u/UltimateTraders

Good morning everyone. Risk reward with this market. I am no rush to do anything. Earnings and sales are absolutely extraordinary, no question. However, the valuations are more extended than ever. As I wrote yesterday, if something is priced higher than normal, it is your decision to go in or out, to pay for it or not…. Long term, we will always, always make record highs on an index. Inflation is a natural phenomenon. Our companies will always sell more and make more…. This does not mean that your specific company will always make record highs but an index will. This is why I say for 90 to 95% of people a low cost index fund is the way to go. Even VTI [total index is good] Great companies, over a long period of time will always make record highs, think of MSFT AMZN AAPL META GOOGL GOOG HD WMT … For me, I think of about 50 or so companies that I can buy, set it and forget it….. NVDA has only been that company since 2021! Not to say they will not be the company going forward, but prior to 2021, they did not execute anything like this, then again AI was not here yet… the way we see AI now, it really wasn’t here until maybe mid 2024, ChatGPT Claude and it is indeed exploding. My retirements are fully vested all the time. I did work for almost 9 years, mainly in Health insurance, so my 401ks, my IRAs.. they are mostly in Index funds. They are fully vested all the time…. I also have close to 10 stocks long term in my long term trading account….

My day trading account, I am not trading with that much capital, and have not done so since 15-18 months? The last time we were close or below fair value was last March-May 2025. At that time Trump was laying down Tariffs. We briefly fell to 4,800… Check! We had lift off though… At that time, I wouldn’t say I went all in either, but of the cash, I had in the account, at that time, I probably had 40-50% in stocks…. I am now trading with 10-15% stocks. 2020-2021 I was in 90-95% stocks. I am also pulling out tons of money to grow my real estate portfolio. My real estate portfolio has now outgrown my investing/trading portfolio for the first time ever… Trading/investing is my true passion, real estate is like a full time job, especially with no property manager, no super, but there are much lower risks then individual stocks falling 10-20% in a day.

 

I am headed to CT Friday. 2 weeks ago I closed on a 3 family that does need a lot of work. I am meeting some contractors. I am also checking in on a huge job on my largest building at the moment. I am still trying to close my 3 property deal with TD Bank doing the financing.

The title has many stocks that I am looking at and may consider doing a trade.

Wow MRNA , these bio techs, that is why I write, with earnings [Bio Tech] at any given time they can have blockbuster results, or receive a buyout offer from a giant, whom sees they have insane potential… these companies are the only ones where PE does not matter…

PE does not matter if a company with 0 sales, discovered the cure for a rare diseases and PFE wants to buy that company for 5 billion…. EXAMPLE! And PFE buying that company for 5 billion, they can turn around and sell the meds for 50 billion!!!! MA at its finest… And it happens in bio tech…. NVAX was just 7 … I was looking at NVAX risk reward?

I sold 100 shares of LULU 121.50 to 122 [Definitely not the plan, it just dropped to 114 and I have kept trading this and will keep doing so]

 

Good luck!

 

Excellent earnings:

OPRA        ADI           KC [Chinese]        KEYS

 

Very Good earnings:

VIK          ZIM [Buy out already]            TGT

 

Good earnings:

EL

Good morning everyone. The debate and comments rage on…. People attack me constantly, daily on TSLA and SPCX …. You know what, it is my fault… years ago, it was AMC GME everyday… every damn day! I was called a shill, hated, blocked, thrown in the gutter…

And for what? I wasn’t selling a service, I am not getting paid for helping, I am not getting paid for views, likes… nada. I do not even care if I have followers.. so this is really my fault. I came on Reddit in 2021 because the rise of GME and AMC . So here I am, out of the shadows, I did want to get an opportunity to make tons of money, maybe be a fund manager, something! I ended up making great money, regardless of Reddit, and I got a lot of people to dislike me… sadly… hopefully, I have helped many people achieve financial freedom, or help educate people, share ideas that helped them to be a better trader, investor… However, daily I get massive hate and replies that are very negative…

Given, it is because I am trying to warn people and educate people on why I feel the way I do regarding both SPCX and TSLA … I have a very small position less than 1,000 in $TSLZ TSLA bear ETF. I do not stand to make any huge gains at the moment, I just hate people getting lied to. Hate it! There is nothing I hate more in the stock market then people being scammed and lied to…. It is very hard for me to let this go… though I should…

I want to help people, everyone is getting fooled again…. At least I want them to make an educated decision… in regards to SPCX , many of the companies that own it, funds purchased it Pre IPO, so far below 135, so the risk reward for them is great! I do believe the prospects and growth are amazing! I DO! But the stock price reflects that is the problem.

 

The main issue I have with the comments yesterday, and questions I got from people, just yesterday is this:

You decide to work at a job because of so and so pay?

You decide to rent or buy a house because so and so cost?

You go out and buy a drink, or buy something to eat based on its cost?

It has to have some value that you see, touch.. that you have reason….

You wouldn’t work 60 hours at a tough job for 400 a week…

You wouldn’t buy a slice of pizza for 20 dollars…

You wouldn’t rent a 1 bedroom, 500 square foot apartment for 10,000 a month…

Right? These are general, basic principles that we all have…. Correct?

We agree that the SP500 SPY VOO is a very important indicator on the economy? On the health of the United States or even the world… correct?

Now, the fact is, is that that index trades about 23x earnings right now. [This is higher than the historical 18-19x pre covid 2020] We are seeing 9% sales growth and 25% earnings growth, much fueled by investments. Do we all agree on these things?

So WTF all of a sudden do we throw this out the window for TSLA or SPCX ? I don’t get it…

You can even ask a TSLA SPCX or a Musk cultist these questions pre hand… do not know you are leading up to why they are long TSLA or SPCX…

Just ask them basic principles on life, on SP500, on anything… then end the conversation with TSLA and SPCX … Yes, it shouldn’t bother me so much… and it does… and I like helping people… I do not stand to gain here, I actually stand to get hated on. [This happened 5+ years ago on GME AMC and hopefully those same people look back, in hindsight and see my good intentions] I am shocked, shocked that TSLA has held over 100 this long, Elon has fooled, brainwashed people so long… everytime the stock needs a pump… Robots! Taxis! Chips! Mars!! And the stock pumps… it makes me sick!

I do not see TSLA earning 5 per share for at least the next 2 years… so if there is a miracle…

MIRACLE!! Maybe 2028… So you know, 35 analysts have 2027 estimates at 2.17. [2026 at 1.78] FACTS! So let us say by some miracle, they earn 5 per share in 2028…

YOU ARE PAYING 70x EARNINGS NOW FOR SOMETHING THAT MAY OR MAY NOT HAPPEN IN 2028! AND IF IT DOES HAPPEN IT WILL BE SOME MIRACLE!!!!!!!!!

 

Ok, I feel better, but understand something, I am getting beaten and wacked in comments and replies… all I am trying to do is state facts, just like this… I am not spewing lies… some made up stuff that AMC and GME longs used to spew…. So if we work for pay that makes sense, buy foods at prices that make sense, live and pay prices that make sense… please don’t throw all that out the window for Elon!

And yes, if I see TSLA falling like a rock, I may indeed buy puts, but they will be a 1,000 to 2,000 position… It isn’t like I am going to make tons of money…..

 

Excllent earnings since close:

FN          AS        KLAR [Bad guidance though!]

 

Very good earnings since close:

DUOT [Tiny]

 

Good:

FLXS

 

I sold 1,000 shares of PSFE 6.75 to 6.92 [I meant to put 6.95 but I hit that on my phone, I actually still do 80% of my trading on my desktop]

 

I bought back 1,000 PSFE at 6.60

 

Risk Reward I am in no huge rush at the moment for anything

Good morning I have a big meeting with the town around 9AM. I have to call my lawyers after, I have to follow up with some contractors so this will be short. Since Friday, there have been a lot of 13 Filings. This is an SEC document that classifies large ownership in any stock or company. It is actually a good way for the little investor to see/try to see where and what big money is doing, how it is allocated. For many years, it was thought that big money had huge advantages.

[They still do! Mainly they can make calls with insiders, execs and get, if not daily or weekly updates, I would not doubt monthly updates  on a business, big contracts. They also have access to other large investors, they all have access to Bloomberg, quick news, they will have access to level 3 trades… where you can see all orders, buys and sells]

The advantages they had have definitely narrowed though. We have access at our fingertips and can even use AI to summarize reports, quick DD on sales/earnings….. And for this last reason, with AI … I am stumped how the

MASSES CAN STILL BE AS*ES.

At your fingertips in a span of under 5 mins you can find out sales with TSLA over the last 5 years… You can ask income over that time… you can even ask for PEG ratios [Growth over price as it relates]!!!! You no longer have to do extensive research!!! JUST ASK AI!

