Tucker Carlson says Trump betrayed “America First” by launching the Iran war on Israel’s timetable instead of America’s. 6% chance that he will be the Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
President Trump predicts a deal to end the war with Iran "We're going to end that war very quickly. They want to make a deal so badly. They're tired of this"
French prosecutors say around 10 new suspected Epstein trafficking victims have come forward.Traders predict a 3% chance Epstein client list will be released by June 30th.
Polymarket has Democrats at 81% to win the House in 2026 after this “we’re going to win anyway” media hit, so are Republicans sleepwalking into a midterm wipeout?
"Somebody's gotta do something." Ed Gallrein's outsider pitch challenges Massie's anti-establishment defense, pushing the challenger to a 61% market lead.
The push for a Venezuelan 51st State as Trump argues for annexation based on oil wealth and popularity, leading prediction markets to give it a higher probability (5.4%) than Puerto Rico.
Netanyahu calls NYT detainee abuse essay a “distorted lie” as Israel plans lawsuit. Traders predict that there is 41% chance Benjamin Netanyahu will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election.
“I want to draw down to zero the American financial support,” says Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. He said it was “absolutely” the right time to reset financial ties with Washington as Israel strengthens relations with Gulf states. Traders predict a 6% chance Trump will meet with Netanyah
Will Kash Patel get the boot? Former Trump aide predicts he's out by Labor Day over alcohol use, while prediction markets give him a 64% chance of being gone by Dec 31.