, Motley Fool insists it will stay bad. When a company bottoms, Motley Fool insists the bottom does not matter. When a company recovers, Motley Fool insists the recovery is irrelevant because the IPO price is higher. When a company explodes upward*, Motley Fool* insists the explosion does not count because it contradicts the established narrative. This is not long‑term investing. It is long‑term storytelling.

The FMC collapse, the UPST collapse, the seventy‑five‑week bottoms of RGTI and QBTS, the missed 6,000% rallies, the misuse of IPO benchmarks, the missed GE moonshot, and the missed Intel recovery all point to the same conclusion. Motley Fool’s philosophy is not built on fundamentals, thesis tracking, or risk management. It is built on the belief that one super‑winner — Nvidia, Netflix, Amazon — can redeem a portfolio filled with dead‑money positions, speculative disasters, and missed opportunities. But a portfolio that depends on one stock to carry everything is not a portfolio. It is a lottery. And a research philosophy that cannot recognize bottoms, cannot recognize recoveries, and cannot recognize restructurings is not a philosophy built for growth. It is a philosophy built for narrative preservation.

In a market where bottoms matter, recoveries matter, restructurings matter, and moonshots matter, narrative preservation is not merely inadequate. It is dangerous. It leads investors to hold FMC at $110 until it becomes $11. It leads them to buy UPST at $320 until it becomes $30. It leads them to ignore RGTI at $0.56 until it becomes $65. It leads them to ignore QBTS at $0.75 until it becomes $50. It leads them to dismiss GE until $5,000 becomes $84,000. It leads them to dismiss Intel until $5,000 becomes $25,000. It leads them to miss the very opportunities that define long‑term wealth creation.

The final piece of this pattern is Motley Fool’s rigid five‑year hold doctrine — a rule treated as sacred, repeated endlessly, and enforced even when it contradicts reality. The Fool zombies come out of the corners: "Fool states buy and hold 5 years, don't cry after the turn around. 90% loss needs 1,000% return to get back to even: a ten bagger. This dogma is the glue that holds their entire lottery‑ticket philosophy together. It tells investors to ignore bottoms, ignore recoveries, ignore structural decline, ignore deteriorating fundamentals, and ignore obvious opportunities. As this A.I. has scanned and ChatGPT tells them to hold FMC at $110 until it becomes $11. It tells them to hold UPST at $320 until it becomes $30. It tells them to sit through a 20 percent loss because “five years fixes everything,” even when a weak company to collapse to garbage.

This doctrine is not discipline. It is denial. And it is the reason Motley Fool missed the explosive upside in RGTI and QBTS. Both stocks sat at the bottom for more than seventy‑five weeks — RGTI near $0.56, QBTS near $0.75 — and the five‑year dogma told investors to ignore them. The philosophy said bottoms do not matter, charts do not matter, cash runway does not matter, and operational progress does not matter. Only the narrative matters. Only the story matters. Only the long‑term mantra matters. Remember good companies stay good companies and bad stay bad. "Look at the 5-year graph, look retard look. The 5-year graph will continue"

RGTI ran from $0.56 to $65. QBTS ran from $0.75 to $50. These were more than 6,000 percent moonshots — the kind of gains that define entire careers — and Motley Fool missed every inch of them because its doctrine forbids acknowledging bottoms. The firm did not update its view. It did not recognize the accumulation. It did not recognize the stabilization. It did not recognize the runway. It did not recognize the breakout. It simply waited, clinging to the five‑year rule, and then used the IPO price as a shield to pretend the rally did not matter. Instead of using a profit taking exit plan which would have sold into the upside as example 2000 shares of RGTI and 1500 shares of QBTS sell 50 shares at $5 another at 10 another 50 at $20 and so forth would missed 50k of profit as RGTI is at $19 now. I accumulated this in 2022, scaled out last winter but still hold 750 shares RGTI and 500 QBTS. ChatGPT and A.I. owned RGTI & QBTS paid for my daughter's wedding, a family trip to Iceland last winter to see aurora borealis, a trip to Ireland, UK (wife's family visit) and France this summer (going to Louve, Normandy WW2, Muesse Argonne WW1, Lafayettes and Jim Morrison graves, etc,), paying for my sister-in-law foot surgery in UK because the National Health Service had her scheduled for 2031 so she went private (look into socialized health it sucks the White Plains, NY to Stamford, CT 20 mile I-287 / I-95 corridor has more MRI machines then all of England, Scotland, Wales & N Ireland combined and Yale New Haven Hospitals has more orthopedics then the NHS has in London, Canada euthanizes 4x more than all other countries combined: cheaper to kill then pay, euthanatize homeless, depressed people, etc.) and buying my wife a sapphire ring and a diamond necklace and myself some US coins as I'm a life member to ANA (American Numismatic Association). This is what investing is for: life experiences, family experiences, expanding your horizon, unseen medical and just a luxury for yourself. Not just sitting and blindly holding 5 years.