So how are people so baffled why I say TSLA is worth at most 65 at the moment???!!! [Close to 250-300 billion] Stop using magic or hocus pocus WTF to try and justify a stock price!!! WTF!!!

The market cap is the total value of a company. In 2025 Tesla made just under 3.8 billion. In 2026 they will make far less than that! [They will also go cash flow negative with investments] PLEASE FACT CHECK ME!!!

Elon has stopped talking autonomous, taxi or robots… They were all hype to begin with!! Maybe it comes, maybe it doesn’t, but it sure wasn’t ever something that was coming in 2025 or 2026 as promised!!!

So, if TSLA as a company stands to make near 2 billion dollars for 2026. With earnings and margins declining…. Let us say by some miracle it is 3 billion.

Company is on the decline…

What is 3 billion x 75 [75x multiple or PE, yes for me, PE is the most important indicator for me, not the only, but most important PEG is important! Near 1 is great, TSLA is near 5, awful!]

So 3 x 75 is 225… 3 billion made in profits, let us say the business is worth 225 billion.

That means the stock should be  near 55..

3.95 billion shares outstanding….. 3.95 x 55 = 217 billion…

That is it! My prices make sense… I am giving the benefit of the doubt and 65 is a premium!

What is the difference between Bitcoin and TSLA ? The stock price has 0 to do with the asset or company… Bitcoin price is pie in the sky! No way to equate its value.

Everyone is in SPCX and it makes me sick! Elon track record is filled with holes… The growth is real in Space X. I could see why people want to own it, the prospects are great! However, for me, based on facts we have now, the company is not worth more than a penny over 38, or 500 billion. There are no facts, business model, numbers that justify a stock price of 140.. Just hype… people are buying TSLA SPCX and Bitcoin because they think they can offload it to someone else at a higher price. It is said that after 2020, so many people came into the market and everyone is brainwashed..

Use your AI and ask what was Elons Net worth December 31^(st) 2019… You will see it was near 20 billion… TSLA was near 100 billion… They have not created value beyond a maybe 300 billion valuation….The stock price has 0 to do with the business.

TSLA made 12.6 billion in 2022 and the last great year, 2023 made the company best 14,975 billion… The stock was way too high those times but at least it was growing… it is now a cesspool!

If you have a long term outlook on TSLA or and SPCX then don’t worry about the day to day.

Maybe they have robots and finally go over 100  billion in sales. [Record was 97 in 2023 and 2024] maybe they do 200 billion! I do not know either.. I do know the stock price now already has that built in!

SPCX is on a heavy growth stage so I will give him the benefit and give the company a 500 billion valuation..

Sorry I don’t pick numbers out of the sky!!! And Now you have AI, neither should you!!!!

 

I am in 1000 PSFE at 6.75

 

I saw SNAP drop to 4.70 premarket. I like the risk reward there, I rarely buy after hours, I usually just sell. The growth is slow but I really like it here, low risk. Hope to see that during market hours…

 

Good luck!

Good morning everyone. Taking care of a ton again, I am definitely overwhelmed. Fighting hard right now to get this deal closed… All I know is, if the seller cancels then I can get back my 270K non refundable deposit. I do understand it is almost 5 months now… I made this deposit non refundable around July 4^(th) so he didn’t cancel the deal… TD Bank is very tough with these investment properties out of State and I may not use them anymore, this was my first deal… at the same time, their scrutiny did catch some fire code violations. On these 3 properties, I have seen them now, Wednesday… I would say it is at least 10,000+ in repairs… I don’t want credit, I just want the deal to close.

That, the closing from last Friday, the repairs needed, I have 5 more evictions going…[I just got back 2 units] definitely consuming me.

 

The title has many stocks that I am looking at, closer to my fair value, or at least I am considering a trade. I removed STEP from Plays, they risk reward, last earnings were not good, I got lucky! Maybe if STEP fell back near 40, but for now, I have removed it. The risk reward in many stocks is indeed tough right now. Earnings have been tremendous no doubt. [Please understand like 50% of the 40% growth in EPS over the Q2 was from unrealized gains in investments] Meaning without them, maybe earnings are up about 20% year over year, which is absolutely incredible, the best since we opened up the economy 2021. For that I am willing to say fair value should be about 21x… Keep in mind pre pandemic I gave 18-19x….  We are looking for earnings of 320-330 for the year, this is without the unrealized gains, which I can not count! So figure fair value is near 6,700…

That means what would stocks be at if the index was 6,700…. That to me, would be a fair value where I would be comfortable in being in 50%+ of stocks. At the current moment, in my trading account I am in maybe 20% of stocks. [I would be in far less, except for the fact that I keep taking money out for Real estate, purchases and repairs] The cash flows from rents, even with 130 units does not even cover the repairs…

Last Friday I closed on a 3 family, already I will need to spend about 50-60,000. The cash flow per unit is about 200, or 600 for all 3. The 50-60,000. [Like 15 windows, rotted wood, new roof and gutters, new furnace, new water heater, new duct and piping…. 2 tenants were sharing the same furnace/Water heater, therefore previous landlord was paying the heat and hot water!!!! NOT ME!!! I will repair that ASAP!!!]

 

Great earnings since the close:

RCMT [Tiny]        PED [Tiny]        ETON [Bio tech]          HTFL [Losing money though]     AMAT

 

Very good earnings since the close:

NU        JCAP       ASMB       NMAX

 

Good earnings:

API      QXO

 

Wow WDAY going private?! I did say some of these software names are so cheap, they become attractive for someone. Read my DD last week on TTD . So the sector boosted.. These names are trading at 5-20x…   PRGS 5x PYPL like 10x ADBE 10x TTD 7x

 

I sold 100 shares of DINO 88 to 88.60 [The plan was to reset at 86 or lower, this was 79 less than 2 weeks ago!]

 

I sold 100 shares of PYPL 59.50 to 60.05 [Was stuck 9 months! This dropped below 40 I do want to reset]

 

I sold 100 shares of STEP from 51 to 52 [Removing from Plays, do not like the risk reward here, maybe 40 and I had to make room for other tickers]

 

I traded 500 shares of CLBT from 9.85 to 10.40 [After sale I put in order again for 9.85, it fell to 10! And went to 10.80! Oh well!]

 

Thanx Bill Ackman! I am in 100 shares of NFLX at 77.50 . I want to trade it back and forth for 200-600

 

Good luck!

Good morning everyone. I was on X reading the “For you” tweets and I try and help, answer those people. Remember, we do not companies. Unless you work at a company, have some kind of insider information we can not just go blindly and buy companies. I can understand why people buy an index like SPY VOO QQQ DIA keep in mind the SP500 does kick out and replace bad companies, so you can be completely passive. For myself, there are only maybe 50 out of the 500 companies that I can just buy, hold, and not worry, personally. Some that I do own for more than 10+ years are:

GS     JPM       HD      AAPL       GE [And because of spin offs GEV GEHC]       WMT

I do not know but could own long term GOOG GOOGL META MSFT AMZN

Because I am confident, that they can adapt and will adapt. I also do not blame people for NVDA if you want to add that, I personally would not have years ago, but now, maybe.

The user was in BYND , and wish they could have saw this coming. You can do this DD on any company, even a 3^(rd) grader can do it. This could have been done for AMC GME or even TSLA now [You can easily see a decline in the business] maybe a 1^(st) grader can see it!!!!!

I use Seekingalpha, I have a paid service, I do need to check if I can get it cheaper [it is like 300-400 a year]. I know you can use Yahoo finance, because I use that too, but mainly seeking alpha.

Type in:

BYND for beyond meat

You will notice from way back in 2018-2019 over the full year, sales flew up from 88 million to as high as 465 million in 2021… You can easily see in 2025 the overall sales were 275 million. This was not all of a sudden, but very gradual. The company was never profitable but you can see over that period of time as the sales came down, why were losses going up?

What you are hoping for in NBIS CRWV CBRS ONDS LUNR is that they have this tremendous growth, margins get better and over time the losses get minimal. Check quarter over quarter, year over year, overall year… This, even a 1^(st) grader can see numbers get bigger or lower….. maybe it takes a 3^(rd) grader to understand the math [not just recognize a higher and lower number]

Now someone asked me about a week ago what do I think about GPRO at 50 cents… Man 10 years ago this was near 100 and rumors were AAPL was buying it! NO JOKE!!!

