u/Ragebait_Destroyer

After I shared a warm moment with this girl, the next time I saw her, she kind of noticed I felt attraction, but was trying to hide it.

From what I could retrospectively tell, she seemed to be trying to "test" if I was attracted and confirm it to herself. She did something flirty, then immediately walked away quick. This introduced a lot of ambiguity into the dynamic, and there was increasingly charged moments afterward which were also full of ambiguity and it was impossible to tell on either side what was going on.

The net result is that the air never really got cleared and my interpretation of what happened left me feeling like the person played with my feelings, so I eventually just iced them out completely. I erased them, even refusing to look at them, because I was deeply offended. I didn't get a chance to speak to them because I saw them at their job later, but wasn't going to talk about it while they worked.

I had to study what happened with AI models to get a deeper understanding and it seemed like the indicators pointed to this person wanting connection but being scared to drop their guard and pursue it, so they tried a lot of indirect things. The indirect things made the situation very confusing.

This is not good. If you notice a person sort of has their emotional guard up, you need to move slowly with them and signal safety. The way that you signal safety to a person like this is to talk to them directly and slowly, not giving emotional whiplash by trying to dance around them.

Some people like to use plausible deniability to shield themselves from rejection, but overusing this is not a good idea because others start questioning their own sanity or gaslighting themselves until they shut down.

Netanyahu is getting really excited over another reason to bomb a middle east country or flatten a hospital. Trump too. They can't wait to sabre rattle.

Khameini says no deal, tightens grip on uranium and Hormuz strait. Oil to $150/bbl maybe.

Chips CONTINUE to be overvalued heavily as musk rushes in to cash in on the bubble by IPOing another lossmaker he can wrap into another company. Musk is very experienced, he lived through dotcom and knows how to make a quick buck swindling indexes before the fall.

Indexes need to come down 30... maybe 50%. Lots of froth as they pile lossmaking companies into index funds disproportionately, and AI, chips, memory and now even space companies are all deeply intertwined. This is what we call shadow banking.

If you like indexes now, you'll love them at 50% off guys.

Big corrections always start with risky high beta assets dumping quietly first. Markets are never flat, if it's not going up, it's going down.

BREAKING: HUGE CHINA SLOWDOWN AND META LAYOFFS LOOMING AS AI REPLACES WHITE COLLAR JOBS

China’s growth slowed across the board in April with investment resuming declines, calling into question the government’s reluctance to add stimulus to the economy as a global energy crisis hits factories and consumers across the world.

"Official data on Monday painted a picture of an economy where booming exports no longer offset deteriorating consumption at home, prompting analysts at banks including Nomura Holdings Inc. and Societe G

enerale SA to urge bolder measures in support of growth."

China credit crunch?

Iran setting up a crypto toll booth doesn't scream "everything will all be over soon.". Trump rushing to the "situation room" calling his buddies over at Axios trying to get a fast bullish headline out as he prepares military strikes.

I guess the problem with the TACO trade is one of these days, someone actually calls your bluff. $140/bbl coming soon.

Looks like another red wedding for longs tomorrow. What's that smell? I think it's chip bulls sweating profusely.

Ghalibaf is making it clear on his X that he's watching US News cycle on markets. Markets being up = he has more leverage. Markets going up into midterms = big leverage.

He knows Trump has no good options so he can extend the pain. There won't be a deal until markets drop big and oil spikes again, forcing Trump to accept the worst possible deal.

The second scary thing for bulls is repeat huge volatile days with no upside. It means CTA & Momo algorithms are already fully long and there are no more buyers. Sudden 10% drops in entire indexes means top heavy and ready to dump.

Be wise ... Sell or be sold to. We will revisit the lows of the year soon.

More headlines from axios or Pakistan? Iran is not giving up nuclear weapons. They will agree to something to stall for a month or 2 then continue just like China. Hahahaha. Next time they will be more ready for us, since they know Trump is very easy to Taco.

Or maybe jobs headlines. Healthcare is the only bright sector (the sector that bleeds most people out of their money), otherwise wages are still stagnant and you can get a nice retail job. Low pay work.

Remain bearish.. algos don't have much more juice to pump this fake market. -20% is coming fast for longs.

Chips stock are following pre-COVID pattern of concentrated run up in tech then collapse. Longs confuse price action from momentum trading algos as being meaningful with confidence.

The math bulls fail to understand is that an entire economy can't be held up by tech. Wages are stagnant for most areas ex healthcare. Source: https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/wage-growth-tracker

Job growth is also stagnant, sources are on X.

