Why the left and liberal parties have lost support in the West.
A lot of people are confused as to why Trump won, why Reform are doing well, why the right-wing is capturing the centre and working class rather than the left. I thought I'd sort of break this down from a British perspective and give some insight as to why this is happening.
In the UK we have three major liberal & left-wing parties which are the Labour party, Green party, and Liberal Democrats. Whilst we currently have a Labour government they won with 33.7% of the vote (the lowest vote share in modern history) however, since this has happened the Labour Party has collapsed in the court of public opinion. Some would assume that the working class would move to the Green party after this but they seem to have moved to Reform UK, but why is this? How come the right has captured the working class and swing voters when that is normally the left and liberal territory in the UK?
Left and liberal parties seem to be committing to some very unpopular and disruptive policies. The first mistake is committing to open borders and mass immigration. Mass immigration mostly affects the working-class since they tend to be based in the North and in large cities in the UK which is where the demographics have been changed the most. They've been impacted by the job competition, wage depression, housing competition, and cultural changes the most which is why the liberal/left seems to have lost them. In several western countries polling shows that immigration is one of the most important issues to people and the majority of the population would like net zero or net negative immigration.
Left and liberal parties also seem to be committing to certain social issues that we seem to have imported from America. Considering the British people are on average quite conservative when it comes to social issues this is off-putting. UK YouGov data shows growing scepticism when it comes to the rapid policy pushes when it comes to youth transitions, bathroom access and "gender affirming care" for minors especially off the back of the Supreme Court ruling. Another social issue that is turning people off is the anti-family agenda. The rhetoric coming from these parties is that traditional family units are oppressive or undesirable. There is also the issue of crime and policing where calls to defund the police and getting soft on crime is off putting when a lot of the liberal/left's historic voter base lives in urban areas with more crime.
The final commitment the left and liberal parties are making is the welfare state and net zero policy. Whilst the working-class and swing voters like a safety net the welfare state is funding healthy shirkers and "new entries" into the UK. What once was a safety net has now become waste and high taxation. Over 50% of UK households are net recipients of benefits and it is destroying the country and the economy. The UK has also introduced a 2050 net zero target however, we have the highest energy bills in Europe and we cannot afford to do this, its economic suicide. Energy bills sky rocket from the costs of this policy, new net zero infrastructure and renewable obligations. This is also nonsensical because we have less sun than Alaska in the UK and little wind.
In order for the liberal/left parties in the UK and the wider West to recapture the hearts and minds of their historic voter base they have got to abandon their post 2000 consensus. Rather than doubling down they have to reconsider the rapid social experimentation and fiscal activism.