Should the United States defend Taiwan militarily against a hypothetical invasion from China?
This week, the President of the United States is visiting China as part of the Beijing Summit. This has got me thinking about America’s foreign policy posture with regard to China going forward.
It is no secret that President Xi Jinping has made reunification with the island province of Taiwan a top priority, largely inheriting the same position from his predecessors. On the flip side, America views Taiwan as a critical strategic ally and partner in the Asia-Pacific region. Although China openly supported the idea of a peaceful reunification, many speculate on China’s intentions to achieve if’s aims through force.
For many decades, the US has held a position of “strategic ambiguity”. This has been an important feature of US-China relations at least since the Nixon administration as it allows the United States to deter potential aggression from China while simultaneously maintaining amicable relations with it.
Having said all that, I bring this back full-circle to the Beijing Summit. President Trump is arriving in Beijing with a relatively poor hand given the US’s ongoing blunders in Iran. I think there is a very real and growing possibility that China is observing our military failure in Iran as a sign of weakness, and thusly a potential opportunity to finally resolve the Taiwan issue in the near future.
So my question is the following:
What should the United States response be in the event of a full-on invasion of Taiwan by China? Do you favor a military response, only economic sanctions, or no response at all? Why?
Thank you for your time and thoughtful response on this question.