Hello everyone,

For the past year I was building and testing a platfrom to help me with automating most of the work on finding trade setup, as a part time trader, I didn't have time to watch charts most of the days, so I wanted something to build that I set once, back test for validation, then assign to tickers and it will keep watching till conditions are met then send me a telegram notification.

There are much more to it, and a lot of things in my mind, but want to get some confirmation from users that it's actually something they might be interested in

I've been using it personally for few month and I thought if it worked for me it must works for others, I launched it to public few days ago, but since this is a niche market it was difficult to get signups, so I was hoping that there will be some I terested users in this community to help testing, offcourse I'm going to give them pro plan for a month to test so if any body interested please let me know here

Thanks alot for your time

Ahmed - Founder

TSLA trade card · OptionWhales daily thesis

Tesla has spent 2026 giving back the premium the market granted it for robotaxis. The Motley Fool wrote on August 19 that the market cap had slipped under $1.5 trillion with the stock trailing the S&P 500 by nearly 38% on the year, a whole-company number, not a fact about this order (https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/08/19/teslas-market-cap-just-slipped-below-15-trillion-h/). At 14:26:46 ET that session, with the stock at $348.085, a seller wrote 1,500 January 15, 2027 $280 puts and collected $1,642,500. Short volatility with a bullish lean: paid for time passing and for the range holding, wanting TSLA above $280 five months out.

The derating has a stated cause. Estimates through 2028 came down as robotaxi revenue arrived later than promised and capital spending ran past $25 billion; the same August 19 piece argues the bear case is now largely marked into the price. Still, Benzinga reported on August 18 that Einride ordered 500 Semis, the largest deployment of the truck to date.

The strike sits 19.6% under spot. $10.95 a share, so $1,095 per contract, 149 days to expiry, delta -0.17, implied vol on the contract 46.1%. It printed as a single order into open interest of 9,079 at that strike, 17% of it, so open versus close is not determinable: 1,500 lots could be new or could be someone stepping out of that pile, and open interest cannot separate them. Fully cash secured that is a $42 million obligation, assignment implying $269.05 net against a $348.085 spot.

A 46.1% line over 149 days prices a one standard deviation move of roughly 29%, so that 19.6% strike sits well inside the cone. The $1.6M pays the seller to carry the band between a moderate decline and a severe one. For that to be a fair price you would have to believe the robotaxi disappointment has been paid for once already, as that August 19 piece argues, and that a name down 38% against the index has less room to repeat it than 46 vol assumes. Two readings fit: cash-secured entry, someone content to own Tesla near $269 while collecting to wait, or relative value in the volatility, writing an elevated line on a name whose expectations were reset months ago. The 0.17 delta pushes me toward the second, since a buyer who wanted shares would sell nearer the money and collect far more for the same 149 days.

This works while that reset holds, and the expiry is built to test it. TipRanks puts the next earnings report on October 28, inside the contract's life, and the fourth-quarter delivery release lands near expiry on Tesla's usual calendar. What breaks it is a second leg down in expectations, capex guidance climbing again or autonomy timelines slipping past where the Street has marked them.

The Semi order supports this less than it looks. FleetOwner reported on August 19 that Einride is financing the 500 trucks over 24 months with a four-year asset-backed loan at an effective rate near 14%, so most of that revenue arrives after January 15. The open question is whether October shows robotaxi mileage compounding fast enough to pull the volatility line down, because at 46.1% the January contracts are still priced for an argument.

*Educational content only. Not investment advice.*

Every month we pull the trailing 1-year total return for every stock in our universe, rank them by market-cap tier, and publish the top performers. No opinions, no "buy this now" — just what actually happened, sorted plainly.

Why we do this differently: Most "top stocks" lists mix timeframes, cherry-pick lookback windows, or bury the methodology. Ours is simple: trailing 1-year total return (price + dividends), split by cap size (large/mid/small), recalculated on the same day every month.

https://www.youtube.com/@Ownfolio?sub_confirmation=1

MU trade card · OptionWhales daily thesis

The consensus on Micron has a celebrity attached to it. On the SpaceX earnings call of August 4, per 24/7 Wall St. on August 17 (https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/08/17/elon-musks-5-word-statement-should-have-every-micron-investor-paying-attention/), Elon Musk named memory rather than power or GPUs as the ceiling on his compute buildout, citing demand growing 200% a year against 20% supply growth. At 10:52:47 ET a 680-contract January 15, 2027 put vertical printed in one burst into that story, $50 wide and wrapped around spot at $943, for a net credit of $1,028,500. A credit on a put vertical can only come from writing the higher strike, so the $1,000 put is the sold side. Net delta across the legs lands near flat and the two vegas cancel, which leaves the $50 band between the strikes as the exposure rather than any direction.

