Epileptic parenting

Our 7 week old baby was diagnosed with epilepsy when she was 20 days old. She has a cortical dysplasia which causes her to have a range of seizure types as well as repeated clusters of spasms, sometimes into the hundreds, throughout the day.

We understand it will very likely be drug resistant and have already cycled through a range of medications trying to find something to reduce the seizures (nothing yet achieving zero seizures), likely working towards surgery but without any guarantees of seizure freedom. This sub has been a great source of information and insight as we have tried to learn about epilepsy and we’ve been encouraged by the existence of such an active and supportive community.

One thing that’s stood out to us is a few people sharing that they found it hard telling their parents when they’d had seizures because of their parents’ reactions (them getting upset/clearly feeling sad etc).

We would love to hear from the community, in an ideal world, how would you like (or would you have liked) your parents to have reacted to seizures or supported you through a childhood with epilepsy?

What is the best way for someone to respond when you tell them you’ve had a seizure?

And when you’re having a seizure or coming round from one, what do you want people to do and to act?

We want to foster the right environment as best as we can for our baby as she grows up with this! Apologies if any terminology used is not quite right - we are very new on this journey, and want and need to learn!

reddit.com
u/LightlyTroddenLead — 15 hours ago
▲ 10 r/fplAnalytics+1 crossposts

FPLdaq

Wh-wha-whaaaaat? Well, I thought it could be interesting to set up a market index for fantasy premier league (FPL) assets. The name is a nod to the US tech stock exchange or the niche BBC experiment Celebdaq, depending on whether you ask me or my suffering wife!

The site is live, collecting data and the full time series of FPL data underpinning it is also publicly available. It should get a little more interesting as the start of the season approaches, hopefully some of you enjoy it!

The site: https://fpldaq.live

A little extra background here: https://medium.com/@marcusleadboot/fpldaq-d415310df799

u/LightlyTroddenLead — 6 days ago

World Cup Model Update & Performance

I shared a World Cup model and some outputs here a few weeks ago - here’s an update to the main model output following week 1 as well as a summary of performance against some other predictions from AI / Goldman Sachs.

Key takeaways:
- Spain still look like favourites but France / Argentina’s odds have improved materially
- model performs “okay”, which is a result in my view! Particularly pleased to be matching Goldmans performance, I’m available to freelance Mr Goldman and I reckon I’m cheaper than what you have…
- biggest surprise for the model was the Sweden vs Tunisia goal difference and some commenters will be less surprised than my model at Iran drawing against New Zealand I’m sure!

Enjoy - and remember, this is supposed to be fun!

More detail here: Matchday 1 model update

Original model post here: Modelling 1,000 world cups

u/LightlyTroddenLead — 2 months ago
▲ 3 r/DIYUK

How can I attach a hose to this…

I need to be able to connect a hose to this style of tap (to fill a birth pool) and have tried several things that haven’t worked so far! Running out of time and ideas so any help welcomed!

(It’s a rented flat otherwise I probably would have just replaced the tap by now!)

u/LightlyTroddenLead — 2 months ago
▲ 98 r/financialmodelling+1 crossposts

Modelling the 2026 FIFA World Cup

I’ve built a model of the upcoming World Cup for a bit of fun and this is the main output - thoughts on a postcard!

Some detail on my approach:

  1. I’ve replicated a game-by-game FIFA-style ranking system based on ~10 years of fixtures. I’ve captured some of the nuance of the FIFA system (Elo-style ratings with game importance weighted) but not all.

  2. I’ve used a Poisson regression model trained on the relationship between those historical results and the difference in ranking at the start of each fixture. Given the rating difference between two teams, it predicts how many goals each side is likely to score and the likely result. Crucial caveats are that I didn’t bother to model penalties or to incorporate home advantage for the tournament hosts.

  3. To generate my probabilities I simulated the tournament 1,000 times. In each simulation, every match is played out by drawing random scorelines from the Poisson predictions, following the actual World Cup 2026 bracket through group stage and knockouts (this bit was fiddly).

If you’re thirsty for more, or want to build on this basic model, there is some more detail, the code and input files all at the link below. Enjoy!

Modelling 1,000 world cups

u/LightlyTroddenLead — 3 months ago