Information from my May 14th Conversation with MTS on upcoming Microtransit:
The City of Charlotte wants to divert Rail Funding to Microtransit because it's going to cost too much to do within the Better Bus allocation.
- On May 14th I had a conversation with MTS and Yaffe Consulting, who are working with CATS on Microtransit trials city-wide. Here's what I learned:
- Microtransit will be supplementing, not replacing, MTS (county access) & Paratransit.
- CATS' Microtransit focus is on the South Charlotte Zone (Pineville and the surrounding area).
- The next CATS Pilot Zone may be Mint Hill.
- MTS is doing their own limited pilot somewhere in the South Charlotte region.
- CATS has not been communicating with MTS and Yaffe consulting effectively. Dietrich Brown has had apparently one meeting with Yaffe consulting, and they received limited information. They actually have been trying to contact CATS repeatedly and haven't had any response.
- A lot of the proposed Microtransit zones apparently will not break the 6-8 boardings per hour that makes on-demand service effective. Many are predicted at 4-6 boardings per hour. Furthermore, their study is based on incomplete data, as CATS does not have origin data.
- Getting origin data to complete their microtransit study will be a significant cost, and the only cheaper alternative is to use passive cell phone data by purchasing it from carriers/brokers (much like ICE/LEO/etc. do) which will cost ~1/3 as much.
According to CATS they estimate $13 per passenger for a full Microtransit Van. If most zones are predicting half the rate of boardings per hour, costs per passenger will likely be far higher ($18-$52). According to an NC State Study, Microtransit pilots in NC cost anywhere from $11 to $246 per passenger. In comparison, according to the FTA light rail boardings currently cost CATS an average of $16 per passenger and Fixed-Route Bus $11 to $29 per passenger. It used to be $7-8 per passenger before COVID and ridership decline. For the cost of Microtransit you could simply increase frequency on all the Crosstowns and Neighborhood Circulators and get higher ridership. There is only one city that has solved sprawl in the world, and that is Sydney Australia, and they did it by getting every. freaking. bus. to 10 minute frequencies.
So why are we blowing money on Microtransit?