I'm new to this and this is the first time I've seen my entire portfolio drop simultaneously. I'm kinda scared it'll drop again but at the same time it would be a waste if it continues to go up. I need some advice.

Watch how buyers react here. Watching for a move back to 225 before ER. If bears are in control watch for a move down to 213 🤝

Not financial advice just my observations

Quick context on $AIAI

AIAI Holdings is a public company that acquires operating businesses and deploys its own AI directly into them instead of selling software pilots.

Current portfolio includes:

• Dôr – retail traffic + conversion intelligence already live in 2,000+ stores

• Bid Accelerator – construction estimating trained on $7B+ of real bids

• MediGuide – longevity / preventive health platform

• Gate AI – prompt-injection defense and AI observability layer

The model is ownership + execution rather than another AI chatbot looking for customers. Still early, but the operating assets are real.

Curious what others think of the structure.

It's been 1 month since I first started doing this. I don't know if I'm doing good or if I'm doing bad. If you can, please give me some advice on how to improve because I want money and a lot of it.

I’m considering putting some money into these stocks.
I know RGTI and QBTS are very speculative, while ZIM and FRO are completely different plays.
Could someone with more knowledge than me (complete amateur here) give me a quick rundown on these?
Any major red flags I’m missing?
Sorry in advance if this is a dumb question!

Position beats genius more often than anyone in this space wants to admit.

Every time I trace how these AI bets actually get funded, it's the same mechanism repeating.

 

Actually, this reminded me of a post I did a while back — a fund manager naming the real signal for buying the bottom, and it wasn't a chart either.

 

Rob Toews (partner at Radical Ventures) says his fund meets nearly every "Neolab" that gets funded — brand-new companies with no product, no roadmap, sometimes not even a clear technical direction.

Just an accomplished founder saying "I'm from OpenAI/Anthropic/Meta, so I want to raise a billion dollars."

They pass on almost all of them.

 

The exception was Anthropic.

Spun out of OpenAI five years ago.

Investors at the time called the entry valuation insane.

It's now worth a trillion dollars.

Toews' own framing: "there will be another Anthropic" — the mechanism isn't a one-off, it's a filter that occasionally clears.

 

I've watched someone spot a bubble this early before. Not in AI — in property. This isn't my story, it belongs to a friend.

>I'll call him Chew — I think that's his surname, it's been a long time. We went to the same university, graduated the same year, both went into construction in Malaysia. He switched upstream to a property developer — a subsidiary of a mainland China parent company — and eventually relocated there for the better part of a decade, right as the property market was in its super-expansion phase. The bubble kept ballooning without ever showing a crack. Chew saw the opportunity, and lock in his purchase of one of the units. The price — he told me — rose 10 fold over the years. Then, like the rest of the shrewd investors, he saw the writing on the wall. He liquidated his holdings and made a huge windfall, right before the bubble burst.

 

Clip credit: The Information — full video on their channel.

DM for credit or removal requests.

 

Drop your take below — has anyone here ever watched someone else make that call before you did?

 

If you want to know how this mechanism works for me, the actual math behind reading a bet like this before it's obvious is one link away.

There's a specific kind of quiet that happens right before a margin call.

I don't think enough people talk about that part — not the number, the quiet.

 

Leopold Aschenbrenner's AI-focused fund went from zero to $45 billion, then down to $10 billion.

Not all of it was margin, but enough of it was, and it was concentrated — five correlated AI-infrastructure-adjacent positions (SMCI, SanDisk, Micron, CoreWeave among them) dropping together in the same month, ~35% in one stretch.

That's the mechanism people skip past: it wasn't one bad bet, it was one bet wearing five different tickers.

 

He was also short Adobe. Adobe went up.

Being partially right doesn't save you — a hedge only protects what it's actually sized to protect, and this is the part that got him: three prime brokers (per CNBC's reporting) started calling at once.

Not one call. Three, simultaneously.

That's the system's own alarm bell going off.

 

Here's mine, since we're talking about leverage used well versus leverage that uses you:

>Years ago I was on the tender team for a major Malaysian construction job, competing against the two other largest contractors in the country. My GM, Mr. Chung, spotted the one contractual gap the client's own consultants hadn't caught. When they tried to pump him for the fix for free, he didn't fall for it — he told them straight: we can help you solve it, cheaply, with minimum delay, but we have to get the contract first, before we can go in and assess it. That's not a bluff. That's understanding your own leverage well enough to use it on your own terms, not the other side's. We won the contract months later. Leopold never got that chance — the market decided his terms for him, not the other way around. He still walked away with $300 million, which is the part nobody in the clip stops to sit with. That's not the actual takeaway, though. The takeaway is knowing exactly how much leverage you're carrying, on purpose, before someone else decides it for you.

 

Ken Griffin (Citadel) stepped in as the liquidity provider — what Tom, PBD's co-host, called a "white knight" on the show.

Half the room called that predatory.

Half called it structural necessity.

Both readings are true at once, and that's the actual lesson:

>Understanding why rescuers exist structurally is a different literacy than just watching one show up.

 

Clip credit: PBD Podcast — full video on their channel. DM for credit or removal requests.

 

Drop your take: predator, or necessary?

Genuinely curious where this sub lands on it.

 

If you want the actual mechanics of how leverage gets used for you instead of against you — the kind of structural read Mr. Chung had — it's just one link away

Stocks go up and stocks go down...but I never expected this. Buy low and sell high we say. What would you do? Portfolio is focused on European defense and industrials with a small mix of US tech and China EV. The former is doing well, the later not so much but I have faith they will do better.