AI spending is supposed to be the reason we are bullish, yet no one can explain or hypothesize how $ trillion in AI spending, which is crowding out workers in big tech, has any benefit to worker or consumer. Layoffs seen yet are not even related to AI job displacement, just investment. This is strong evidence of a self perpetuating bubble.

Consumer are still 70% of spending, and big tech will eventually tap out. This brings us to the next point: Everything done by this administration & big tech is a tax on consumers. They pay for higher oil, higher memory and RAM, higher electricity. In essence, the consumer is being taxed to pay for AI infrastructure & the trump administrations fiascos at almost every turn

The common refrain is "but 50% of the spending comes from the rich", the problem is that 50% of the products don't come from the rich. One rich person only needs one bed, one fridge, and so on. The wealthy have a lower propensity to spend money than the poor.

Polling shows population is turning against AI, which is why large tech companies have started trying to AstroTurf AI on tiktok (proven on X already).

When the investment dries up, this unstable market should collapse. The most likely medium term risk, disregarding Hormuz, is political. The extreme concentration of wealth in big tech will likely spark calls for increasingly corporate taxes and individual taxes. Lower corporate taxes no longer has any legitimate justification when companies are blowing up earnings.

Political risk is much higher than being accounted for by markets. For example, almost half of all data centers this year were delayed our cancelled.. Organizations are beginning to organize and vote against them. source: https://www.techradar.com/pro/if-one-piece-of-your-supply-chain-is-delayed-then-your-whole-project-cant-deliver-nearly-half-of-us-data-centers-planned-for-2026-canceled-or-delayed-and-things-could-soon-get-much-worse

just ask yourself one question... does Trump want ATHs now or closer to November? an oil crisis now sets the market up for a relief rally in November. Voters have the memory of goldfish and he identified that correctly.

Semis are one of the clearest bubbles that exist today and easiest to short. When the investment dries up, there will be a tremendous overcapacity and they will go back to being cyclical stocks. Semis today are the housing of'08.

Longs are pumping hard... they feel victorious and pompous. very good. lets get everyone in calls first before the drop.

every hour Hormuz is closed, 0.5 million barrels are removed from market, with a billion barrels already lost. iran is currently calling for economic jihad, and houthis are threatening bab al-mandab which will take another 10% offline.

bulls have false sense of confidence from high price, but it's fake, just algorithms momo trading. The drop is within 4 weeks for sure. relax bears, our time is coming.

What would you think about a guy who was really cold for along time, then one day stopped to help me at work when he saw I needed it, and was actually nice and warm. Then he seemed attracted to me from his body language but was obviously trying really hard to hide it? Like I said something playful and he kinda replied over his shoulder but it was a compliment, but while he was walking away.

Many people are familiar with attachment styles because the concept is mainstream. But there are other personality traits that are just as important.

Everyone falls on a spectrum called "self monitoring". You can be a low self monitor, or a high self monitor.

Self monitoring refers to how much a person "reads the room" and adapts to what they think is appropriate. A high self monitor is a social chameleon, they are incredibly skilled at navigating social situations and reading people.

High self monitors rapidly scan your social cues and body language, and immediately adapt to the version of themselves they believe you'll like best. You can be acquisitive (you use your skills for self gain) or protective (you use your skills to avoid negative social outcomes/embarrassment).

Self monitors have certain properties:

-They hate being socially 'out of sync'. They constantly think about what is socially correct/proper. This might seem good, and it is, but there are some serious issues, especially if you're a man. The problem is asymmetric vs women because men are expected to lead I used to wonder "why am I so confident with some people but still so scared to approach girls"? The answer is that I'm a high self monitor. I constantly worried about the concept of making people uncomfortable. High self monitors hate the feeling of forcing themselves on someone, so they need a clear signal.

-They'll mirror you like crazy. Mirroring operates at the unconscious level, so they don't know they're doing this.

-They restrict facial expression: If you've ever seen a person who looks extremely straight face, like they refuse to show any expression, but they're constantly observing everyone, this is a dead giveaway. Research shows that what they feel is at odds with what they show.

-Everywhere they go, they get along with people, yet they have almost no close friends. This is because they are so good at managing there presentation, they compartmentalize everyone. This causes them to feel very lonely. They are highly guarded at letting people close. This is worse for the protective variant.

If you are interested, or if you suspect this is you, I recommend reading more through AI models. Always presenting the 'socially correct ' version of yourself can be a negative when you need to let your real personality shine through. However, the biggest 'pro' of this trait of that when people ask "can they change?" the answer is yes, they actually can. A low self monitor will not change, but a high one will adapt to you over time in the relationship. I know, because I am one. It took me some years with my wife before I changed a lot of things I did that she hated.

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I can't find these in any online database and need them for something. Thank you. I need the physical structure clearly drawn