Sports betting and $GENI
I know we all hate the nonstop sports betting commercials.
Draft kings. Fanduel. Caesar's. BetMGM. And the list goes on and on.
Why invest in any of them when you can invest in all of them?
Partnerships
GENI / Genius supplies the sports data from leagues all over the world to these sportsbooks.
Leagues like:
- NFL (who own 9% equity in GENI)
- La Liga
- NCAA basketball / March Madness
- NCAA football
- English Premier League
Fundamentals
They're a $1 billion dollar market cap stock that is guiding revenue of $1 billion for 2026.
And they're profitable.
- their last 2 EPS were negative due to one-time warrant liabilities and combination fees when they merged with Legend
EBITDA for 2026 was also raised from 23% to 28%
https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/GENI/genius-sports/revenue
Revenue is growing 30% YoY
Price targets are currently averaging $10 or more.
Polymarket and Kalshi
As we all know - "prediction" markets are blowing up. If they end up getting a partnership with one of these major players then that could be the catalyst to send GENI soaring like crazy.
- even if they don't, they're positioned extremely well to return amazing returns
Market weakness
The stock was trading $13+ only 6 months ago. It was hit by a harsh sell off on the news they were buying Legend. But this last earnings was the first with the new company being factored in and they only raised all guidance, indicating that the combination will be very lucrative going forward.
Despite this, consistent price targets keep coming in for over 100% of today's trading price