u/PhilosophySalt7695

Interesting acoustic thesis on HOVR from Chinese investor (high freq profile materially better for defence)

Reposting: Saw this posted on Matan's discord. His acoustic thesis is the genuinely novel, meaning I haven't seen this articulated elsewhere on HOVR. Small ducted fans run at high RPM, so the noise is high-frequency. High-frequency sound attenuates fast in air and doesn't diffract around obstacles. Helicopter rotors are large/slow, so low-frequency, which travels far and penetrates buildings. He estimates HOVR will run 10–20 dB quieter than rotorcraft, and notes the high-freq profile is materially better for any military/concealment application because the sound won't carry. This goes nicely with the Canadian defence procurement angle for stealthy insertions / extractions.

This also matches what HOVR team has been saying that it is quieter than a helicopter. Also the fans are ducted / the rear prop blocked. Even the MT prop seems to be optimized for sound level.

One more detail he is excited about is that instead of conventional visible fan blades from below the duct, there's a honeycomb/folded structure under the fan that does three things it concentrates downward thrust (hovr has this patented), acts as thrust-vector control by tilting the louvers (so attitude/translation control during hover without complex mechanical linkages), and serves as a muffler that cancels lateral acoustic energy.

Here's an image of the flowguide patent (thx Deathsmiles). If you look closely on the X5 videos you can see it in action actually.

https://preview.redd.it/jnkcy8myum1h1.png?width=1121&format=png&auto=webp&s=d061c6b5d2f87a1b61eb5a50e2fb6c959d44a9ba

Anyway if you were wondering the Chinese guy's trading plan is "next double, sell down to recover principal, let the rest run as venture money." Here's his video (it's in Chinese though) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YRJtkxt-ugY

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u/PhilosophySalt7695 — 5 days ago

Ever wondered how the PT6 engine works?

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TBePV_cph0I The best turboprop engine ever made, the Legendary PT6 from Pratt & Whitney Canada (No AI)

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If you wanted to learn more about the engine the X7 will use I recommend that video.

Also think about this. Archer, Joby, Beta... they are all building their own engines in-house. Starting from zero flight hours...

Horizon X7 on the other hand uses the best turboprop ever made with over 1 billion (yes billion) flying hours and 60 years in service.

Think about this, where would you rather put your family in? A brand new engine by a startup with limited test data. Or the the safest and most reliable engine in existence.

🙂☕ Just some food for thought and a video while you sip your coffee.

u/PhilosophySalt7695 — 6 days ago

2021 vs Now: Scaling up to full-size

It shows you how far they have come in 5 years, from a small foam-cut fuselage (before it was fibreglassed... this is one of the earliest photographs I can find) to assembling a full scale 7-seater.

And if you haven't watched the video yet of their propeller unboxing: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EkO5e2Isfjc

A piece of foam and a dream in 5 years, to the first full-size parts arriving for assembly. The first fan-in-wing modern aircraft in history might be flown by a human next year. If anyone new doesn't know, this is likely the first guy to fly the X7 and he sits on their board https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jameel_Janjua

u/PhilosophySalt7695 — 7 days ago

Hot take: full-scale X7 reveal is the viral moment, not first flight... That's when the eyeballs on HOVR 100X or 1000X ... roughly within 7 months

Everyone here is pricing in first flight (Q1 2027ish target) which is less than 12 months away. I think the actual catalyst has strong potential to land months earlier.

Full-scale X7 rollout is targeted for 2026 which is roughly 7 months out. That's when journalists and YouTubers can walk up, sit inside the aircraft, film walkthroughs, interviews with a former fighter pilot etc... its perfect. Media people would rather do a sexy quick interior tour in the A/C than stand outside in the sun for hours to watch the flight anyway, generally speaking.

Think about what actually gets eyeballs:

Full-scale reveal: 20-minute YouTube tours, cockpit walkthroughs, "I sat in the future of aviation" headlines, B-roll that gets reused for weeks. Full segments on CBC, CTV, Global. Any Canadian documentary, news, youtuber who wants to cover AAM or aviation now will go visit.

Now think about the nationalism....

