u/SubjectRice9419

Top 2 Analysis for SRH using Anchors: [Written by a human being]

The following analysis is written with anchors in mind, I will select an anchor and we will proceed to see how each team and its matches affect our team SRH's chances of getting into Top 2.

Top 2 is a very ambitious goal as of now and I will opt for an optimistic undertone throughout this analysis. Though I agree SRH will have to give its best to win its remaining 2 matches, but then I would say that we are predicting Top 2 possibilities for SRH and for that case, I will put my full faith in the team to win the upcoming two matches.

1. SRH must win both of its upcoming matched against CSK and RCB.

If that happens, we are definitely in Top 4 (100% chance), but let us stretch it further to see how we can make it Top 2.

SRH's Top 4 and Top 2 probabilities if we win both of our upcoming matches.

If we any any of the two matches, we are out of the race for Top 2.

2. PBKS vs RCB match today: RCB winning is better for us.

Reason: If PBKS wins today, and RR wins tomorrow (very likely), and if we assume a bad day where we lose the match against CSK, PBKS winning against RCB is statistically worse for us as it will put us in 4th place in the points table which is not comfortable for us.

Though we assume that we will win against CSK, if we do not, we will be at a disadvantage if PBKS wins today.

If RCB wins today against PBKS, it will secure its place in Top 4 no matter if we win against RCB, so there is that too. So they will a bit calmed down when they face us on 22nd May.

3. Now the RR case.

RR has 3 more matches left, and I will assume that they can win about 2 of their matches. In that scenario, RR will secure its place in Top 4 and PBKS will be out of Top 4 (even if they win against LSG).

This is good for us because I am more comfortable with RR than PBKS and for obvious reasons, we have done comfortably good against RR yet.

4. Now comes GT.

One of GT or RCB is for sure going to be in Top 2 and I would rather prefer RCB to be there than GT.

If GT bottles up against CSK (after we have already beat CSK on 18th May), then finally...

WE WILL BE IN TOP 2.

If GT loses against CSK, SRH will be Top 2 with RCB.

If GT wins, GT is more likely to be in Top 2 due to NRR coming into play. Though both teams have a very similar chance of ending into Top 2, GT will have an slight edge due to having a better NRR already.

If GT wins against CSK, it will come down to NRR (Net run-rate).

Note: (Extra) I am not scared of GT, I just found our batsmen a little less comfortable from the first ball itself that day, and I still believe that it was just bad strategy, bad luck, and great bowling from GT on a Bowling pitch which gave them immense edge over SRH because SRH's major strength is its batting superiority which could not be manifested under a variety of issues.

I still put 100% of my faith in this team, because that is what it means to be a supporter. I am not a blind fan, I see its shortcomings and criticize its blunders but when the dust settles, I am still here supporting them and not hating and being reactionary. I would rather have Klaasen, Head, Abhishek, Ishan, Pat, etc. in my team than to have them against us (Imagine the horror of that for once and you will feel grateful to have them here with us). We don't want another Bhuvi, who we let go, and who performs against us for some other team. We love this team, and we have seen it through its highs and lows.

Cherish the great team we have put together here✨🔥

Let's have a great run now, shall we?