How much should research fit determine an Econ PhD application list?
I’m applying to Economics PhD programs this cycle and have run into a problem: the schools that fit my research interests best are disproportionately very highly ranked.
I’ve worked as an RA for 2.5+ years and have developed fairly specific interests in IO, networks, and transportation, particularly research combining those areas.
When I look for departments with several faculty members who could realistically advise that kind of work, I end up with a very top-heavy application list. I can obviously add lower-ranked programs, but the fit often becomes much weaker.
I’m also struggling to judge how competitive my own profile is because my academic record is unusual. My undergraduate and Honours degrees are separate degrees. My undergraduate degree was not pure economics and my performance was relatively weak. After being hired as an RA, I completed a separate Economics Honours degree that is effectively the first year of graduate economics training in my system. I took eight graduate-level economics courses, including PhD Microeconomics, and received A-range grades in all eight.
My academic performance therefore improved very sharply at around the same time that I began doing research and moved into graduate-level economics.
I’m unsure how admissions committees will weigh the weaker undergraduate record against the much stronger and more recent graduate economics record.
That makes it difficult for me to tell whether my application list is appropriately ambitious given my profile, or just wildly unrealistic.
I know interests can evolve during a PhD, and I’m realistic about how unpredictable admissions are. I’m therefore wondering how others would balance:
strong research fit + very low admissions probability, versus weaker fit + a more diversified application list.
At what point would you compromise on research fit for the sake of having a more balanced list? And how would you evaluate an applicant whose earlier undergraduate record is substantially weaker than a later, separate year of strong graduate economics coursework including a strong honours thesis?