
UAE's Dubai sounds the alarm over missile threat
UAE: Air defence systems detected a missile threat targeting the county. Also it is important to note that the 60-day ceasefire has officially ended and expired yesterday with no extention (Aug 17).

UAE: Air defence systems detected a missile threat targeting the county. Also it is important to note that the 60-day ceasefire has officially ended and expired yesterday with no extention (Aug 17).
Source: White House on X. BTW it's back to being Persian Gulf.. and not Arabian Gulf; interestingly Qatar and Bahrain have completely been sunk or 'obliterated'. So, should you be wondering who (also) posts in from Trump's social account - check this video.
Live-AIS.com - Over the last 24 hrs, only a single tanker made an outbound transit, est to be laden with 0.5 mb (vessel reporting a 7m draft). Also not much oil moving around the Red Sea either and almost zero tanker movement in the Black Sea.
Tracking the movement of US assets in the region.. might suggest so. But will the ME countries allow their territories to be used? Likely not all, having witnessed how the past months have been for them. Ammunitions stockpile, depleting oil reserves, the situation at the Hormuz or will it be boots on the ground? Coming days/weeks will tell.
Trump: "SoH open and has been completely cleared of mines!" (Video in comment)
Not sure when and how that happened. Just a reminder, the last time he said the SoH was open, a bunch of stranded vessels made a dash for it and some were attacked and couple MSC vessels captured by Iran. Hopefully they know better now.
Source: WhiteHouse on X.
Summary: The video references Trumps speech at G7 (Jun 26) stating the US is 4 weeks away from depleting it's oil reserves should the war with Iran escalate. Also that crude needs to be refined, and with refineries across Russia, ME and elsewhere being damaged or shut, those reserves could dry up quicker. Pape is a political analyst who explains what he calls the Escalation Trap and what the odds of the escalation are; and how the various scenarios play out. He further explains for how Iran has the upper hand at the moment with the developing situation at Yanbu/Red Sea with the Houthis and that Trump has dug himself a hole and has some very hard choices ahead, one way or another. Draws parallels from the recently released LBJs notes on Vietnam and how this may end up another forever war.
Robert Pape is a Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago and director of the Chicago Project on Security and Threats. A renowned political scientist, he has advised every White House since 9/11 on military strategy and is the author of the upcoming book “Our Own Worst Enemies: America and the Age of Violent Populism”.
Says Israeli intel on ‘Iranian assassination plot’ NOT NEW.
“I think it’s over. I don’t want to deal with them anymore. They’re scum. They’re sick people. They’re led by sick people. And they’re vicious, violent people.”
Interesting to see - what's next.
Professor Jiang predicted Trump would win the election, America would go to war with Iran, and that the United States would lose that war. Now he reveals why he believes this conflict could reshape the entire world order!
Professor Jiang is a geopolitical analyst, writer, and host of the YouTube channel 'Predictive History', who uses history, geography, economics, and game theory to explain where global conflicts may be heading next. Through his Substack, he provides geopolitical analysis of current events and helps readers understand the deeper forces shaping war, power, and the future of the American empire.
He explains:
◼️Why he believes America had no choice but to go to war with Iran
◼️Why Israel’s real goal may be much bigger than defeating Iran
◼️How the Strait of Hormuz could trigger a global energy and food crisis
◼️Why China, Russia, Iran, Israel, and the US are locked into competing worldviews
◼️Why the US dollar, oil, and global trade routes are at the center of the Iran War
◼️Why he believes World War 3 may have already begun
◼️What happens if Russia enters the war on Iran’s side
◼️Why the next phase of war may be fought through energy, shipping, and food
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As video flooded social media platforms over the weekend showing long lines at Russian gas stations — and even fights breaking out in parking lots among frustrated drivers — President Vladimir Putin tried to calm concerns on Sunday and quell panic-buying by insisting that shortages triggered by weeks of Ukrainian strikes weren't critical.
But the steps the Russian government is taking reveal the depth of the crisis. It has already banned exports of gasoline and jet fuel, and on Tuesday, the Kremlin confirmed it is looking at importing oil products from other countries.
"If agreements can be reached at acceptable price points, then [imports] will move forward," said Dmitry Peskov, the Kremlin spokesperson, in a call with journalists.
Steady eastwards and west, until the US strike in Sirik the last hour.
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CNN: Link
IRIB: Iran launched CRUISE MISSILE at ‘US-owned’ MSC SARISKA ship in REVENGE for American attack on Iranian vessel.
It had completed unloading its cargo at the port of Umm Qasr in southern Iraq.