r/onlinegambling

My biggest win, $2.00 bet = $2,700

My biggest win on FanDuel Buffalo Megaways. First week of gambling online has me addicted

u/Organic-Sport-235 — 5 days ago

Thoughts on hedging?

So, I feel like if you can hedge and guarantee a (1) Win or Push or (2) Win and Win or (3) Max Win on both sides you have to take it.

The reason I'm asking this is because I have given up a lot of money by hedging when my player ends up just flat-out winning.

And it's starting to almost be a curse because when I don't hedge my player flat out loses.

Example: I didn't hedge on Guinta yesterday who was serving for the match at 6-5 up 40-15 where it was a 12K win with 4500 on the line. He ended up choking the service game at 6-5 and then ended up losing in a crazy tiebreaker 9-11 with 4 service opportunities to win on top of it. So he had 9 points for the match as the 12th game he also forced A-40 MPs, then did the classic 40-40>40-A>Double fault on BP for another knife in the back.

What are your thoughts on the three options above and (1) do you always take it (2) let it ride if maybe it's house money compared to your deposit and being up or down and (3) Do you factor in pre-match odds?

I added up just last month and if I would have hedged just to push, I'd have $76,000 more dollars in my account. If you add the hedges that I made, but did not need to, it was about $40,000 - so essentially $106,000 more my account if I hedged every time, but situationally your player is dominating so why give up 5K for a push?

Side thought: It almost feels like if you have 16 versus the dealer on blackjack. You either have to hit it every time or if you stand, you have to stand every time. Picking and choosing when to do it, just like above, can make it even worse which makes me feel I'm doing just that and, yes, I always hit on 16 except when after 3 or 4 hands where the dealer shows at 10 and bust underneath as we are both being dealt hard crap hands.

Current live ticket is attached:

Update Jones was serving first - he was pre match favorite at -176 odds - and I had a 30-0 lead returning. Then it went 30-15 > 40-15 > 40-30 > BREAK. Up 1-0 and served a 40-15 hold to 2-0.

UPDATE 2 Glinka won 6-2, closing the match out and serving easily at 40-15.

So essentially just gave the book back $3170.60 for no reason. Like I said, it's become a curse when I hedge they always win (usually a no sweat one at that),, then when I don't I get a straight loss.

Would greatly appreciate y'all's take on this. 99% is live tennis for me and attached is my game tickets that are currently going on now.- took tickets at:

(1) Up 30-0 returning in Game 1 and got the break at 40-30. (2) Serving Game 2 up the break at 30-15 (3) Returning Game 3 after being down 0-40 and forcing deuce at 40-40 where Jones did hold to make it up 2-1 serving.

Without hedging:

  • Glinka wins: +$10,071.00

  • Glinka loses: -$3,100.00

Total spent hedging: $3,173.60

With all hedges:

  • Glinka wins: +$6,897.40

  • Pinnington wins: +$1,873.92

u/blucheese_coldbru — 5 days ago