u/Hennys_Picks

8/19 FREE MLB PICK: 7 STRAIGHT WINS 🔥

8/19 FREE MLB PICK ⚾️🔥

Angels/Astros OVER 8

We’re riding a 7-game free pick winning streak into today:

🔥 7 straight wins
🔥 12-1 last 13 (92%)
🔥 16-2 last 18 (89%)
🔥 67-29 last 96 (70%)
🔥 114-56 last 170 (67%)

For today’s play, the market price gives Over 8 roughly a 57% implied probability.

My numbers have the true probability at 68%.

Implied: 57%
True: 68%
Edge: +11%

That separation is exactly what I’m looking for. I’m not taking an over just because I expect runs — the bet makes sense because my projected probability is significantly higher than what the market is pricing in.

At 68% true probability vs. 57% implied, there’s enough value for me to pull the trigger.

🎯 Angels/Astros OVER 8

Going for 8 straight free pick winners today. 🤝
As always, bet responsibly and don’t chase.

reddit.com
u/Hennys_Picks — 1 day ago
▲ 4 r/sportsbettingzone+1 crossposts

8/15 FREE MLB PICK: 9-1 (90%) RUN

8/15 FREE MLB PICK:
CARDINALS/CUBS OVER 8

We are getting a true probability of 70% versus an implied probability of 59%. This plus 11% EV edge is the reason we make this wager. BOL if you are tailing! ☘️

4 straight wins 🔥
9-1 (90%) last 10 📈

NFL preseason cheat sheet also included.

Hennyspicks on IG for more!

u/Hennys_Picks — 5 days ago
▲ 3 r/sportsbettingzone+1 crossposts

8/14 FREE MLB PICK + NFL PRESEASON CHEAT SHEET

8/14 Free MLB Pick of the Day

Astros Team Total Over 3.5 (-135)

Why? Our model is calculating a 64% true probability versus an implied 57% by the books. That’s a 7% +EV edge which is strong enough for us to place this wager. We are 12-2 (86%) in the last 14 & 63-29 (68%) last 92.

I don’t bet on NFL preseason but I still ran the numbers and included a cheat sheet for all 3 games today.

Hennyspicks on IG for more

BOL ☘️

u/Hennys_Picks — 6 days ago