Carney's in office now and Horizon team has plenty of connections in government. Canadian advanced manufacturing, national defense and AAM, and clean tech are flagged federal priorities. A made-in-Ontario hybrid eVTOL with a finished prototype is exactly the photo op a government commuinications team wants on the news cycle. I'd put money on at least one cabinet minister inside the X7 before year end... Because, why not? It's heavy incentives for everyone... follow the path of least resistance.

Current yeball awareness estimate. So grab a random Canadian off the street... I'd guess under 1% of Canadians have heard of HOVR right now. After a national press tour with a sittable aircraft, the YouTube ecosystem alone could move that an order of magnitude (there are some really big youtubers that would cover this once you can sit inside a fully build sexy aircraft). The visual story starts way before the aircraft ever flies.... this is the beginning of the HOVR story in people's hearts and minds.

This is within 7 months. And within this time-frame you will start getting serious buy the rumor retail FOMO leading up to the first full-scale flight. Right now HOVR is building a great base on social, you can see subscriber numbers climb up, more and more attention on other subs etc. This is the base that will launch those videos/interviews of influencers sitting in the full-scale X7 and let it go viral.

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u/PhilosophySalt7695 — 9 days ago
▲ 87 r/ChatGPT

Prompt - "photo is from year [Write a random year here] ], it was called "a few seconds before happiness" ......... wtf I used the year 1822 , what was going on then?

u/PhilosophySalt7695 — 10 days ago

HOVRW Warrant (Risk Profile) Tool

link: https://hovr-warrants-app.vercel.app/

So many people are asking how to price the warrants in the last couple weeks so I decided to make public one of my tools just with static data. (Claude Design is really great, I recommend it).

Important: The license fees for commercial use data are too high so this is just a snapshot taken at 5/9/2026 I entered manually from open source data. If you use it after this weekend you should enter the hovr / hovrw prices yourself.

I might update it in the future if anyone requests, e.g. if there is a change in number of shares. Definitely no guarantees I will maintain it.

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This is a risk profile chart based on black scholes just like you would find on Think or Swim but wrapped in a web friendly UI.

If you can't figure out how to use this, you probably shouldn't be buying warrants anyway so I don't think I'll break this down into a tutorial. But here's the basic use case

  1. Add your position

  2. Choose a date in the future like first flight test Q1 2027 or something

  3. Choose a price you think the stock will be at by then by clicking on the chart

  4. Dream about your gains

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Use for: scenario analysis, IV/time/price sensitivity, warrant-vs-stock comparison.

Disclaimer: everything could be wrong / not financial advice / do your own calculations.

u/PhilosophySalt7695 — 13 days ago

hovr investment

credits to /u/badger6638 for the easiest possible explanation of the HOVR investment. I thought it best to memorialize this into art (credit to chatgpt)

>plane is cool, stonk goes brrrrrr.
If plane goes boom, stonk goes boom

u/PhilosophySalt7695 — 14 days ago

What aircraft should I add next?

I was thinking of adding the Archer Midnight. Maybe a helicopter? I'm not following the other projects very closely. I'm going to add support for additional aircraft this weekend... ideas?

u/PhilosophySalt7695 — 16 days ago

HOVR Pre-Cert Military Pathway

I have been seeing this question come up a few times, probably the most "regulated" thus highest bar for evidence is directly from their 10Q:

SEC filing, 10-Q April 14, 2026:

>"Horizon intends to certify its Cavorite X7 aircraft as a dual-use aircraft for both civilian and military applications."

>"The advantage of military application of Horizon's aircraft in addition to sales volumes leads to a reduction in the risk of certification as aircraft used for military purposes do not need to achieve TCCA, FAA, or similar certification approval."

Remember Brandon Robinson had a director-level role managing billions of dollars including Canada's F-35A acquisition. And is air force buddies with the current head of procurement.

Phil Kelly was Head of Carrier Strike and Maritime Aviation, UK Navy and led the introduction of the F-35B into UK Royal Navy service.

HOVR's executive team knows exactly how the military purchases new aircraft and are explicit that they can sell to the military before civil certifications.

That is all.

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u/PhilosophySalt7695 — 16 days ago