u/Illustrious-Boss9356

Ok guys I'm the guy who said a week ago that maybe Altman was dumping his position and causing the weak price action. I was downvoted to oblivion. But I'm back with another PSA and I hope I have earned a tiny bit of credibility for being right on the Altman situation.

So basically, I have a theory that certain hedge funds, particularly ones with affiliated market-making businesses (looking at you Citadel) have a new strategy which is when capital on options positions become VERY sizeable, you can actually profit by buying/selling the stock to win those option bets (yes, an option is a binary bet).

Here's how it works.

Let's say, they are able to aell $750m worth of premiums of outstanding call options owned by RDDT "longs". Because of what I described above, they can use those premiums to short the shares basically surpressing the price into expiration.

Now in 99% of cases this woudln't make sense because the risk to the short position is greater than the $750m premium valuec but now:

-Tons of volume today is just via passive ETFs, which are more predictable in their activity.
-Many "long" positiontakers only buying calls because they are of r/wallstreetbets culture
-$RDDT having a low public float due to being recently IPO'd
-All brokerages have basically moved to payment for order flow model so data on retail shareholder behavior is more available than ever

So basically what I'm saying is, if you want to stop the "manipulation", which in my mind is totally fair play to the manipulators, and you're a call or LEAPs holder, you can do so by selling your options and buying shares.

And no, the manipulators aren't out to get RDDT, they're just looking for opportunity and RDDT happens to be that right now.

Thanks for listening to my TED talk.

Position: 635 shares, sold 3 contracts of Jun 150 puts, sold 7 contracts of Jun 140 Puts.

Yo everyone. I've been running around Asia making chicken videos on YouTube. So you KNOW I'm a damn good bet when it comes to financial markets. I even have a CFA thingy-majig.

Okay, so how do I this market is going up and to the right? Aside from the fact that it ALWAYS DOES ANYWAY? Check this out.

Ask yourself real quick. It's 2030 and there are three scenarios:

Scenario A: The SP500 sits at 8,500 after slightly recovering from a 40% pullback in late 2026/2027. Average home price has also slightly recovered and sits at a tad over $500k. Unemployed edged slightly up and inflation has run hot so the average consumer is struggling.

Scenario B: The SP500 sits at 6,500 after a pullback due to the AI boom unwinding. Private credit has been schlacked and semi industry is overleveraged on more expensive debt. The average home has fallen to around $400k as the economy has slowed. The average consumer still struggles but doesn't feel left behind.

Scenario C: Blast off. AI revolutionizes productivity, most people are useless. The SP500 rockets to over 10,000 and the average US home is over $750k, with the average home in desireable MSA's now standing at well over $1.5m. The average consumer is effectively priced out of life at this point and while they don't have to worry about hunger, they're basically just pawns in the game.

Now think about history, which scenario is the most likely? Obviously the one that screws over your average Joe the most.

So C it is!

Positions:
1,000 shares long $RDDT.
500 shares long $CRCL.
500 shares long $PM (tobacco will keep the people happy).
500 shares long CATL (300750).

Everyone knows that OpenAI is a mess. Just look at MSFT performance. Anthropic is kicking ass taking names

Could this price weakness be because one of the largest RDDT owners is dumping?

Looking for any and all advice as I'm 2.5 weeks into this endeavor (and having a blast!).

Please let me know the optimal strategy for face/faceless and longform/shortform on the same channel, or is that just a mistake?

Thanks!

YichaoLovesChicken is the channel.

So this is my first faceless video and my first short.

Curious if yall experience tubers have any advice to give. Is it a mistake posting shorts from the same channel as my long form? Or should I not mix face and faceless content?

I'm only two weeks in so please blast away! I'm trying to learn every video.

YichaoLovesChicken is the channel.

Thanks a ton in advance.