The bull case here is not soft. Micron's fiscal Q3 release in June carried record free cash flow, HBM3E and HBM4 booked through 2027 with demand into 2028, and $22B of strategic customer agreements including $18B in cash deposits. Against that, TrendForce's July survey (via Tom's Hardware, July 4: https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/ram/memory-price-surge-begins-to-cool-as-consumers-hit-affordability-limit-ai-demand-still-keeps-dram-and-nand-prices-climbing-through-q3-2026) has conventional DRAM contract prices up 13% to 18% in Q3, a marked cooling from prior quarters, with Q4 penciled at 3% to 8%. Both of those are facts about the memory cycle and the whole name, not about this order.

The two legs, same second, matched size:

- Sold 340 January 15, 2027 $1,000 puts at $191.35 a share, 69.7% IV, delta -0.45
- Bought 340 January 15, 2027 $950 puts at $161.10 a share, 69.2% IV, delta -0.40

That is 150 days out, with the lower strike sitting $7 above a $943 spot, so the whole $50 corridor is at or just above the money. The written strike carried 3,168 contracts of prior-day open interest and the bought strike 1,497, both far larger than the 340 done on each leg, so whether this opens new exposure or unwinds existing exposure is not determinable here. Our leg-signing confidence on the individual sides is weak on its own; the $1.0M credit is what pins the net shape.

For this to be an attractive structure standalone, you would want vol at 70% five months out to be rich relative to how a $943 stock actually travels through a $50 window, and you would want the pricing deceleration TrendForce sketches for Q4 to matter less to the path than the booked-through-2027 order book suggests. Collecting $30.25 of a $50 width is roughly 60% of the distance, which is aggressive pricing for a corridor straddling spot. The competing reading is that both strikes already had thousands of contracts open, and a matched 340x340 burst inside that is as consistent with adjusting an existing January book as with a fresh position. I lean to the second, mostly because of the strike selection: someone building this from scratch has the whole chain and picked the two strikes with prior interest.

My read is that this position is comfortable with the memory cycle staying loud in either direction and uncomfortable with a slow drift that parks the stock inside the corridor. Micron's next quarterly report is estimated for September 29 per TipRanks, and a December print lands before expiry too, so two earnings and two quarters of DRAM contract data sit inside the contract's life. What would change the regime by January is supply arriving: SK Hynix, which Tech Times put at 56% of global HBM revenue in Q1 2026, approved new capacity at board level in August.

*Educational content only, not investment advice.*

NVDA trade card · OptionWhales daily thesis

Someone Spent $270,000 to Buy a Five-Dollar-Wide Slice of Nvidia's Upside

At 11:17:01 ET on August 17, with NVDA trading at $227.27, two option orders printed in the same second, in matched size: 1,500 November 20, 2026 $240 calls bought at roughly $13.90 a share, and 1,500 of the $245 calls of the same expiry sold at roughly $12.10. Gross premium across both legs came to $3.9 million. The cash that actually left the account was $270,000 — $1.80 per share on a structure five dollars wide.

That last sentence is the whole trade. This was not a purchase of calls. It was the purchase of a bounded corridor: the buyer acquired exposure that begins at $240, about 5.6% above where the stock was trading, and stops dead at $245, about 7.8% above. Everything above $245 was sold away to help pay for it. The classifier flags the two legs as one package with 90% confidence, inferred from identical size and same-second execution. We cannot prove one account owns both — that inference is from the tape, not from a filing.

The Debit Tells Us Which Leg Was Which

Our per-leg buyer/seller tagging on this print is weak — 10% confidence on each side, which is barely better than a coin flip. So the orientation is not established by the tape. It is established by arithmetic. The package cost money rather than paying money, and a 240/245 call vertical only produces a net debit in one configuration: long the lower strike, short the higher one. Had the legs been reversed, the same two prices would have generated a $270,000 credit. They did not. The debit is the evidence.

The Volatility View Nets to Nothing, and So Does Most of the Direction

Both legs carry essentially the same implied volatility — 39.4% on the long leg, 39.3% on the short — and share the same November 20 expiry. Buying vol at one price and selling it at effectively the same price in the same month means the volatility exposures largely cancel. Whatever this position is, it is not a bet on Nvidia's option premiums getting richer or cheaper.

Direction is trimmed almost as hard. The long $240 call carries a delta of 0.452; the short $245 call, 0.411. Net, the package began life with about 0.04 of delta per spread — roughly 6,100 shares of stock-equivalent exposure, or about $1.4 million of directional footprint from $3.9 million of gross premium. The bias is upward, and that holds regardless of anything else in this article. But it is a deliberately small bias, bounded on both ends by design.

That is why the payload's "non-directional" intent label deserves scrutiny rather than repetition. A call debit spread leans bullish. What is unusual here is how little directional exposure the trader retained for the premium committed.

What We Cannot Determine, and Why That Matters

Whether this opened a new position or closed an old one is not determinable. The reason is specific: prior-day open interest is known for both contracts — 12,737 at the $240 strike, 9,078 at the $245 — and both figures dwarf the 1,500 lots traded. When existing interest is that much larger than the trade, the volume could have been created or extinguished inside it, and the open-interest print cannot distinguish. Zero percent of this package sits in legs that can be signed either way, well below the threshold we require to characterise a position.

