u/Constant-Elephant830

Ran both fixtures through the model ahead of this weekend.

Here's the numbers:

Arsenal vs Burnley

Model xG: Arsenal 2.73 – 0.64 Burnley

Win probability: Arsenal 81.0% | Draw 13.4% | Burnley 5.6%

Most likely score: 2-0 Arsenal (13.0%)

Bournemouth vs Man City

Model xG: Bournemouth 0.89 – 2.34 Man City

Win probability: Man City 69.6% | Draw 18.7% | Bournemouth 11.8%

Most likely score: 0-2 Man City (10.9%)

Full correct score heatmaps in the images.

Full GW breakdown at fivestat.co.uk

A shock result in either looks unlikely but we can always hope.

FiveStat's correct score heatmap projection for Arsenal Vs West Ham - also inc. Win %'s

What we saying?

FiveStat's Team Projections for the remaining 3 game weeks : Total Team xG, Total Team xGA & Total Team xCS. Handy visuals of which teams/players to target for the final 3 weeks. Good luck peeps 🤝