r/StocksAndTrading

Monday Market Break: A Fresh Start or Just a Pause?

Monday’s market closure may feel like a short reset. After a run-up or pullback, sentiment needs time to cool down. The real question is what happens when the market reopens next week: will money keep flowing in, or will traders take profits? Would you position early, or wait for a clearer direction?

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u/Quiet-Partfu — 9 hours ago
▲ 20 r/StocksAndTrading+12 crossposts

ThreeD Capital (CSE: IDK / OTCQX: IDKFF) - Up 100% YTD, First Time Above the 200MA in Years, and the Last Time This Happened It Ran 300%

Forget the past price - look at the present setup. Technical breakout + deep value + dense 2026 catalyst stack. Use a stop loss below recent lows.

THE TECHNICAL SETUP 

IDK is up approximately 100% year-to-date.

More importantly: this is the first time in years that IDK has crossed and held above its 200-day moving average.

The last time this exact technical structure set up - stock crossing and holding the 200MA - it ran approximately 300% before pulling back.

Why does this matter?

In micro-cap and thinly traded stocks, the 200-day MA cross is the signal that forces algorithmic screeners, technical traders and momentum funds to look at a name for the first time. The fundamentals already existed. The technical breakout is what brings new eyeballs to a tight float. When that happens, price response is disproportionate.

Trade management: Use a stop loss below recent lows. Let the setup play out or cut it cleanly.

Right now you have four things converging simultaneously - which in micro-cap land is rare:

✅ Deep discount to NAV (~67–70%) - the value floor
✅ Dense 2026 catalyst stack - the fundamental trigger
✅ First 200-day MA crossover in years - the technical ignition
✅ Tight float - the amplifier

WHAT IS THREED CAPITAL?

ThreeD Capital Inc. (CSE: IDK, OTCQX: IDKFF) is a publicly listed Canadian permanent capital vehicle - think of it as an actively managed VC "ETF" you can buy in any brokerage account.

Instead of LPs, lockups and 2/20 fees, it's a single ticker giving you exposure to a 51-company portfolio:

  • 37 disruptive technology holdings (AI infrastructure, quantum computing, brain-computer interfaces, blockchain payments, smart-city software)
  • 14 junior resource holdings (primarily gold exploration and development)

Currently priced as if the underlying portfolio is worth almost nothing.

THE CORE ANOMALY: BUYING $0.27 OF ASSETS FOR ~$0.08

  • Reported NAV: $0.27 per share (as of December 31, 2025)
  • Current market price: approximately $0.08–$0.115 CAD
  • That is a 67–70% discount to NAV — you get close to 3× NAV coverage on every share you buy

The balance sheet backing this is auditable: total assets of ~$25.9M CAD consisting of cash, investments and digital assets.

And NAV is arguably conservative:

  • Many private holdings are carried at cost or last financing round - not at any optimistic forward multiple
  • The large TDN royalty position (279,413,283 TDN royalties, each fixed at $1 USD by TODAQ Holdings) is not included in reported NAV at all

WHO IS RUNNING THIS

The founder, Chairman and CEO is Sheldon Inwentash - CPA, honorary Doctor of Laws from the University of Toronto.

Track record:

  • Built Pinetree Capital from $0.10 to $26.00 per share - a 26,000% return at peak — managing a 393-company portfolio with aggregate market cap exceeding $1 billion
  • Three exits above $550M each: Queenston Mining (~$550M), Aurelian Resources (~$1.2B to Kinross Gold), Gold Eagle Mines (~$1.5B to Goldcorp)
  • Co-founded NexGen Energy (now multi-billion dollar uranium company)
  • Co-founded New Found Gold - one of Canada's most significant gold discoveries of the last decade

He is not a passive allocator. He takes active board-level roles, helps recruit management, introduces strategic partners and leads follow-on rounds.

ThreeD Capital is the distilled version of a playbook that has already generated multiple billion-dollar outcomes.

THE PORTFOLIO: WHAT YOU ACTUALLY OWN

Tech Holdings (the six at inflection points):

🧠 AIML Innovations (CSE: AIML) - AI-powered ECG platform targeting 300M ECGs/year globally. SickKids pilot running, AWS proof-of-concept complete, US sales launch initiated February 2026. Upcoming: Health Canada + FDA clearance enabling paid roll-outs across hospitals and OEMs. This platform is trained to predict cardiac events before they happen.

💸 TODAQ / TAPP (private) - Internet-native payment rails for AI agents and digital content. ~90% cheaper than credit card networks. Oracle Cloud rollout of 10,000 video titles on TAPP rails scheduled Q2 2026. The 279M TDN royalty position at $1 USD each sits entirely outside reported NAV.

🤖 HyperCycle (private) - AI infrastructure with a $1.1B Seoul AI Hub JV anchoring its ecosystem. MOSAIC local AI OS launching — marketed as a system that builds a "synthetic brain" from a user's own data. ThreeD is a founding investor.