So with GPRO:

2020 Sales 892 million on those sales                        66.8 Million loss

2021 Sales 1.16 Billion           Profit of 371.2 Million [Covid]

2022 Sales 1.094 Billion         Profit of 28.8 Million

2023 Sales 1.05 Billion           53.2 Million Loss

2024 Sales 801.5 Million        432.3 Million Loss

2025 Sales 569 Million            93.5 Million Loss

Look at this trend, a 3^(rd) grader can see… Now looking back you may see this is obvious… hindsight is always 20/20. Now do this for your companies…

Now do this for mighty TSLA

Then you will understand why I say the company is on the decline, Tesla the company is a cesspool! It has horrible margins, far lower than Ferrari or Porsche and borderline other car makers…

So we want to see and recognize trends, in the financials, we do not run companies!

 

If a company has a 95+ rating, and it is below 1 billion I am writing [Tiny]. If it is an 85 or 75, I do not bother but some of these companies are 100-200 million! It is important to know the size to see if this trend is consistent or not. What path is the company on?

 

Excellent [95+]

EQPT        CURI [Tiny]        HLIT [Impressed]      COHR        STAA [Wow DD]      OMER [WTF DD how Bio tech?]       MSGS      CRMD [Tiny]      MGTX [DD wow never seen this company]      FIGR [DD add to Plays]

 

Very Good [85]

SKYH         STN       PARK      LPA        ANDG      EPSN      CSCO     USIO      LNSR      AVAH       BSP      DSVSF

 

Good [75]

CAE         LMRI        LFTO       KSCP       ENS      DERM     ARCO      BKTI      AIT    AIRO      YETI

 

I may buy the CLBT dip, they help with litigations, careful, earnings and guidance eh, but down 30%? Jesus, do need new DD but I am busy!

 

I sold 250 shares of NVGS from 19.75 to 20.50

I am in 100 shares of LULU at 121.50

 

Good luck!

Good morning everyone. I was so busy all day with the 3 property deal, that 1 of my major contractors is messing up, dealing with building depts in different towns, multiple evictions. I am not some social media influencer, I do not get paid by any clicks, I do not even offer any subscriptions, not that I want to, but I share that because some people are asking me what is the next trade, if I can look at this company or that company… I just don’t have enough hours in the day… I would love to, but I am drained…. And the truth of the matter is that this year, my real estate portfolio has finally passed my stock/investment portfolio. That said, my trading account, I am using maybe 20% of my cash to trade, and the only reason it is even that high is because I took a ton out of my account for real estate.

I am going to share some texts from 1 of my new tenants [Close last Friday] and me from yesterday…. I shared a text exchange with someone I am evicting. The first goes like this…

The previous landlord didn’t know what he was doing, and got in over his head, he was not doing things because he was nice, he was doing things because he had no money…

Real estate is a long term vision and you need scale, 10+ units to survive.

Tenants think there is mad money, but there isn’t…

On that property my monthly payment with mortgage, taxes, insurance, and basic utilities is about 3,000 a month… The rent if all is collected is 3,600. What about lawns? Snow? Trash? Repairs? That is why you need scale… also, I used to model 500 per unit when I buy, it is now coming closer to 300 per unit on cash flows…. Almost impossible to get 500 per unit in a decent area, in decent shape…. I say this because I am taking tons out from stocks to put in real estate.

If the market falls below fair value, [6,720] to me without major news changes, fundamental change I will happily trade more, if Real estate doesn’t consume me… The earnings overall have been incredible, but please note a lot of these gains are unrealized from IPOs like SPCX and Anthropic [AMZN GOOG MSFT] A lot of earnings have come from these stakes in other companies. Also, this makes 2027 difficult… What if we come in at 340 in earnings for 2026 [2025 was about 275] and then 2027 comes in at 320? So we are declining overall? I ask you, we rarely get a decline in earnings, and usually it isn’t good for the market when we do, but what if those values fall? Just saying risk reward is tough now….

My retirements are invested all the time.

 

Great earnings since close yesterday:

ALM [DD]       AII [Tiny]       CAVA [Valuation though]        ATRO        CRWV [Losing money though]        NBIS [Losing money though]         MRX        GLBE       AMCR

 

Very good earnings:

OWLT      SND      SLAB      FLY [May watch]       LITE        MSGE       KMDA       ITRN        TII       ALLT

 

Good earnings:

SIEB [Tiny, this was a horse of mines 1998-2000!!!]         HRB         DDI        BWAY       KRNT          SMWB         WYFI        TRMB       RSKD       LQDA

 

Just be careful with stuff like NBIS and CRWV . CRWV is my horse, just weeks ago it was 60! Check! I was stuck at 68! The growth is there for sure, check the numbers, but they are losing money…. SMCI has not been consistent with their numbers, also, they may have accounting errors, gray areas.

 

I sold 500 shares of PD 11.90 to 12 [Definitely not the plan but I was stuck 7+ months, watched this fall to 5.70 while I owned it]

 

I am in 250 ETOR at 30

 

I am in 250 NVGS at 19.75

 

I have to run! Good luck!

Good morning everyone. I have been working very hard on this 3 property deal with TD Bank for many months. This deal went under contract 3^(rd) week of March 2026. For many years I wanted to purchase properties using TD Bank. I finally got large enough that they actually wanted my business. [You must keep in mind these are investment properties out of state and that are held by an LLC entity, ask your banks and you will see, most do not do this]. I go to my local TD bank in Queens, NYC often. I was there yesterday, I was getting notaries as I am constantly doing evictions or suing tenants. In December, I finally had meetings and decided I wanted to go with TD bank. The problem is my 2 main local banks in CT are reaching their limits on exposure. Most small banks have a cap of near 5 million to 1 borrower, even if it is an LLC. I am also prepping for new build, I wanted a lender that could allow me to borrow 20+ million…. Sorry TD is horrible!!! I originally gave 20K deposit to secure the deal. Then around 7/4, nearly 3 ½ months later, the seller decides he will cancel the deal and send me a refund of my 20K. I fight to keep the deal on, I send an extra 250K [Not even in escrow, I do not recommend this] and make the total non refundable!!! 270k!!!

If I cancel for any reason, or can not get financing, the seller keeps the 270. It is 3 properties, 11 units for 1.35 million. We were supposed to close a while ago….

Finally about 10 days ago, TD bank has a checklist I must meet to have a clear to close…

So in other words, 4+ months they did not say anything, and then in the end they add requirements to the list….[I am fighting to get an exception for surveys!!! Friends, I just got a survey done and it took me 10 weeks, mind you, it was 7,800 dollars….. in CT I have never had a survey as a requirement from a bank, also, they want all the work done on the open permits… I have seen what is necessary and want to sign off letting them know I will complete it…. The underwriters are reviewing… it is a nightmare…. Obviously, I didn’t know this going in, I did this deal 3^(rd) week of March and was told by the banker it would close by 7/1 or about 3 months, slightly longer…..

I hope to close end of this week? Next week?

I just wanted to share the story and why I cant really focus on trading.

Trading and investing is my passion, always… but in 2017, I started to buy rental properties. I do not have a super, property manager, I answer calls, texts, emails from tenants… I am about to have 140+ units, 35+ properties…. I am not saying this to brag… but I am spreading myself way to thin, I am overwhelmed to say the least….

I hope that when I do build the new multi family, next year, to let someone live for free, give him some salary, see how he does… and slowly give him more pay, more responsibilities….

So, I just closed on Friday on a 3 family, doing repairs everywhere, closing on 3 more properties, so you can see why I didn’t really even try to make a trade yesterday. I will be in and out today also… I did make a lot of changes to my Play watch list.

I have 28 watch list, probably have 1,200+ tickers. [About 6,000 trade on NYSE and Nasdaq, I do not count OTC] but I am definitely swamped… a lot of evictions too.

 

Some amazing earnings:

BW [Wow]        HLIO        QMCO [Tiny but wow]        HPK [Tiny]        NGS [Tiny]       AAON [Wow!]       YPF [DD]        AMBQ [Wow DD]       BMWN [Tiny]

 

Very good earnings:

LIF [May buy dip, need DD down 25%, guidance]        KOPN      TCMD [May watch the dip, guidance]       ESLT

 

Good earnings:

DSP       PANL      SMC     ALCO        PIII        FF       A  PEI     EVC       FENC [Bio Tech]         DPC     HBIO       MIDD     ETOR [May add to plays]       CRNT       ARMK       VG

 

I wanted to mention ASTS RUM HIMS RKLB and SE . These are popular names, some even Memes. On all 5, they missed bottom line but all grew over 30%. You have to personally weigh if the growth is worth the investment they are making, near term loses.. As I said yesterday, to raise shareholder value, you have to market, do RD, invest in sales… If you are constantly raising cash with dilution, making investments, taking out loans, buying companies and it doesn’t reflect in the Sales/earnings…. Stay away TSLA RBLX GME AMC

Sorry, these are all companies that have invested, done RD, marketing, new products, etc where none of that improved the actual business! AMC is getting better but they diluted to oblivion. GME changed game plans, shafted retail and bonds to the tune of near 11.5 billion… they did not do anything organically to increase shareholder value…

So with ASTS RUM HIMS RKLB SE … They are increasing sales still… are the losses coming down? Margins? These are things to watch for…

 

I regard anything over 30% sales growth as hyper growth..

