u/Conflict-Latter

Just published a full breakdown of my geopolitical portfolio experiment on my YouTube channel @HatchersMarketInsights.

The thesis:
Trump takes 17 specific CEOs to China. That’s not random. I bought 1 share of each company to track how geopolitical events actually move different sectors in real-time.

The 17 holdings:
• Tech/Semis: Meta, Micron, NVDA, Apple, Qualcomm

•	Finance: Goldman Sachs, Mastercard, Visa, Citigroup, Blackstone

•	Defense: Boeing, GE Aerospace, Coherent, BlackRock

•	Other: Tesla, Illumina

Current status:
Down ~4% total but the sector breakdown is what matters:
• Tech: -6%
• Defense: -1%
• Finance: Flat
What I’m tracking:

1.	Does CEO delegation = policy signal?

2.	Which sectors reprice first?

3.	Can you spot geopolitical alpha before the market?

Full video breakdown on my channel with performance tracking and sector analysis!

I bought 1 share of each of the 17 companies on trump’s China trip. I am watching how the market changes their prices.

The 17 I own:

* Tech/Semis: Meta, Micron, NVDA, Apple, Qualcomm. These are at risk because of Chinas export rules.

* Finance: Goldman Sachs, Mastercard, Visa, Citigroup, Blackstone. These might be affected by settlement network policies.

* Defense: Boeing, GE Aerospace, Coherent, BlackRock. These could go up if there are tensions with Taiwan.

* Transportation: Tesla. They make 25% of their cars in China and Elon Musk has a connection to China.

* Healthcare: Illumina. hard to predict this one

Why this matters:

The market does not move based on news headlines. It moves based on what investors think will happen first. When you look at which company leaders Trump meets with you can see what his administration cares about.

Now:

* Tech stocks are down 4-6%. Investors think export restrictions will hurt them.

* Defense stocks are down 1-2%. Investors already think the US will spend more on Taiwan.

* Finance stocks are not changing much. Investors are not sure what will happen with settlement policies.

The actual insight:

Investors do not randomly start buying and selling stocks in industries. They do it when they realize what the government will actually do. By owning all 17 stocks I am testing:

1. Do the company leaders Trump meets with tell us what the government will do?
2. Which industries change price first?
3. Are there opportunities to make money by buying and selling between industries?

The data far:

My stocks are down about 4% overall.. It's how they are distributed that matters. Tech stocks are going down a lot while defense stocks are holding up. This suggests that investors already think tariffs will hurt tech but are not sure what will happen with Taiwan.

TL;DR: I have a portfolio of 17 stocks to track how the market changes based on geopolitics. Tech stocks are down 6% Defense 1%, Finance uncertain. I am following the money to see what government actions actually affect markets first.

So I saw all this Trump China trip news and thought “okay what if I just… owned it and watched what happens” instead of reading hot takes all day.
Bought 1 share of each of the 17 companies on the trip:

•	Tech: Meta, Micron, NVIDIA, Apple, Qualcomm

•	Finance: GS, Mastercard, Visa, Citigroup, Blackstone

•	Defense: Boeing, GE Aero, Coherent, BlackRock

•	Other: Tesla, Illumina

Weird observations:

1.	My portfolio is literally 68% semiconductors + defense lol. Like accidentally. That’s probably the actual policy priority.

2.	Tesla stuck out like a sore thumb with 25% China production but apparently Elon has Trump on speed dial so 🤷

3.	Most stuff is down 0.5-9% rn but honestly I’m just watching to see if this actually moves predictably when trade news drops.

4.	Defense contractors just… aren’t moving much. Wondering if that’s because the market already priced in Taiwan tensions or what.

Genuine question: Does following CEO delegations actually matter or am I just pattern matching?