Real talk: how do you actually screen for dilution risk before entering a small-cap gap?
Been trading small-cap momentum for about a year. Gap and Go setups, pre-market focus.
The thing that's been eating my returns isn't bad catalysts — it's good catalysts with active dilution shelves behind them. Stock gaps on real news, I get in, and then the company (or its underwriters) quietly sells freshly issued shares into my buying pressure. Perfect exit liquidity.
I know about S-3 and F-3 shelf registrations. I know what 424B supplements signal. The information is public - it's all on EDGAR.
The problem is speed. By the time I've manually searched EDGAR for a live gapper, the setup is either gone or I'm already in without the information.
Curious what other small-cap traders are actually doing:
- Do you check SEC filings before entering a gap, or do you skip it because it's too slow?
- Is there a faster way to screen for active shelves that I'm missing?
- Has anyone built a watchlist or filter system that flags this pre-market?
Not looking for a magic solution - genuinely trying to understand how experienced small-cap traders handle this. It's the most expensive blind spot in my game right now.