This is because great companies on SPY VOO SP500 grow sales/earnings at 10-20%... So, to me, no rules, but 30% is a figure I regard as hyper growth..

 

Good luck, I have to run and get this deal done!

Good morning everyone. I got a lot of questions over the weekend on CELH . This is because the Rockstar drink founder took a new 4.7% stake or 12 million shares of CELH. This was reported Friday, on CNBC. Russ Savage sold Rockstar to PEP PepsiCO in 2020 for 3.85 billion. [CELH is worth about 6.8 billion as of now] He sees many holes in CELH management and even said he would like to join management.

This is a clear example of what I was trying to say with TTD [Many times with ADBE PYPL ]

If a company is deemed cheap enough they can get bought out, they can see interest from a large prominent investor, you can have active funds trying to make changes thru activist.

CELH earnings were not that bad, they just weren’t as good as expected… I would also not say they were good.  I would give it a 55 score… many companies that grow sales/earnings 5-10% get a 65 from me, so you know. With the fall the PE is about 20..

For comparison:

KO 26x

PEP 17x

MNST 40x

Just to let everyone decide what is hot, what is not… but do keep in mind, even with the last earnings, but the purchase of Alani Nu growth is expected 10-15% in 2026 and 2027..

These other brands do not have these growth prospects. I have no position in CELH , I did just sell everything before the earnings. I would also rather not hold into earnings because it is a gamble… I mean look at TTD , it came into earnings with a PE of 10, I didn’t think it can get much worse, and now it is a 6! I am in avg 36!! I have to see if analysts revised estimates on TTD. These are just examples though of buy and hold.

I currently have 75 shares of ADBE from 343. So, I down on that stake about 6,000. I truly believe fair value is 375. Instead I have traded 2 more blocks of it at lower entries. I am up nearly 18,000 on trades! So my net on ADBE is up 12,000! So for me, my strategy, trading has been better for me.

I like to trade companies with value, that have cash flows, that can acquire others, thru money earned .[CELH buying Alani Nu, ADBE buying back shares, creating value]

Ways a company can create value:

Buyback

Dividend

MA [Buyout of someone else]

Pay down debt [Lowering interest expense increasing earnings]

Research and development [New products]

Marketing [Get new sales]

Increase sales/earnings

 

Crush value of a company:

Sell shares

Insider sales

Decrease in sales/earnings

Take on new debt

Bad publicity

 

For years, I tried to warn people on the 2 memes, AMC and GME , all the money they received is from shareholders, all of it! It was not from the nature of the business…

AMC is starting to turn now, 6 years later! GME makes cash because they closed down stores, it’s a new model and they shafted retail.

SPCX loses money! They lost near 550 million last quarter, facts… They raised maybe 120 billion on bonds and selling shares….. These are bad things!

There is growth in SPCX and a game plan for now.. Just be weary!

 

Amazing earnings this AM:

CECO         MNDY [Guidance eh]     INSW      EMBJ       NXSNF [DD]     NESR     SDRL

 

Very Good earnings:

BTDR     RDNT       LINC         JRSH       POWW

 

Good earnings:

GCMG     CEVA     VFF       TH

 

I didn’t make a trade Friday, I was in CT. I am also doing everything possible to close on a 3 property deal this week. Good luck!

Good morning. I am headed to a closing today on a 3 family. I am buttoning up everything to close on a 3 property, 11 Unit deal that will close next week. [Finally! I signed this deal around March 21^(st), my first, and maybe my last deal with TD Bank, they do not specialize in investment properties, owned by LLCs out of State, multi families…. Most banks do not] That said, I may try and do a couple of trades here and there but I will not be able to focus energy on it. I will share some videos of a huge renovation on my largest, as of now, 8 unit building. I got back a 3 bedroom from Eviction Wednesday, from that building, I will make a video of the progress… should be done Monday or Tuesday, what a mess! Will cost me about 25k. Tons of damage from cat urine and feces. [The apartment is near 1,500 square feet, and floors are about 5 per square foot, labor and materials, we are using Killz to kill the odor… this is why landlords may charge 50-100 a month, to cover this]

 

My goals in trading are simple. I try and make between 200-600 per trade. I am not necessarily limited how much capital I am using, holding for any type of %. I am just trying to make 200-600 per trade… make 100K per year trading. [I have blew past this pretty much every year since 2010, that is roughly when I set this goal] Someone asked me how much they need to do these trades.

Yesterday I made 250 on 100 UBER shares that I purchased at 67. [6,700 capital for the 250]

I also sold 100 shares of LULU that I purchased months ago for 124 [12,400] to make 175 as I sold for 125.75… So for me, it is not a %, but the 200 to 600.

The other day I made roughly 1,000 on 250 shares of PSIX. I purchased 250 shares of PSIX for 7,375. I sold 250 shares of PSIX at 33.25. [3.75 x 250 = 937.50] I shared the screen shots of this trade on X.

I mentioned PSIX now, because earnings were good and it is flying to 38-39 at the moment… It was 27 this week! The low I think Monday or Tuesday! But I wanted to mention it, because when we hold into earnings, when a stock has a valuation so low, we may see huge, huge gains… I like to wait for earnings generally, because we are not rolling the dice here, if we wait to make a position after earnings, we are being told near term future, and last 3 months. [I do not care for hocus pocus Elon SPCX 2030! WTF!!! I am not saying that can not happen. Once again, I am not saying SPCX does not have good prospects, I am tired of being called a shill for saying things like they are] I am saying I am not paying now for something that may or may not happen 4 years from now!!! WTF!!! We can see everything said by Elon, analysts were dead wrong on TSLA 4-3-2-1 years ago. The company has a decline in sales, earnings… the best years at TSLA were 2021-2023.. These are facts, ask AI to tell you profits, margins, sales growth… But the market gives it a 200x PE…

Now I am saying this because I have 2 blocks of TTD that I purchased several months ago at an average of 36… Now, even at that time, I did see growth slowing [Still growing sales and earnings but instead of 30% growth it was 15-20% which is still good!] We do not run companies!!!! So at that time, I felt it should have a 20x PE… Earnings about 2 dollars… 15-20% growth…. Fair value 40. [20 x 2] the financials were and still are strong and I personally felt a 20x PE was fair… Fast forward to today… The growth is 3%. [Most SPY VOO SP500 companies grow 5-10% a year, but the SP500 at an all time high trades near 24x earnings… given earnings have been amazing but just comparing any company relative to the SP500]

I am not defending TTD or the earnings, the earnings were not good. I am saying that this valuation makes 0 sense!! It will open with a 6-7x PE ratio. The company has solid financials… Will it go to flat, will they decrease sales and earnings… definitely possible, but at a 6-7x PE that is built in! Recall, I have said that most private companies, good ones, sell at 5-10x earnings… TTD will make 700 to 800 million this year, and when the market opens the entire company will have a value of near 5.7 billion dollars.

To put this simply..

I have a business… You can buy my business for 570,000. You ask me… how much do you make a year…. I say 700 to 800,000. You ask me to show the books… I say we are still growing about 10% a year, over the last 3 months we grew at 3%..... By the way, we have net cash in the bank of well over 100,000!! So in essence you aren’t paying 470,000 because you will acquire our bank account too! So, once again, I am by no means defending TTD earnings… and I had rated this at 20x from earnings, many quarters ago…

The question is, could management turn it around… would you be able to turn that business around… they have a 95% stickiness with clients, selling ads, they are just making less per ad, lower margins… Just giving you information on how to value the business..

90% of companies can not turn it around and turn to all time highs [CVNA just did for example] but at least 10-20% re-accelerate earnings/sales again [just not to all time highs]… So the risk reward is good, at the moment… I am not buying more, and I am not selling TTD . I will not tax harvest either… Usually when these turn arounds happen, when they do, it takes 4-6 quarters, unfortunately….. [12 to 18 months, CVNA took maybe 24 months]

 

I sold 100 UBER 67 to 69.50.

I sold 100 LULU 124 to 125.75 [Was stuck 2+ months]

I bidded for 100 ROOT at 46 [orders were hitting, but not mines] it hit 51 later in the day….

