u/Conscious-Exit8035

Another stupid mistake that cost me an extra $500. I'm more mad at myself than anything. Dunno wtf I was thinking.

Thanks, I hate it.

Managed to get down $50 without the boost. Let's see what happens. Shoutout to everyone who tailed last night. Let's get it!

Norrie is 3-1 on hard courts vs De Minaur, 2 of those coming in straight sets. He made it to the semi-finals his last tournament and looks to be back in top 40 form.

Also tilting this in Norrie's favor is the fact that De Minaur has looked shaky at times, and recently, as evident by his last match against James Duckworth.

What's wild is the pre-boost +350 payout on a true 25% outcome. I think that alone makes this worth it. ML is probably the safer bet, but I couldn't pass this line up.

Good luck if ya tail! 🍻

I'll be honest, I'm not entirely confident on this one, so I'm just gonna sprinkle. But if I don't run it and it hits, I'll be kicking myself. And if I run it, it hits and I didn't share it, I'm gonna feel awful.

Tail at your own risk with this one.

My thought process is this:

Mayer has never lost at this track, he's good for at least 1 win every year, and hasn't won yet. He's also been running top 5 the last few races, so he's been putting himself in position to win. Do that enough of times, and you'll get there. This week could be that.

Logano just dominated North Wilksborough a few weeks ago, which is a short flat track without the variable banking of Iowa. Some of that should translate, including the potential advantages the setup should provide on tire degradation. He also has a great qualifying draw which will be huge since passing is gonna suck. And he's also been one of the best on these styles of tracks according to several metrics both historically and recent.

The prices are gonna grenade if the practices and qualifying sessions go the way I think they will.

So, let's roll the dice. 🍻🏁

My apologies for not posting the initial slip, but I didn't exactly trust myself cause of the cold streak I've been on lately. Didn't wanna lose anyone any money, but wanted to test a theory.

So, this past Winter, I had made a killing on tennis. Mind you, at the time, I didn't know much about the sport, but I seemed to handicap it well. It was during the opening hard court stint.

Then came clay and grass season. I don't wanna say the wheels fell off; I did okay. But I wasn't as strong at handicapping those surfaces given my limited knowledge of the players. It took a lot more work for less results.

Now we're back on hard court to wrap up the year, so I thought I'd research and run a slip, especially since I'm more familiar with the players after being a real fan of the tours the past 9 months. and sure enough.

So, I realized I'm not actually good at handicapping tennis as a whole, just good at handicapping hard court surfaces apparently lol. I don't think I'll be touching clay or grass season anymore moving forward 🫠

Cold streak snapped. Let's win y'all some money.

Parlay busted. Riggs got it done, but Elliott finished 4th after starting dead last and having a bad pitstop. For a track you're not supposed to be able to pass on, that's amazing; unfortunately, it was just too much to overcome. No $21k this week.

That said, Riggs nailed it on Friday, and I'm still convinced Hamlin pulls it off tomorrow starting 5th.

As always, thanks for tailing. I appreciate y'all bunches. Let's cash tomorrow! 🍻🏁🫡

I repost this every few weeks so that others have a chance to hop on. Odds are still good, considering. Riding all the way to November! Championship Chase begins in September. Let's get it! 🍻🏁

Last night's race got rained out, and the parlay busted with Bell and his brake issues. I'm still convinced it'll be Newgarden today, so running it hard. Good luck if you tail. I'll have a solid parlay for this upcoming weekend.

Newgarden has a top 3 car, starts 2nd, and has won 43% of his oval starts the last 5 years. He's also the defending race winner from last season and said how much he loves his car this weekend in several interviews.

Bell has shown flashes of dominate consistency, and has 4 2nd place finishes this year. He's due for a win, is the defending winner of this race from last season, and looks to have the best car overall on the practice charts when broken down by several metrics. He also always runs incredibly well on short flat tracks historically.

Good luck if ya tail! 🍻🏁

Parlaying Allgaier with Hamlin, boosted. Nice and simple. Good luck if you tail! 🏁

Race starts in a few hours. Rain is on the way, but they're gonna get it in tonight. Good luck if you tail! If this hits, we're letting the winnings ride on Denny Hamlin for Cup tomorrow! 🏁

Did it one better. We made it happen! 🏁🏁🏁

Russell doesn't look as strong initially as I had hoped for F1, so just in case, repopping as a 3-leg.

Lines should be opened mostly everywhere now. Posted this yesterday. F1 practice starts in 18 hours, so I wanted to give everyone a chance to see this just in case they decide to tail. This isn't a lock. There's no such thing as a lock. But I feel really good about this. Let's hit for 5 figures a 3rd time since March. 🏁