
Samsung Electronics and SK hynix are projected to post a combined operating profit of approximately $139.71 billion, in the third quarter of this year, setting new records for quarterly earnings
Surging memory demand driven by expanded investment in artificial intelligence (AI) data centers, combined with a persistent supply shortage, is fueling the strong results. Analysts and industry sources expect both companies to sustain record-level growth in the second half of the year as they increase the revenue share from sixth-generation high-bandwidth memory (HBM4).
According to Wise Report on Sept. 28, Samsung Electronics’ estimated operating profit for the third quarter stands at 111.38 trillion won, representing a sharp year-on-year increase of 815.47%. It would be the first time a South Korean company has posted quarterly operating profit of more than 100 trillion won. Revenue is also expected to grow 137.93% to 204.76 trillion won, surpassing the all-time record set in the second quarter. SK hynix is likewise forecast to post revenue of 99.54 trillion won and operating profit of 78.13 trillion won, representing steep year-on-year growth of 307.13% and 586.34%, respectively.
The strong results are underpinned by a structural supply shortage in memory semiconductors and the resulting price increases. Market research firm TrendForce projected that general-purpose DRAM prices would rise by up to 18% quarter-on-quarter in the third quarter of this year, while NAND flash prices would climb by as much as 15%. Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan recently warned at an AI Infrastructure Summit that “as AI adoption continues to drive memory demand higher, supply shortages and price spikes will intensify further next year.”
Experts are also broadly optimistic about the long-term strength of the semiconductor sector. Baek Gil-hyeon, a research analyst at Yuanta Securities Korea, projected that even if the pace of memory price increases moderates somewhat, tight supply-demand conditions will persist through 2027 to 2028. He noted that supply constraints are creating a market environment favorable to manufacturers.
As Samsung Electronics and SK hynix concentrate their production capacity on HBM for AI semiconductors, the shortage of general-purpose DRAM is becoming increasingly acute. According to KB Securities, the share of HBM in Samsung Electronics’ total DRAM production capacity is expected to expand from 27% last year to 40% by 2027. Meanwhile, the share of general-purpose DRAM is projected to fall from 73% to 59% over the same period, further deepening the structural supply shortage.