[4,600 total capital for 500 gain same day! 11% for those that are asking capital]

 

Excellent earnings:

ABX     ATLC [DD]     FIGS      WPM       JHX      ARLO     EGY [Tiny]      KINS [Tiny]       KRMN     ARW      QNST      LASR      ONTO      AVPT      PRAA [Tiny]       HASI     OMDA      MCHP       NET       MNST      ROKU [Don’t like valuation]      FROG [Don’t like this valuation either]      WLDN [Wow]     AAOI      TEAM      INOD [Wow]     TWLO      RGTI [Valuation]      SEZL       HALO [Bio tech]     MDA [DD may add to Plays]       ACMR      ROAD      ANIP [Bio tech]      AD       DCH [DD may add to Plays]

 

Very good earnings:

LION      HG      IRTC     EFC     PAR      NUTX     REAL      MTW      PUBM       NTRA      KRT       PSIX      BMRN     CRSR     MITK     PDFS       CWST      ABNB     ARKO      SPB      KRP

 

Good earnings:

VHI       AHR     AMN     PBYI      HCI       NTGR     ALRM      SPT      FNKO      RGA      GMED     RMD     YELP      AORT     ICUI      CVSA      CTRE     FIVN       TXRH      SYNA      DCBO       GTN     TILE      OFRM      CON      NATH     ESNT      FLR      EMBC      JOUT      ATMU       GLP

 

Good luck!

Good morning. Insane amount of earnings. I started at 7AM this am checking reports. Yesterday from 5 to 6:30PM I checked reports. So I do what I can.

 

We do not run companies. No position in CELH eh earnings, not horrible, but not good. Same with ROOT , I do own 1 block of 100 ROOT at 94… I may buy dips in both.

 

I took a loss on 1,000 EHTH sold at 1.40 was in 3.10, bad earnings

I trades 100 shares of PODD from 130 to 135

I am in 100 shares of UBER 67

 

A ton of earnings:

LNG        CRON [Tiny]        ITT       RGNX[Tiny and Bio tech]       IOVA [Bio tech]      APPN       FOUR [May buy the dip]       EVH [Tiny]       HWM        U         INSM       LGND [Bio tech]      DDOG [Valuation]       RXO [DD]       DNOW     WMS      TIC      MTSI       GHM       LFST      GCT [Chinese though]        OSCR [WOW!!!!]       TIGO       MGY      EQX     PAYS [Tiny]     TFPM     MIAX      ERO      CHYM     SEI      MUR      MTDR        VCTR      KYVO [May buy the dip]       CDRE         HCC      GNK     SITM      REI [Tiny]       CXW      MKSI       MUSA       KNTK      EBS [Tiny]      CAPL [Tiny]      VIAV       CWEN      REPX [Tiny]     [BROS watching this dip closely, 52-53?]      EE      SM [Wow]      RELY

ELF      CXT       PR     DGII      CLOV       SBLK      ALB     DIOD     OXY     AXON      SNDK    WDC

 

Very good earnings:

TGLS        KDP       CCLD      GEO      NTCT       NVMI          MMI      GOLF         FA        CACI     SMA     XNCR       WTS      TPC      PNTG      CPAY     DXPE       MLR       NWSA       PRSU       OUT      VECO     ORA      MSI       LEU       HUBS      FIG     DAVE      EBAY

 

Good earnings:

ATI        VAC       IRWD      SHC       BSY       LNTH        ACLS       IILLMF [Microcap]       PENN     OTEX       LQDT       BKV      IBP      PH      ARHS   DCO      PKOH      APA      PTRN      FINGF      VEL     MATV      AWR      ASYS       LEGH      OTCM      HMN      NNBR     ECPG      EHC     TRUP     ATEN     KRO      KLIC     BDSX    NOVT      AMPL      CLFD      ALNT      HBB      OR       SDGR      MGNI      MCK       DASH     RDW          ALL     CURLF         AGL      TPL      PAYC       DHT     TASK     EZPW       BLBD     ARRY     EXPE     DUOL      NVST       SOLV     FNF     ALTO     RUN [Adding]

 

Busy, good luck!

Good morning everyone. I have an active eviction going on right now. They arrived at my property at 7:45AM. This is very tough for me. I shared a lot of the convo with the tenant on X. I also shared a video of the apartment from back in April, when she called the Fire department and police department… She owes me over 10k, the damage and clean out on the apartment is easily near 30k… Yet, I feel gutted and terrible, there aren’t many like me… This is not about the money for me… last Wednesday, a forced eviction, I was able to pay her to leave 1 hour before the Marshal arrived, this is different….

At 9AM I have a meeting with the building department as well as council and Mayor of Bristol, CT for a major project. So I have to take care of Real Estate before trading today.

 

This is earnings season, and I shared a quick 1 minute video of seekingalpha and how I use it. My main watchlist is called Plays. It has a max of 300 tickers. I am always maxed out. I look at this list 98% of the times. I follow and track these 300 daily! Even if my lists together have 1,200 or more different companies, I do not track them daily. So if I write DD [That means I need fresh eyes], if I write Tiny, that means it is below 1 billion, if I write bio tech, that means it usually isn’t consistent. I will add and subtract many tickers to my array of 28 watch lists… but my main list is “PLAYS”. However, I can only have 300 there.. if I could I would have 500! It is a Schwab max, they bought TD Ameritrade.

 

On SPCX , I have been making a mistake, I am sorry. 500 billion is actually 38 per share [Not 25, that is my mistake]. The company earnings were very good actually. But keep in mind the 90% sales growth, definitely impressive, came with 541 million in losses. Their Capex is insane for a small company. They were able to raise 110 billion + from retail. Stock sales and bonds. That is the cash at hand, they have negative actual cash flows. They lose money… this is natural for a high grower, but take Elon out of it… A company losing money, this stock would be where?

100 billion? 200 billion? Definitely not more. Look at ADBE . CASH FLOW MACHINE! Numbers do not have opinions, it is valued at 100 BILLION! NO FUD! So why should SPCX be worth way more than 200 billion? The growth and prospects are there, I agree too! But what do we pay for it? I am giving Elon the benefit of the doubt and saying it is worth 500 billion or 38 per share…

Do you see where I am getting this? Even the 500 billion, for now, is pie in the sky…

All he does is lie, so forget the earnings call and 1 trillion in sales 2030…[I am not saying that is impossible, I AM INDEED SAYING I AM NOT PAYING NOW FOR RESULTS IN 2030!!!] There are way to many variables..

AMD earnings were absolutely amazing! The PE ratio is 70 though. Not a problem with the results. As I said yesterday, PLTR was incredible, but valuation…

I rarely like to pay over 40x. [ADBE is 10x, TSLA right now is like 200x]

W earnings were not that good, after 30% rise in the stock I had to take a look it again. 7% sales growth like 6% earnings growth…

Friends SPY VOO QQQ DIA companies are expected to grow sales/earnings 5-10% Year over year. That got a 65 from me… analysts and the markets have their own opinions.

 

Excellent earnings:

TRNS [Tiny DD]      MEC [Tiny never seen it]     SKWD [May add to plays]      PARR [DD may add to Plays]        MCY       ECG      KAI       PLMR      TALO [May add to plays]       NVGS [DD and will add to Plays]          NGL [DD and may add to plays]      FTK [Tiny DD]    ECO [DD wow how?]       J         AMD        DVN      APPS      ANET     ALAB [Wow]     KTOS     DK[Wow may add]      LLY [Wow]

ECVT [DD]      ONC [Bio Tech]       YOU       LPG [Wow]       GTE [DD]       GLCNF [Never seen it I think?]      EOG [Wow DD]      MTRN [DD]      BCRX [Bio tech]       PODD [Watching this dip]       VVV

 

Very good earnings:

JAN      TBI        WK [May watch this dip]      CXDO       BXC [hmm]     EVTC     KODK     FRSH     FRPT       CVS     DT       AMPX      SEDG [Does this dip under 40?]      GPN      IRM [Impressed]

SHAK     PSX       GILT

 

Good earnings:

ACNT     COMP     FBIN     AFG      PCTY      IOSP      BIO     AIZ     AZTA      RVLV      PACS    MQ      WTTR      TX     FLYW     INTA    PSTL    ATEC      BKNG     DOC      QLYS      ACAD     TMDX     SPCX [Valuation should be 40]       ALGT     AMGN     LSCC       PRGO      BLMN     TRI     ELAN     RPC      LIVN      OC       ICL      CPRI       VSH      EXTR

 

I sold 100 shares of UBER 68.55 to 72

I sold 500 shares of ACI 11.40 to 11.80

I sold 250 shares of CELH 28 to 29

I sold 250 shares of PSIX 29.50 to 33.25

I traded 75 shares of ADBE 248 to 253 [I still own 75 at 343, (traded means I got in and out same day) ]

 

I have to run, a ton of stuff to take care of.