⚛️ Dynex (private) - Room-temperature quantum computing. Apollo chip reportedly outperforms D-Wave at ~100× speed with ~90% cost reduction. QaaS (Quantum-as-a-Service) model for recurring revenue. Apollo-10000 moving from reference chip to commercial production in 2026. D-Wave has had a multi-billion dollar market cap — Dynex is accessible only through IDK, inside a sub-$10M CAP vehicle.

🎧 Neurable (private) - Brain-computer interface OS. Validated by US Air Force, US Army and Mayo Clinic. ~$150K MRR, $15M DoD pipeline. Commercial partnerships: HP HyperX, Master & Dynamic, Renpho and Audeze. Revenue trajectory: ~$2M (2024) → $132M (2027E) if deals close.

🏙️ InfinitiiAI (CSE: IAI) - Smart-city / water-infrastructure SaaS. $2.69M CAD revenue FY2025, 96% renewal rate, ten consecutive quarters of growth, 80+ clients including Los Angeles, Toronto and Seattle.

Resource Holdings:

⛏️ Forte Minerals (CSE: CUAU) - 16.31× value creation since 2022 IPO. 19,000 hectares across five properties in Peru. Flagship Alto Ruri: historical 131m @ 2.55 g/t Au, ~15km from Barrick's Pierina Mine. Active drill program underway.

🥇 Sun Valley Minerals (private) - Gold-silver in Uruguay. Initial trenching: 49.4m @ 2.05 g/t Au. 5,000m drill program in progress.

2026: DENSE CATALYST YEAR

Multiple portfolio companies hitting concrete milestones in the same calendar year:

  • TODAQ: Oracle Cloud rollout of 10,000 live video titles on TAPP rails - Q2 2026
  • Dynex: Apollo-10000 commercial production
  • Neurable: 3+ commercialisation deals expected to close, supporting the $2M → $132M revenue ramp
  • AIML: Health Canada + FDA clearance progression and US sales network build-out
  • HyperCycle: MOSAIC local AI OS launch
  • Forte Minerals: Alto Ruri drill results

Any single one of these events could lift NAV. When NAV growth combines with discount compression - those two forces are multiplicative on equity returns.

INSIDER BEHAVIOUR + TIGHT FLOAT

  • Management has been buying shares in the open market at the same ~$0.08 price available to retail. Insiders have full knowledge of the pipeline, board discussions, and near-term catalysts - and they are choosing to increase exposure at these levels.
  • Tight float: A material portion of shares is held by insiders and long-term holders. When new buying pressure arrives, there are fewer "escape valves." Micro-cap history shows this leads to outsized price moves.
  • Transparency initiative: ThreeD launched a YouTube channel in early 2026 with direct CEO interviews for AIML, Neurable, HyperCycle, TODAQ and others - directly attacking the "black box discount" that keeps most closed-end funds permanently cheap.

WHY DOES THE DISCOUNT EXIST?

  • Sub-$10M CAD market cap - screens out most institutions
  • 51-company portfolio with several private, technical names - complexity = neglect
  • CSE + OTCQX listing = outside mainstream US/TSX radar
  • Closed-end fund stigma - generic skepticism that may be over-applied here

None of these are fundamental problems. They are structural inefficiencies that patient investors can exploit before catalysts close the gap.

RISKS - BE HONEST

  • Illiquid stock - slippage can be high in both directions
  • Private valuation risk - a portion of NAV is in illiquid private co's
  • 2026 catalyst execution risk - delays in regulatory approvals, technical milestones or drill results would hurt sentiment
  • Manager concentration - this is a "back the jockey" bet
  • Macro / sector cycles - quantum, AI and junior mining are all sentiment-driven

Size accordingly. Use a stop loss below recent lows. This is speculative micro-cap territory.

TLDR

ThreeD Capital (IDK / IDKFF): up ~100% YTD, just crossed its 200-day MA for the first time in years (last time this happened: +300%), trading at ~0.3× its own NAV — run by the manager who built a 26,000% return at Pinetree - with a portfolio that includes an AI platform that predicts heart attacks, potentially the fastest quantum computer in the world, military-validated brain-computer interfaces, and AI payment rails 90% cheaper than VISA - all hitting commercial milestones simultaneously in 2026.

Stop loss below recent lows. Micro-cap, illiquid, speculative. The asymmetry is real. DYOR.

Compiled from ThreeD Capital's March 2026 research materials, public filings & YouTube channel. Not financial advice.

u/-Authorised- — 24 hours ago
▲ 79 r/StocksAndTrading+36 crossposts

Hey guys, if you missed it, CytoDyn just settled $500K with investors over claims it misled the market about its drug leronlimab some time ago. And they have already sent the agreement to the court for final approval.

