

December 2024 DeAndre Hunter vs January 2026 Peyton Watson
The Cavaliers have decided to buy high and trade first round draft capital (this time unprotected!) for a wing whose value is mostly predicated on a one month hot streak in the middle of the season. For Hunter, that was a stretch from 11/27/24 to 01/01/25 and Watson from 12/31/25 to 02/01/26. Here's how the two hot streaks fared against one another in the basic categories. If anyone with access to the better advanced metrics filtered to these dates (EPM, LEBRON, etc) is able to provide any better context, I'd appreciate that regardless of which player it supports:
| 2024 DeAndre Hunter | 2026 Peyton Watson | |
|---|---|---|
| Team Record | 11-5 | 10-7 |
| Usage Rate | 22.4% | 25.7% |
| Minutes per Game | 28.1 | 36.1 |
| Points per Game | 22.4 | 22.5 |
| FG% | .525 | .498 |
| 3P% | .500 | .462 |
| FTA | 5.6 | 5.8 |
| FT% | .854 | .703 |
| Rebounds per Game | 3.4 | 5.0 |
| Assists per Game | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| Stocks per Game | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| Turnovers per Game | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| On/Off | +8 | +25 |
Watson did this in a much more on-ball role, which is unlikely to be how he is used in Cleveland, whereas Hunter played as part of a system as a high-level role player during this stretch.
Watson, as opposed to Hunter, has yet to play 20 minutes or score 10 points in a postseason game despite numerous opportunities on a depleted 2025 Nuggets team.
ORL trades off some defense for more offense and saves long-term money pg. NOLA adds an elite defensive guard to be the yin to Jeremiah Fears yang.
Trade becomes possible in October once Carter’s Recently Traded restriction expires.
Carter and Peavy could be swapped for any minimum players so long as Orlando is sending out more money than it is receiving.
Pat McAfee when his album is so bad that people stop listening after Track #3 but that means no one hears and has backlash to the hard R in Track #8
Golden State adds picks and young players to pair Curry (who tells them he will not re-sign) with a young superstar and elite wing and big depth in Dallas (trade becomes possible in October)
Shoutout Russell Westbrook on an amazing career, one of my favorite players to watch, a deserved MVP, and for some reason the way I learned about the Russia-Ukraine war
How did Bill miss this for biggest regret of LeBron’s career? This is unequivocally number 1 right?
The Orlando series was a decent answer but what else was he supposed to do with those teammates? The aborted PG13-Kyrie trade would have been pointless (albeit better than the Celtics package) because no team was beating the Warriors and there’s no sliver of LeBron’s mind that regrets choosing Miami over Phil Jackson and triangle in New York.
The Russ trade broke apart a title contender and the fact that they somehow made a conference Finals the next season after picking up the scraps of the failed trade shows they would have been very good had the trade never happened. LeBron and the front office both deserve blame for panicking about the KD-Kyrie-Harden trio and feeling the need to get a third star for themselves.
Chicago takes a flier on Scoot, Portland declutters its backcourt and adds 2 young wings and a low chance at a first in the upcoming draft
Wizards consolidate their assets, Timberwolves add young depth
Pels get their guy in the 2026 Draft, Bucks get their pick back and build the ultimate contract year trio of Poole-Herro-Kuzma (trade becomes possible after Ament’s recently signed/traded restrictions end on 10/8)
First attempt at an expansion draft, a fun feature in its beta form under the More tab on Spotrac
Tried to strike a balance of vets on short/expiring contracts and young players with some upside.
Nuggets get a shorter term, cheaper, bad contract and the Bulls buy-low on what was likely an outlier down year for Braun
I would not do this personally if I was Denver, but if my owner was demanding strongly encouraging me to cut money to re-sign Paid-Ton Watson, this could be a way their front office thinks, especially considering they have a history of panic trading slightly-overpaid contributing wings coming off a season where they underperformed due to gutting out an injury.
MIN adds depth at the 4 and restocks their 2nd round capital, CHI dumps Pat Williams (Trade becomes possible after Green’s recently traded restriction expires on 08/25)
Mid-Season Trade: GSW gets their post-Curry superstar. DEN pivots after the disastrous Peyton Watson contract ends their window. MEM unlocks a pick for GSW in exchange for a slight upgrade.
When Denver re-signs Peyton Watson to a contract that is likely to be over $20M per year, the window is effectively shut. Watson has had numerous opportunities in the playoffs and has yet to score 10 points, play 20 minutes, and is a career -150. He had one good month of play against tanking teams, most notably a 35 point game against the Wizards, who they played twice in that span. That contract will be worse than the already disastrous Christian Braun contract, which is immovable due to their lack of draft capital.
Jokic is a free agent next offseason and will not re-sign.
The NBA media in 3 years recounting the harrowing summer of 2026 when they had to take a 45 minute break from their vacation to record a podcast about LeBron’s new team
Pelicans make some moves with Boston and Philly + A Bonus Buy-Low w/ the Wizards
All of these could be 2 team trades with minimal salary-matching. This is all 3 together as one transaction.
My 2024 redraft based on production so far and upside potential
I see two players with All Star/All-NBA upside. Castle is pretty self-explanatory based on his contributions to a Finals team. As for Edey, I think the Finals and West Finals were very insightful into how he can make a major impact and was doing so in his limited minutes last season. The NBA pendulum has swung too far towards scrawny centers who are bothered by size and Edey is the most skilled giant big man since Towns. I view Edey’s median outcome being something like what Zubac did 2 years ago with more offensive production, which resulted in him nearly making All-NBA. I don’t think a better development could have occurred for Edey than the departure of Ja Morant, who was a terrible fit.