Good luck!

Good morning. Been up since 6:30AM reading earnings, getting ready for CT. Tomorrow I am forcing another eviction at 8AM. Generally, I do like to be there for them, treat the tenants with dignity. I also have a meeting at 9AM with the town of Bristol, this is a ZOOM $ZM meeting. Friday, I have the clear to close on my 3 family. I am planning to close next Tuesday on my 3 property 11 unit building. I have been on the phone with lawyers, marshals, tenants for 90 mins today already!

The market is my passion but real estate is getting to big it is hard for me to invest and trade.

The plan is when I am finished building the new multi families, to hire a super/maintenance guy, give him more and more responsibilities once he has proven himself. I am under contract on the 4 Acre land that is approved for a 16 unit building. I am hoping to close that deal by October so I still have time to chop all the trees and do the foundation for the property.

 

A ton of earnings since close yesterday.

Excellent earnings:

ENLT [Wow DD]      BP      LIFE [DD may add to Plays]       PAY     CAT [Wow]       CRGY [Wow may add?]       EVER [Tiny]       UCTT      STRL [Valuation?]      PLTR [I don’t like valuation]       FANG      AEIS       MPC      ET       HLNE      TDG      XMTR       SHLS       TSEM      EXPD

 

Very good earnings:

BALL      WIX      NPK     UFPT       HSTM        ZBRA      ALSN      JXN     VVX     MATX     INSP       UFCS     VNOM       NPO     ARVN

 

Good earnings:

WAT      Q      LDOS    ACRE       OTTR     IVT      VERX       UTL     AMRC     DORM      NJR        VTS

BRCC         CTOS      IBTA       VNO     IDXX      WLK      MTUS       VOYG      WGS      SNAP     ICHR      TKR     GWW     RSVR         BR        ENTG

 

I sold 75 shares of ADBE 249.50 to 258.50 premarket yesterday

I sold 500 shares of RKT from 12.90 to 13.50

I sold 100 shares of CRWV 70.50 to 74, then cried as it took off as high as 86!

I sold 100 shares of WLDN from 68.50 to 72

I am in 250 shares of CELH 28

I am in 100 shares of DINO 88

 

I am more than open to 3 longs today but I am going to be so busy, so let me see what I can do.

Tomorrow morning an eviction starts at 8AM, and this tenant is wild….. 9AM is the meeting so tomorrow will be super short….. Friday I am headed for 1 of my closings.

 

Good luck!

Good morning everyone. Super fire! Amazing trading day for me yesterday. As I have said, in case you have missed it, a great day for me is making near 1,000. I have other ways of money, so I have no real goals with trading. Since about 2010 my goal was simple, make roughly 100K a year from trading. I have done that every year since. In 2020 I was up well over 1 million and in 2021 the same thing. 2022 was very slow as I barely traded any stocks, I traded a lot of put options, but I still cleared 100k. This year I have been on fire but I have rolled back and bought much smaller positions when I buy. My goal per trade since 2010 was to make 200 to 600 per trade. Make about 2,000 per week.. Any day near 1,000 is amazing. Given, I am trading with a decent sized account, however, for the last 2 years, maybe since 1/1/2025 I have been much more careful. During April/May 2025 when we dropped to 4,800, briefly below fair value. I went gang busters for about a week, then we flew above fair value in about a week, less than 2!

When the market is above fair value [Right now it is about 6,750, or 21 x 320] I choose to be careful. That number is always moving as earnings are constantly changing. World news is constantly changing, this all has affects on earnings. To me, a stock price, an index, has to coincide with earnings, cash flows… A stock price should never be a made up number from the pie in the sky, lots of lies, speculation and momentum. [ TSLA SPCX ]. If you have to be creative to make sense out of a stock price, that means the stock is too high! That is why, to me the most important metric is the PE ratio.

Stock price Divided by earnings per share… This is not the only metric, growth in sales, earnings is big… This is called PEG ratio = Price/earnings growth. A number below 1.0 means it is priced cheap for its growth, above 1.0 is high for its growth.

The current ADBE PEG is .72

The current TSLA PEG is 4.37 !!!

[These I got in a few mins from $GOOG $GOOGL ] So this day and age with AI you don’t even need hours to do DD!

 

So the fire day from yesterday.

I sold 250 shares of APLD from 25.40 to 26.25 [212.50]

I sold 250 shares of AMKR from 47.50 to 47.60 [25 sadly, definitely not the plan it was 42 Wednesday!!!]

I sold 250 shares of HIMS 25 to 26.25 [312.50]

I sold 100 shares of CRWV 72.50 to 73.75 [125 not the plan but was 60.50 new 52 week low Wednesday!]

I sold 100 shares of NVDA 195 to 196.25 [125 not the plan but I was going to reset back in 192.95]

I sold 500 shares of SOFI 15.10 to 15.85 [375]

I traded 250 shares of TOST 31 to 32.25 [312.50]

I traded 250 shares of TREE 30 to 32 [500]

I am in 75 shares ADBE 249.50

I am in 500 shares of RKT 12.90

I am in 100 shares of NVDA 192.95

Closed trade profit [1,987.50 almost 2,000 day!]

 

I received the clear to close on the 3 family yesterday. I am working on the clear to close on the 3 property 11 unit deal so I have to run!

 

Excellent earnings:

NVT        FET        CSCCF [DD not sure if I ever seen this]     EXPO       LPLA    AXTI     SPXC     RDDT [Wow I am impressed and its down]       NBIX [Bio tech]       CDNA     PTCT      AMZN     TEM [But losing money]       MPWR       COHU        RBC       IESC      CBOE

 

Very good earnings:

CVX        WT     BTSG       INBK       CUZ     FHI      AX      KWR     AAPL     LYV     CSTL     VCYT    SAFE        D

 

Good earnings:

BCPC       NWL       LYB        PRM     CRI    MGA     MMSI     CNO       RYAN     ALHC     MHK     MTD     AGM     INGM     FBIZ      BWIN    AJG      EMN      SNDR    SYK      DXCM        

 

Good luck!

Good morning everyone. Super busy! Also spent 3 hours on earnings since yesterday’s close. 90 mins yesterday and 90 mins this am! We had a ton of earnings since yesterday.

Also, doing so much with CT. I shared a video from the Eviction on X yesterday. Tenant’s have no clue on the costs of repairs. I am going to have to sue the Tenant in small claims. There is about 8,000 in repairs needed. The floors click and fit a certain way, even if it doesn’t look like heavy damage, just slight, floors cant be fixed, they need to be replaced, and there will be a mix and match. The tenant was there about 18 months, 9 of which there were issues paying rent! I started this in January! It needs a complete paint job, this 2 bedroom is smaller, about 700 sq feet. The paint job will be about 1,800 with labor and materials my cost. The floors about 4,000 labor and materials, then I have a ton of small things, 2 windows [450 each], cabinets… Man I am pissed! I have a lot I have to do. So here is the earnings.

 

Excellent earnings:

MAX [Wow was in Plays and had bad earnings a long time back, need new DD, tiny]          PLXS       PLPC [DD]      NPKI         NWPX [DD]        WHD [Wow how?]      AGI      RSI      ASIC     CORT    CVI [Wow may add to Plays]      COUR [DD may add to Plays]      GKOS [Losing money]       ARM       CVNA [Great earnings buy they sell cars trading near 50x PE, what if it had a 25x like tech companies? Near 40?]       FTNT     HOOD    FORM        TK [May add back to plays]       MYRG      TNK     SIMO [Wow]      PIPR       VCEL        EME      MLM      CSW      PGY       TEX       ALGM      PWR      STNG [Wow]       BFLY [Impressed]      CMCO [Tiny]       PBF [Wow, impressed]       VLO     VIRT      EPD      SHIP [Tiny]

 

Very Good earnings:

CNXN        WAY      EXK     VET       AEM        KGC      JOE       BHE      BOOT     OHI      BHC       CSL     CHRW      LRCX     PRCH     RGR      MSFT         NWE       FSS       MA      LAUR      MAIR       JLL        APG       AAMI      BDC      PHAT       SHOO      MDGL       HII      AVY      XPO       HSY      BDRBF     CNK       REGN      HIPO

 

Good earnings:

MORN       PFS       ARXS       ALKT     PCOR      MC     QTWO     PI     FICO     AR     EPR      LHX    TTEK      SONO     WWD       BUD       STGW         MCS       CCC      LARK      HNI      SPHR     LECO    CIGI      BAX      MYE      SXC       YUM [Wow even with taco bell outbreak]          BMY     BIP     H      LTH      KKR     FTI      RAL     DAR     ESCA       BC        TT     TWI       WTW     GIL    SOLS    WCC     AMRX     LNC      CRH      YUMC     RRBI      GATX

 

I sold 500 shares of ACI from 11.75 to 12.10

I sold 75 shares of ADBE 265 to 266 [Not the plan but saw it hit 190!!! Stuck 2 months, I still own 343, but I will keep trading blocks]

I took the loss on SPT , selling 250 shares from 15 to 9 [It was a dice roll and I lost]

I am in 250 shares of APLD 25.40

I am in 100 shares of NVDA 195 [Been my horse]

I am in 500 shares of SOFI 15.10

I am in 250 shares of HIMS 25

 

I am mad as hell AMKR hit 48.35 yesterday AM. I was very busy with the Eviction! Talking with tenant, marshal, 1 of my contractors! I am in 250 at 47.50, I would have gladly sold 48 and reset. I saw it hit 44 the day I got in 47.50! Then yesterday as low as 42… jesus this sucks! I didn’t place a sell order! Stupid mistake!