In a nutshell, in 2021, CytoDyn was accused of overstating the effectiveness and regulatory progress of leronlimab. In short, the FDA later said the company’s claims were not supported by data, revealing no clear benefit. 

After this news came out, the stock dropped 25%, and investors filed a lawsuit for their losses.

The good news is that the company recently agreed to settle $500K with them, and already sent this agreement to the court for final approval. So, if you invested in $CYDY when all of this happened, you can check the details and file your claim here.

Anyway, has anyone here invested in $CYDY at that time? How much were your losses, if so?

Will the market really go down again?

It feels like every pullback gets bought immediately, and even bad news can somehow be spun as bullish. AI, rate cut expectations, and crowded institutional buying are all supporting the market. The real question is: is this a true bull market, or is sentiment getting too hot?Do you think the market will have a serious pullback again?

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u/Quiet-Partfu — 1 day ago

SpaceX IPO Watchlist: Which Public Space Stocks Actually Benefit?

With the potential SpaceX IPO coming up, I’m wondering which public space stocks could benefit long term vs just short-term hype.

  • AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)
  • Redwire (RDW)
  • Rocket Lab (RKLB)
  • Planet Labs (PL)
  • Tema Space Innovators ETF (NASA)

Curious which of these actually have strong fundamentals independent of SpaceX, and whether the IPO could re-rate the entire space sector over the next 3–5 years.

reddit.com

Copper Dealmaking Is Accelerating Because the Industry Knows the Supply Clock Is Ticking

One thing that stood out to me from the new Northern Miner article is how aggressively the mining sector is moving back into critical minerals acquisitions and strategic deals.

This is not random.

The industry sees the same numbers everyone else sees:

  • AI infrastructure expansion
  • EV manufacturing
  • grid modernization
  • military electrification
  • renewable power systems
  • hyperscale data centers

All of them require enormous amounts of copper.

At the same time, copper discoveries are becoming harder, deeper, more expensive, and slower to develop.

That combination changes how the market values exploration companies.

The old mindset was - “Come back after drilling.”

The newer mindset increasingly looks like “Secure the district before someone else does.”

That is why companies like NovaRed Mining (NREDF) are starting to show up on more speculative copper watchlists.

Wilmac is not tiny land anymore. The project now covers:

  • 16,078 hectares
  • 160 square kilometers
  • almost 40,000 acres

And importantly, it sits inside British Columbia’s Quesnel porphyry belt, one of Canada’s most recognized copper-gold belts.

The project is also roughly 10 km west of Hudbay’s Copper Mountain operation, which reported Proven and Probable reserves of approximately 345 million tonnes grading 0.26% copper plus gold credits.

NovаRed’s recent updates added several pieces that exploration investors usually look for:

  • soil copper anomalies up to 379 ppm
  • clusters averaging 209 ppm copper
  • interpreted intrusive centers
  • deep conductive targets
  • ongoing IP/AMT surveys
  • AI-assisted targeting through MetalCore

Does that guarantee a discovery? Obviously not.

But in copper exploration, valuation shifts often begin before drilling if the market believes a system has the right ingredients.

And right now the broader copper narrative is getting stronger almost weekly.

The more critical minerals become tied to national infrastructure and AI expansion, the more strategic future copper districts may become.

That is exactly the type of environment where juniors can suddenly rerate very fast.

NFA

u/jndxiv — 1 day ago

Will NVDA’s Q1 earnings change the market’s momentum?

Nvidia is reporting its Q1 earnings today. The market is not only watching revenue and profit, but also AI demand, data center growth, and forward guidance. If the guidance is strong, it could continue to support tech stocks. If it disappoints, it may trigger a pullback. Do you think this earnings report will beat expectations?

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u/MetalPublicgro — 1 day ago

Why do some microcaps get ignored until they suddenly move?

I’ve noticed a pattern where people only start discussing certain small caps after massive volatility hits. Meanwhile companies like Troops, Inc. quietly build out multiple business segments with barely any real discussion around the fundamentals. Makes me wonder how many names people overlook simply because they aren’t trending yet.

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u/caesatra — 2 days ago

Beginner, please teach me

Hello everybody, I want to start investing in stocks. Before I dive into this I would like to ask for everyone to teach me beginners tips & guide. More like what is the best apps or website, what is best to invest in?
Everything like that I want to secure a better a future for myself not only that but to have more knowledge. At least to have a little comprehension on this specific topic. Please I would love to learn and begin a journey of the world of stocks.

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u/rookie_drawer — 2 days ago

Why did tech stocks go up and then down a bit, at the same time yesterday in us stock market?

Literally out of nowhere rose and fell a bit in ~2 our time. At the same time, so maybe there were news or something? Also will tech stocks go up after nvidia's earnings?

reddit.com
u/KazkasNezinau — 2 days ago

The QQQ versus SPY ratio shows the tech market's incredible ascent

But does the Dot Com peak serve as a historical warning?

