
"Trump Should Take the U.S. Military’s Warning on Iran Seriously" (Feb 2026)
Re-reading this article today, written four months ago i.e. a few days before the start of Operation Epic Fury, shows how foolish the US government was in starting a war with Iran, despite the warning provided by their own military experts.
>Iran still has larger numbers of short-range and anti-ship missiles. Those missiles could be used to target U.S. bases in the region and oil infrastructure belonging to U.S. allies such as Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates.
>The ultimate nightmare would be if Iran were able to temporarily close the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important commercial arteries (about 20 percent of global oil consumption flows through the strait), thereby spiking global oil prices.
>The United States could still successfully strike targets in Iran, but it is far from clear that such attacks would bring major concessions from the regime. The president would be well advised to take these considerable risks and costs into account before starting a war without an obvious exit strategy.