 

META had great sales growth, but they also missed the bottom line. They are spending a ton, margins are going lower. I am watching it closely. Spending money on AI makes sense… Facebook spending money on Metaverse and changing the company to META was dumb! VERY DUMB! I said it almost 4 years ago! They lost nearly 100 billion on Metaverse… that was way too early and had no proof of sales/effectiveness, the investment in AI does.. We just don’t know who will win, who will lose.

 

I may buy TREE , careful! Bad earnings and didn’t do full DD!

 

Good luck!

Good morning everyone. I will have a forced eviction around 12 noon of a single young mother, with a deadbeat boyfriend. She owes me about 9,000 in back rent, but I still feel bad, I went to court for her 3x since January 15^(th)! First visit, she will live in her car, but that is why you need a strong base of family and friends, sheesh! I will be busy with CT stuff…

I have horrible news on my 3 property deal in Bristol, CT 11 units… I signed this deal March 15^(th) 2026, I put 20K down to hold the deal. The seller was very upset it was taking so long so start of June, in order to keep the deal I sent another 250k!!!! [NON REFUNDABLE] I had to provide a term sheet, commitment letter from TD Bank. We were finally looking to close about 2 weeks ago… Something was taking so long with the titles on the 3…….

Yesterday we discovered they are not clean and there are multiple liens and violations!!!!

Thank goodness I have a team of lawyers… We are finding out more details today, yesterday we just found out that there were liens. [If you buy a property and the title is not clean, you will have to pay whatever is owed, the state, the town, water bills, a contractor suing, a bank, could be many things] This sucks because I sent 270K and agreed to non refundable to hold this deal… with this news I am sure I can get a refund but I have sued people before and it took 3 years with a contractor… SUCKS!

So, this AM super brief!

 

SOFI grew sales at 41%, maybe it is down because they didn’t raise guidance, also met on the bottom line? The PE is like 25 for this high grower, I saw this high 15s premarket. I will buy this dip. I bought the dip on AMKR , it is like ACMR AEHR they test chips. I still didn’t have time to do quick DD, but they grew sales at 26%, they grew earnings by 300% from 22 cents to 70 cents per share. The PE is 18x for this kind of growth and blow up! I will sit it out and do more DD over the weekend. I added LMND to Plays, I am not sure how to value it, the growth is great near 80% but they lose money and will likely lose money in 2027 too! 40 per share? But I may roll the dice, watching.

 

APLD crushed earnings I traded 250 shares from 25.50 to 26.75

I sold 100 shares of NVDA 196.90 to 198.50 [Wasn’t the plan but it dipped to 193 yesterday!]

I sold 250 shares of TOST 31.75 to 32.50 [Was stuck 6+ months watched this dip to 22]

I am in 250 AMKR at 47.50

I am in 100 WLDN at 70.

 

Tons of earnings, excellent earnings:

SLDE [DD]        TER [WOW]         CR       THG        BE [Incredible again!]         STX        FLEX [May add to Plays]        BAND [Eh guidance]        SOFI [41% growth I like this dip!]        PB        ARCB 

BG [May add to Plays]          HUM [Wow impressive man I wanted in at 150!]       LMND [79% growth is sick, but how do you value a company losing money? May add to plays, but what is the entry, valuation now is 4.7 billion, maybe 3 billion or near 40? I do not know]         VRT [Valuation issues]        SCL       LFUS       PRG       SILC [Tiny never seen this company too!]

APH [Wow]

 

Very good earnings:

CGAU      RCKY         UMBF       CTO       VRNS       LOGI       NXPI        MVBF       EXLS        AER       GRMN        CHEF      ASC        ULCC [May add to Plays]

 

Good earnings:

NOV       MANH       SLRK        ZWS       AXS      CHE       CAKE       MIR       KLAC       NEO        V        SBCF         CSGP     OMC      QRVO        ODFL        GD         CBRE       JCI       SMG        GEHC       BIIB     

RDWR       SWK        GNRC      HBM        CSTM        LAD       GD        CLH       CCEC

 

Good luck!

Good morning everyone, super busy with CT. At least as I have said, my Real Estate venture has this year passed my investment/stock portfolios. I am growing so fast that I do not know how much more I can handle without a super/admin/property manager.

 

Lots of earnings so let us start with that.

Amazing earnings:

INCY [Need DD wow!]          PJT       CURB      HRI       DINO [May add to Plays]       CNC [Wow impressed]       FSUN       CLS       NUE        PRK [DD]        ESI [DD]         APLD        WELL        AMKR [DD May add to Plays and watch this dip]       SANM [May add to plays]

Very good earnings:

CVLT       HUBB       GLW       RNGR       CBFV      FMAO       FFIV      AGYS       TFII       NWBI        RMBS          CDNS

 

Good earnings:

XIFR        KNSA      OSK       COZ [Losing money]       JBLU      RGEN       PYPL        IVZ      DTE        TRU         PII        AWI        GABC      SSD

 

I am willing to make some trades, take at least 3 new long positions but I will be in and out this week. I am fighting for the 3 property closing, to close this Friday… I am still waiting for the lender on the 3 family deal that I did all the paperwork last Friday. Tomorrow there is a forced eviction, generally I like to go to them all, to treat the tenants with dignity but I have so many things I have to do. I need DD on INCY AMKR and SANM and may trade them also!

APLD earnings were great but it is deep in data centers…. NVDA letting the world know they would provide financing to OPENAI did shock the market yesterday. [CRWV was also down on this], And I do understand the concern. That is a conflict of interest as NVDA is a major supplier, and the thought that NVDA will prevent them from going under in order to sell more, is there, but it is too early to know the whole AI play out…

Is CRM ADBE NOW all done because of AI? What data centers used too much capex? Mighty GOOG GOOGL ORCL ? Definitely there will be casualties but it is too early to tell who, how, what… but definitely!

 

I traded 75 shares of ADBE 221.50 to 229.50 in the premarket yesterday. [Hit 242 later no FOMO but dayum!] I still have 2 blocks, 265 and 343 [Fair value to me, right now 375]

I traded 250 shares of KVYO 16.25 to 17.50

I traded 500 shares of PATH from 10.50 to 11.30

I am in 100 shares of CRWV at 72.50

I am in 100 shares of NVDA 196.90

I am in 250 shares of PSIX 29.50

 

Good luck! I have to run!

Good morning everyone. Insanely busy. On Friday I was out in CT all day long. I checked a lot of renovations, shared some videos on X. Shared a video of a 4 family basement that was done yesterday. I finished the paperwork for a 3 family closing in CT. I didn’t get the clear to close from the lender, that should come today, however I cant be in town until Wednesday and I may go Friday….. so I wanted to complete most of it in person while I was in town. I am forcing an eviction  Wednesday, I may show up. It is not necessary for me to be in court for evictions, or show up when the tenant is being forced out, I do it because everyone should be treated humanely. I try and treat this people with respect and dignity. These properties are in an LLC, an LLC must have lawyer representation so I am not required… I do it because I want to show people that I do care. I would like to close this Wednesday or Friday on a 3 property 11 unit deal in Bristol, CT. That deal was signed 4 ½ months ago, I am very disappointed to say the least with TD bank. You want to have many different options with different lenders when you are borrowing millions of dollars, because it makes a huge difference how deals are financed. This is the first deal with TD, the rates and fees are pretty darn good, but sellers will not wait this long. In March, when I signed the deal I left 20k down payment for this deal. 2 months in, they were going to cancel and refund my 20k, I had to give an additional 250K!!!! And non refundable earnest money, which allowed this deal to go on, I let the seller know I am surely buying this deal… Also, at that time I was told I could put 30% down for this 3 property 11 unit, and as we come closer to closing I now need to put 40% down because there is a vacancy…. So the regulations with TD bank are very hard. I did not make a trade Friday or even open the App on my phone all day….. I was pleasantly surprised ADBE was on fire, as it tanked near 205!!! CRWV fell off big time, so did HIMS.