The same dogma blinded them to GE’s transformation. A $5,000 position before the reverse split — roughly 1,000 shares — became 125 shares worth about $45,000, plus 32 shares of GEV special dividend worth more than $34,000, plus 73 shares of GEHC another special dividend worth about $5,000. The total value is roughly $84,000. The five‑year chart looked bad only to those who refused to see what was happening beneath the surface. The doctrine said GE was dead money, so the recovery was invisible. 10 five-year graphs will be posted and say "you must be retarded, look at the graph. The graph always continues as good corporations stay good and bad will continue to do crap."

Intel followed the same pattern. A $5,000 investment at $20 — about 250 shares — is now worth roughly $25,000. The five‑year chart looked terrible until it didn’t. The doctrine said Intel was a value trap, so the resurgence was ignored. "you must be retarded, look at the graph. The graph always continues as good corporations stay good and bad will continue to do crap and Intel is crap."

This is the danger of dogma. It tells investors to hold losers until they become disasters and ignore winners until they become legends. It tells them to sit through FMC’s collapse and UPST’s collapse because “five years fixes everything,” even when five years is exactly how long it takes a weak company to fail. It tells them to ignore RGTI and QBTS at the bottom because “IPO prices matter,” even when the bottom is where wealth is created. It tells them GE is finished and Intel is stagnant because “the chart looks bad,” even when both companies were preparing for massive recovery.

The five‑year rule is not a strategy. It is a shield — a way to avoid admitting mistakes and avoid confronting reality. It keeps investors locked into dead‑money positions while the market moves without them. It turns portfolios into lottery pools and protects Fool dogma instead of capital.

Motley Fool is not teaching investing. It is teaching blind obedience.

Motley Fool does not miss opportunities because the market is unpredictable. It misses opportunities because its methodology is incapable of seeing them. A portfolio built on one super‑winner and a long list of losers is not a portfolio. It is a lottery. A research philosophy that cannot see GE’s transformation, cannot see Intel’s resurgence, cannot see RGTI’s runway, cannot see QBTS’s recovery, and cannot see FMC’s and UPST’s structural decline is not a philosophy built for long‑term wealth. It is a philosophy built for selling hope. and practicing its dogma. It is not identifying opportunities. It is identifying stories. It is not updating theses. It is protecting them. And in a market where bottoms matter, recoveries matter, restructurings matter, and moonshots matter, a research philosophy built on hindsight and storytelling is inadequate and dangerous to your money.

Again if Fool refuses your refund request start busting holes in its dogma. Post well documented stocks that bust their ignorance. Show them GE, FMC, Disney a perpetual do nothing. Holding AT&T after a dividend cut going from $38 to $12 and holding because "Fool states buy and hold five years no matter what so be retarded and blindly follow to the necropolis of stocks"

WRD in my watchlist. Its Q2 showed encouraging momentum. Revenue reached $34.2 million, gross margin improved to 37.5%. It already has a presence in 13 countries, so successful international commercialization could create a large growth runway. The L4 and L2++/L3 businesses both recorded strong sequential growth. What high-potential stock are you watching, and what evidence would convince you that its potential is becoming a sustainable business?

Need a SPCX rally. I believe in Elon and in all the talent at SPCX and TSLA. These companies are so undervalued. There is so much good coming ahead. How can no one see it yet.

Looking to add a long term spec play. Which do you prefer and why?