
How Long Until Archer Aviation and Joby Run Out of Money?
Thank again u/TheGoatGains. One HUGE thing you're missing though is that although the Boeing acquisitions don't use cash, thy paid in shares so that's a HUGE amount of dilution.
Archer will issue Boeing about 150 million new shares (19.75% of the 760M existing), giving Boeing 16.5% of the company. Warrants could add another 30–40M shares, leaving current holders with roughly 80–83% ownership.
Also, Joby has the Toyota JV so when they increase production they won't have to dilute.
I ran the numbers here (https://www.reddit.com/r/JobyvsArcher/comments/1um70ha/please_sell_me_on_achr/)
This shows that BEYOND the dilution from Boeing acquisitions (which will further increase cash burn) ACHRwill likely have to dilute again in a few quarters.
Just keep that in mind so you won't be caught blindsided when the dilution is announced. By all means buy in after the dilution happens
Everyone is just buying/holding on vibes but the math says dilution is coming