light weight teams and the Razzies hold the podium in the best event for CCE

Overall CCE skyrockets because of their 2nd in funnels and the good event announcements for them, Stars remain at a comfortable lead while Hazers drop out of podium

#FiveStars

Racers, CCE, Ducks projected in podium. With this being the best event for Racers, they arent 1st seed in funnels surprisingly, guess who actually is.

Speeders 7th seed in a speed event surprising. Only 3 spots of the Flares lmao.

Plasma bottom again, I swear they have good events they are coming, Oceanics and Kobalts also in the bottom too

Bowling predictions were very good, with an avg differential of 4.12, which would have been 3.46 if not for the Stars going from 15th to 1st, them and the Kobalts suffered from lack of data.

If you are wondering how I predicted a seemingly random event its because I used data from Curling, Bocce, Diving and Archery for Bowling, seems weird but if you look at these events you will see that the teams who aim for the middle are rewarded most. So thats how I knew teams like Oceanics were going to be good at Bowling

late but still got it

Finally we have a predictable event after 2 RNG events. Speeders have to podium here or they will tank in the projection

Overall Projection Update

• No BP really helps Hazers and the other light weight teams
• CCE collapses from a 19 point lead to 6th, due to getting 7th and 12th in events they were predicted 1st
• Meanwhile, Stars got top 2 in two of their worst events, going from 16th to 3rd in the projections
• Bees are really unfavored by the new events and by the removal of BP
• Flares and Speeders better hope Triathlon is in, no triathlon drops Flares to 5th and Speeders to 15th

After Balancing, we have an even more unpredctable event, Short-track. The favorites here are similar to that event

CCE and Snowballs in top 3 again, this time joined by the Chocs

CCE, Bumblebees and Snowballs start off in the predicted podium, I will say, Balancing is not on the predictable side so even Plasma could totally win this

Qualifiers Results

Predicted 4/6 Teams for each group with Wisps, Glaciers being replaced by Plasma and very surprisingly Flares. and in Group B Galactic and O's being replaced by Stars and Chocs

Underwater Race and Hurdles turned out to be the most reliable while Balancing and Javelin due to lack of data had huge prediction differentials

Overall Update

I added recency bias to my data, compare something like BP 2025 to 2020, huge diff. Also accounted for Stone Toss and Bowling. This gives CCE a massive 19 point lead. Snowballs drop 3 points and 3 positions due to Ducks and Jacks rising (Stone Toss should be very good for them) Flares also rise to 11th and Razzies fall to 10th.

atm I would say main contenders are in order: CCE, Speeders, Hazers and Snowballs

Teams like Jacks, Plasma and Flares are huge wild cards due to lack of data

Flares have chances to podium and maybe win lmao (Swing Wave needs to be in tho)