Custom composite chart made on TrendSpider.

u/shift2future — 2 days ago

In this kind of market, do you dare to add when stocks are red?

The market is very volatile right now, and many large cap stocks are starting to pull back and turn red. Times like this really test your mindset. Chasing the rally can easily get you trapped, but panic selling could also make you miss the rebound

reddit.com
u/MetalPublicgro — 2 days ago

When Is a Dip Actually the Right Time to Buy?

Curious how you all handle dips:

  • Do you wait for confirmation before buying?
  • Do you scale in gradually?
  • Or just follow your gut and jump in when it feels right?

Some stocks are down a lot. How do you tell whether it’s just a short-term pullback or a longer-term downtrend?

Lately I’ve seen a lot of people talking about buying DRAM stocks. What do you think is a good entry price?

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u/ToughDeskk — 2 days ago

Thoughts on EMJX/SRHX

I’ve seen so many posts about this stock of people buying an ungodly amount of shares of it and I was wondering what is so hyped up about this stock? Why do people think it’s going to explode or why don’t people think it’ll explode?

I understand that obviously everyone has a bearish or bullish outlook on it but I want to know why?

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u/Remarkable-Stock979 — 2 days ago

Where do you see NBIS’s ceiling?

NBIS has been moving really strong lately, but I wouldn’t set a price target based only on market sentiment. What really determines the ceiling is earnings growth, whether AI demand can continue, and whether the valuation can be justified over time. If the fundamentals keep delivering, there could still be more upside. But when a stock runs too fast, a pullback can happen easily too. Where do you think a reasonable high point for NBIS would be?

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u/Quiet-Partfu — 2 days ago

AI’s real bottleneck may be power, not chips

Most AI infrastructure discussions revolve around GPUs. NVIDIA supply, chip performance, training clusters, compute scaling. But the more interesting bottleneck may be much simpler - electricity.

GPUs are only valuable if the grid can actually power them.

According to S&P Global, traditional server racks typically require around 5 to 15 kilowatts per rack. AI-focused server racks can demand more than 100 to 1,000 kilowatts per rack. At the same time, newer AI chips consume far more energy than previous generations, in some cases 2 to 10 times more.

That changes the conversation completely.

AI is no longer just a software or semiconductor story. It is becoming a physical infrastructure story. Every new AI cluster requires transformers, substations, transmission lines, cooling systems, backup power, switchgear, cabling, and grid upgrades. In other words, scaling AI also means scaling the industrial backbone underneath it.

What surprised me most in the S&P report was the speed of the projected expansion. Their forecast suggests global installed data center capacity could grow 3.6x by 2040. AI training data centers alone are expected to grow around 24% annually, adding roughly 170 GW of installed capacity by 2040 versus 2025 levels.

S&P also estimates that up to 30 GW of new data center capacity could be installed every year through 2030. That is equivalent to building around 15 hyperscale facilities annually, each averaging roughly 2 GW and around $10 billion in capex.

And the power demand implications are enormous. In the U.S. alone, data centers could account for about 14% of total electricity consumption by 2030.

Some argue hyperscalers will solve this independently through renewables, natural gas, nuclear, or behind-the-meter generation. That may be true. But every one of those solutions still depends on physical electrical infrastructure, and all of that infrastructure requires massive amounts of copper.

AI is not weightless.

The further AI scales, the more it collides with the realities of electricity, industrial capacity, and power delivery. Copper increasingly looks like the material connecting digital ambition to the physical world.

u/jndxiv — 3 days ago

Is a bear market really coming?

The market has pulled back over the past couple of days, and many people are starting to worry again about whether a bear market is coming. Honestly, I don’t think one or two red days are enough to prove that the overall trend has completely changed. It feels more like the market cooling off after a strong run. Do you think this is just a normal pullback, or a warning sign of a bear market?

reddit.com
u/Quiet-Partfu — 3 days ago

Is aluminium becoming the “less crowded” AI trade?

AI infra trades feel crowded everywhere now. Chips, power, data centers, cooling names… a lot of them already have the hype priced in. But the material layer still feels less talked about, especially aluminium.

That’s where I think Hongqiao (1378.HK) gets interesting. Not because it’s some flashy AI stock, but because aluminium keeps showing up in the boring-but-needed parts of the buildout: grids, lightweight structures, power equipment, EVs, solar frames. China’s output is also close to its long-running cap, so supply growth isn’t exactly free.

The cleaner angle for me is not “AI will pump this stock.” It’s more like: if the infrastructure cycle keeps going, low-cost aluminium producers could quietly benefit without needing the same hype multiple.

Would you rather own the obvious AI names, or the materials feeding the buildout?

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u/Serious_Truck283 — 3 days ago