u/Holiday-Ad-2249

What's a Bold Prediction That You Have for the Future of Fantasy Football?

We've seen fantasy football landscapes change rapidly, even on a year-to-year basis. I'll give a macro-level take for the community at large: Superflex will become standard in redraft leagues.

From what I've seen, dynasty is often quicker to adopt new changes compared to redraft, and it wasn't long ago that most dynasty leagues were 1QB. I've seen more and more redraft leagues ditch kickers and defenses as well. SF would make it easier for the casual fan to get into fantasy football, for quarterbacks are actually valued similarly to in real life.

Please discuss any other bold takes you have or why you may disagree/agree with mine!

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u/Holiday-Ad-2249 — 10 days ago

Do People Overvalue QB Scarcity?

Across many threads, I've seen people discuss how scarcity significantly inflates QB value in 12-team leagues, whereas it's a non-issue in 10-team leagues. For this reason, you'll have people saying that Mendoza is their 1.02 in a 12-man league, but their 1.06 in a 10-man league.

However, is there really that much of a difference in QB scarcity? There are 32 starters, so an average of 2.67 and 3.2 starting QBs per roster across the respective league sizes. Still, in 12-team leagues, the majority of teams can roster a starter on their bench.

Yes, rostering three starters is impossible for everyone, but not everyone is competing in a given year. Therefore, not every team feels the need to roster three starters. I'm not saying that the scarcity is a complete non-factor, but it seems highly overblown.

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u/Holiday-Ad-2249 — 14 days ago
▲ 8 r/FantasyFootballers+2 crossposts

Not sure if this is more about league discussion or dynasty theory, but when setting up leagues, how do you think about creating an ideal league economy?

Obviously, superflex is a must so that QBs aren't useless, but everything else can be debated. I also want better and more productive players at a position to be more valuable than worse and less productive players at a position.

For QBs, I would argue 6 points per passing TD is better than 4 points per passing TD, so that good passers like Dak aren't necessarily less valuable than poor passers like Hurts. Conversely, for WRs, I almost feel like full PPR prioritizes WRs who aren't as good in real life but get target-spammed, like Wandale, over better real-life receivers like Alec Pierce (their dynasty value is similar, but their real-life value isn't). Half-PPR appears to be more effective at capturing real-life value.

Here's where the problem lies, in my opinion: when you combine both of these settings, 6 pt passing TD and half-PPR, that makes QBs disproportionately more valuable than skill positions when compared to typical settings. What's the solution to this? Super deep lineups, like start 12? Any thoughts on the matter would be greatly appreciated.

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u/Holiday-Ad-2249 — 17 days ago