Is "tax the billionaires" still a partisan position, or a consensus one? I lean consensus. Found a new survey that says 73% of Americans say higher wealth taxes on billionaires would be fair.

Was going through some March national polling and the wealth-tax numbers were bigger than I expected for something usually framed as left vs right: 73% said it would be fair to raise wealth taxes on billionaires (most of them "strongly"), and 67% said the same about large corporations. Pair that with only 29% believing Social Security will still exist in 40 years and you get people who are both pro-redistribution and pessimistic the safety net holds.

My read is that "tax the billionaires" has quietly become a consensus position, and the real fight is over implementation, not principle. Where do you land: is that 73% real, or does it collapse the second you get specific about rates, wealth vs income, and enforcement?

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u/Emergency-Paper6793 — 6 hours ago

"73% of Americans say higher wealth taxes on billionaires would be fair, and 67% say the same for large corporations." Is wealth taxation still actually a partisan issue?

Was going through some March national polling and the wealth-tax numbers are bigger than I expected for something usually framed as a left-vs-right fight: 73% said it would be fair to raise wealth taxes on billionaires, with most of that "strongly agree," and 67% said the same about large corporations. Pair that with only 29% believing Social Security will still be around in 40 years, and you get a picture of people who are both pro-redistribution and pessimistic that the safety net will hold. Is "tax the billionaires" actually a consensus position now, or does support collapse once you get specific about how?

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u/Emergency-Paper6793 — 6 hours ago

Survey: when Americans say they struggle to eat healthy, the #1 reason they name is cost (40%), not willpower or time. Does that match anyone's experience?

A March national survey asked people what actually got in the way of eating healthy in the last year, and the top answer was cost: 40% named healthy food being too expensive, ahead of things like traditional family foods, lack of time, or taste. Worth noting a similar share said no barriers applied to them, so it's "the leading named barrier," not "most people struggle." Still, when people do hit a wall, price is the wall more than motivation. For folks here who think about this a lot: is cost the real constraint, or a stand-in for time and convenience?

Source: https://data.verasight.io/health/why-healthy-eating-feels-hard

u/Emergency-Paper6793 — 23 hours ago

Early 2028 primary polling is useful for field structure, not forecasting

My view is that early 2028 primary polling should not be treated as a forecast, but it can still tell us something about field structure.

A national April 2026 Verasight survey found Republicans much more consolidated around JD Vance than Democrats are around any single candidate. Among Republicans, Vance led at 37%, with Marco Rubio second at 16%. Among Democrats, Kamala Harris led at 22%, but several candidates were clustered closer behind her.

The exact numbers probably deserve a lot of skepticism this far out. Name recognition is doing plenty of work. But the asymmetry still seems meaningful: one party has an obvious early focal candidate, while the other looks more fragmented. That can affect fundraising, media coverage, endorsement behavior, and how other candidates decide whether to run.

So I would put little weight on this as a 2028 prediction, but some weight on it as evidence that the Republican field is starting from a more consolidated position.

Sources:

Republican field: https://data.verasight.io/politics/among-republicans-jd-vance-leads-a-crowded-2028-primary-field

Democratic field: https://data.verasight.io/politics/among-democrats-kamala-harris-leads-a-crowded-2028-primary-field

u/Emergency-Paper6793 — 12 days ago

New survey: ~half of Americans don't recognize Sam Altman or Dario Amodei. Does name recognition shape how AI gets judged?

A national survey compared favorability and name recognition for 8 major tech executives, and the recognition gap is what stood out. The people most associated with building AI, Altman, Amodei, Huang, are unknown to a third to a half of the country, while opinions about tech as a whole keep getting measured through Musk and Zuckerberg, who most people know and view negatively. Tim Cook was the only one clearly above water. If most Americans can't name the people building AI, whose reputation is actually driving public opinion about it?

Source: https://data.verasight.io/ai/many-americans-are-unfamiliar-with-sam-altman

u/Emergency-Paper6793 — 18 days ago

Just learned 80% of Americans have never placed a bet on a prediction market. Where will growth actually come from?

Came across a new national survey that found 80% of Americans said they never bet on prediction markets. Only about 1 in 5 do it even a few times a year, and just ~1.6% are daily.

Even with how much airtime Polymarket and Kalshi get, betting markets seem outside normal behavior for the vast majority of people. Personally that tracks, barely anyone I talk to IRL has touched one, even people who've heard of them.

I'm wondering where the real growth actually comes from. Converting the already-curious, or pulling in people who've never engaged at all? Y'all are closer to this than most, so curious how you see it.

u/Emergency-Paper6793 — 25 days ago