 

It is earnings season, and this week will be huge so no rush from me. The title has a ton of tickers that are near my fair value, or that I am willing to take a stab because of risk reward.

I would definitely get up to 3 longs today. Stuff I am extremely confident on are NFLX CRM NOW PYPL ADBE many of these others are slightly speculative.. You have to know your risk level going into each trade. This does not mean SOFI AMSC or HIMS are bad, but I wouldn’t say they are guarantees at the current prices like NFLX CRM PYPL ADBE .. But the latter may go up 20-30% within 52 weeks… stuff like SOFI HIMS AMSC CRWV can go up 20% in week! Also, even the companies that I feel very confident on, I am buying much smaller scale in every trade than years ago. I do not like the risk reward levels on the market. We do have incredible earnings/sales but should we trade at 23x earnings? From 2010 thru 2020 we traded at 18-19x earnings, for your information. Once again, this also does not mean we will fall to 6,500-6750 but if we go by historical standards we are priced high! I would not bet against the market. [Put city like 2022, but I am going in far lighter!]

 

Very good earnings: HBT

 

Good earnings: ENSG

Good luck! I have to run!

Good morning everyone. Super short, I need to head to CT and pay contractors, check some major renovations. I am also going to be there in case I get the clear to close on a 3 family…… I still am about to close any day now, on a 3 property 11 unit deal with TD Bank. This 3 family, is with a mortgage lender and I may get the clear to close today or Monday… I am hopeful that it comes today as I am in town anyway. So I am headed out about 8:30am.

 

Excellent earnings:

FIX         WKC [DD may Add]        EBC      ASB      ENVA      ORC      PINE [Tiny]       DLR       MXL [Valuation]          INTC [Valuation]

 

Very good earnings:

KNSL           JAKK        APPF        ATRC

 

Good earnings:

SXT       NDLS      SIGI      SRCE      THC        UVE         SSNC       EW      FIBK      FISI      KN      NEM      COLB

 

I sold 250 shares of CELH 28.75

I am in 500 shares of ACI 11.75 [May have to sit and wait, bad earnings but super low valuation]

I am in 100 shares of UBER 68.55

 

TSLA was down 15%, 1 of the top 5 worst days for the company. The valuation is still meme. I told you yesterday why fair value is 65, that was not a typo, not any form of clickbait. That is based on what I see within the next 12 months, based on actual execution, actual prospects of products that are here. I am not here for likes, your money, followers, I tell you like it is. The company is going to make around 1.50 to 1.75 this year [far less than 2-4 years ago], they have an overall operating margin of near 2% [Worse than other car companies] they will have negative cash flows because of Capex [the difference with them and GOOGL] they do not have a game plan, or one that makes any kind of sense. [Robots, taxis, autonomous, they lead in none of these, then they said chips, data centers] The same goes for SPCX . SPCX is growing fast, so the prospects are much better than TSLA, keep in mind they raised 110 or so billion so far! That is more than TSLA since it existed! But yes, the growth is there, for me, maybe if SPCX was 25.. TSLA even at 65, the company is on a steep decline….

Not that I am saying TSLA is going to 65, SPCX is going to 25.. The stock market is a live auction, the perception is that Musk is god and cant be wrong, and these are not memes, that they are actually priced cheap. LOL!

 

Good luck!

Good morning everyone. Tons of earnings since close of yesterday so here are most of the ones that are at least good.

 

Excellent:

KALU        CBAN [Tiny]       RELL [Tiny]       TCBX [Tiny]       NOW        RS       GOOG GOOGL [24% sales growth, bottom line beat was unrealized gain SPCX and Anthropic]          FSBC          TXN     COCO     BX      FCFS

 

Very Good:

OII          GSHD       RNR       FAF      URI       MEDP         SEIC        THRM       IMAX     NDAQ      BFH    LMT

 

Good:

PKG         PNFP       LUV         WEX      CATY       FULT          RJF        RLI     QCRH      KMI       KNX        HON    ALLE       TMO      DOW      WST     AMBP     NVCR     AAL     DGX        MBLY [May add to plays]        AMP      CVBF       UNP

 

As I said this is the time for tremendous opportunities. This is the time you can sell/buy stocks, add/subtract them to watch lists. 4x a year these are like playoffs. We do not run companies, and as such every quarter we must see what is going on with them.

I am tired of people saying they lost faith in Elon, that the market is not considering TSLA and SPCX futures, that is undervalued etc… WAKE THE HECK UP!!!! The 2 companies are completed detached from any form of reality. The stock is not up in 5 years because it was up 5 years ago on speculation and momentum, and a gamma squeeze. I am shocked that as the fundamentals deteriorate, and with all the AI where you can just simply ask directly, do not even need to do your own DD, that TSLA is still actually over 100 per share.. The company, based on cash flows, and my analysis is worth about 250-275 billion, down from 300 billion months ago. This is a company, that will fight to make 4 billion this year. [Nearly 700-800 million of the Non gaap earnings were from a gain in SPCX !! You don’t need DD, ask AI. There are 3.8 billion shares. This means I see the value of shares near 65. This is actually giving TSLA a 40x multiple, it is set to make around 1.65 this year…..

This is not deserved!!!!! The company execution is actually pathetic!!!!!!!!!!! PATHETIC!

If TSLA was valued at 10x earnings, like most Car companies it would be below 20 per share..

SO STOP YOUR NON SENSE! Saying wow, the market doesn’t see the value, it hasn’t gone up in 5 years…. Friends, it did not deserve the valuation 5 years ago, and it was growing at that time… and most certainly doesn’t deserve the valuation today! FACTS!!!!!

The new 65 fair value is giving Tesla TSLA a high premium because of MUSK!!!! I am giving him the benefit of the doubt and saying maybe at 500 billion, or 25 per share I take a nibble at SPCX…. A NIBBLE!!!! Anyone else maybe this would be worth 200 billion? The company is losing billions! FACTS why the hell should it be worth 1.5 trillion??? WTF planet are you on, MARS already? There are 13.2 billion shares, so 200 billion is 15 per share!!! I will give him the benefit and say maybe its worth near 25, and that is a premium… A PREMIUM!

Stop listening to TV or social media… Start using actual sales, cash flows, trajectory….. do not let stock price, last closing price, influence you on whether a company is cheap or not…. TSLA may be cheap at 30! SPCX at 15!!! Based on real numbers!!!! Current stock prices do not reflect any form of reality! This does not mean SPCX cant grow and maybe 1 day be worth 1.5 trillion in my eyes, but it most certainly not today…

TSLA years away from robots too, so, for the time being there is nothing TSLA can do now to justify even 300 stock price! Let alone 500-1,000 like social media influencers are pushing!

 

On GOOG GOOGL for the first time in many many years the cash flows went negative. This is because of Capex, investments, to grow sales 24% at this size is tremendous! TREMENDOUS! But they are modeling to spend 500 or so billion in investments for 2025 and 2026 together… GOOGL is at the moment the most profitable company in the world, they may make 150 billion this year, but yes, this spending is wild, that is the only thing negative on this report. Also, a lot of their huge beat on bottom line was because they were up big on SPCX and Anthropic… These reports earnings are Non Gaap which is widely accepted in the market and account for 95% of all reports… I often say we should use GAAP only for true earnings numbers, ask AI to break the 2 down..

 

ACI bad earnings and bad guidance, I do trade this from time to time. It is a grocery store with a 6x PE… It was flat growth in sales and earnings, but I feel safety net… Well now the E in PE [Earnings] will come down… I saw 11 handle pre market.. It will open with a 5-6x PE… If you are patient and the company gets better maybe it eventually goes back to 17-18? But can you wait? If this is 11 handle again, I may take a little.

 

I did make a lot of moves yesterday. I could have done 3-5 more, but once I had my 3 new longs I didn’t feel comfortable with more. I did bid on UBER CRM and NOW

 

I sold 250 shares of PSIX 31.65 to 32.25 [Not the plan but last few days made 52 week low 29.31!]

 

I sold 100 shares of CRWV 81.60 to 82.25 [Not the plan but it crashed to 68 last week WTF! Then yesterday it hit 85?]

 

I am in 75 shares of ADBE 221.50 [Been trading a 3^(rd) block last few days]

 

I am in 250 shares of KVYO 16.25

 

I am in 500 shares of PATH 10.50

 

I have to run, I am planning on doing my closing for a 3 family in CT tomorrow!

 

Good luck!