The directional lean does not soften because of that. A bounded long-call structure is bullish-leaning whether it establishes a new view or unwinds an old one. What we cannot claim is motive. A hedge against a share position, a delta-neutral book, or a corporate exposure we cannot see would look identical on the tape.

Nine Days to Earnings, Ninety-Five to Expiry

Nvidia reports Q2 fiscal 2027 results on Wednesday, August 26, 2026, after the close — nine sessions after this print. The expiry sits 95 days out, meaning the position spans that report and, on Nvidia's historical calendar, plausibly a second one in November; the Q3 date was not confirmed at the time of writing, so treat that as unresolved rather than assumed.

The day's discourse was about the durability of Nvidia's position against hyperscaler-designed silicon, framed by a Motley Fool piece published August 16 asking where each moat is strongest and what could weaken it. That is context, not causation. Nothing in the tape links this structure to that argument.

*This is analysis of publicly reported options activity, not investment advice. Options carry risk of total loss, and the intent behind any single trade is unknowable from public data.*

Good morning I have a big meeting with the town around 9AM. I have to call my lawyers after, I have to follow up with some contractors so this will be short. Since Friday, there have been a lot of 13 Filings. This is an SEC document that classifies large ownership in any stock or company. It is actually a good way for the little investor to see/try to see where and what big money is doing, how it is allocated. For many years, it was thought that big money had huge advantages.

[They still do! Mainly they can make calls with insiders, execs and get, if not daily or weekly updates, I would not doubt monthly updates  on a business, big contracts. They also have access to other large investors, they all have access to Bloomberg, quick news, they will have access to level 3 trades… where you can see all orders, buys and sells]

The advantages they had have definitely narrowed though. We have access at our fingertips and can even use AI to summarize reports, quick DD on sales/earnings….. And for this last reason, with AI … I am stumped how the

MASSES CAN STILL BE AS*ES.

At your fingertips in a span of under 5 mins you can find out sales with TSLA over the last 5 years… You can ask income over that time… you can even ask for PEG ratios [Growth over price as it relates]!!!! You no longer have to do extensive research!!! JUST ASK AI!

So how are people so baffled why I say TSLA is worth at most 65 at the moment???!!! [Close to 250-300 billion] Stop using magic or hocus pocus WTF to try and justify a stock price!!! WTF!!!

The market cap is the total value of a company. In 2025 Tesla made just under 3.8 billion. In 2026 they will make far less than that! [They will also go cash flow negative with investments] PLEASE FACT CHECK ME!!!

Elon has stopped talking autonomous, taxi or robots… They were all hype to begin with!! Maybe it comes, maybe it doesn’t, but it sure wasn’t ever something that was coming in 2025 or 2026 as promised!!!

So, if TSLA as a company stands to make near 2 billion dollars for 2026. With earnings and margins declining…. Let us say by some miracle it is 3 billion.

Company is on the decline…

What is 3 billion x 75 [75x multiple or PE, yes for me, PE is the most important indicator for me, not the only, but most important PEG is important! Near 1 is great, TSLA is near 5, awful!]

So 3 x 75 is 225… 3 billion made in profits, let us say the business is worth 225 billion.

That means the stock should be  near 55..

3.95 billion shares outstanding….. 3.95 x 55 = 217 billion…

That is it! My prices make sense… I am giving the benefit of the doubt and 65 is a premium!

What is the difference between Bitcoin and TSLA ? The stock price has 0 to do with the asset or company… Bitcoin price is pie in the sky! No way to equate its value.

Everyone is in SPCX and it makes me sick! Elon track record is filled with holes… The growth is real in Space X. I could see why people want to own it, the prospects are great! However, for me, based on facts we have now, the company is not worth more than a penny over 38, or 500 billion. There are no facts, business model, numbers that justify a stock price of 140.. Just hype… people are buying TSLA SPCX and Bitcoin because they think they can offload it to someone else at a higher price. It is said that after 2020, so many people came into the market and everyone is brainwashed..

Use your AI and ask what was Elons Net worth December 31^(st) 2019… You will see it was near 20 billion… TSLA was near 100 billion… They have not created value beyond a maybe 300 billion valuation….The stock price has 0 to do with the business.

TSLA made 12.6 billion in 2022 and the last great year, 2023 made the company best 14,975 billion… The stock was way too high those times but at least it was growing… it is now a cesspool!

If you have a long term outlook on TSLA or and SPCX then don’t worry about the day to day.

Maybe they have robots and finally go over 100  billion in sales. [Record was 97 in 2023 and 2024] maybe they do 200 billion! I do not know either.. I do know the stock price now already has that built in!

SPCX is on a heavy growth stage so I will give him the benefit and give the company a 500 billion valuation..

Sorry I don’t pick numbers out of the sky!!! And Now you have AI, neither should you!!!!

 

I am in 1000 PSFE at 6.75

 

I saw SNAP drop to 4.70 premarket. I like the risk reward there, I rarely buy after hours, I usually just sell. The growth is slow but I really like it here, low risk. Hope to see that during market hours…

 

Good luck!

Ownfolio is a portfolio tracker built for people who buy quality companies and hold them — not for people trying to time the next move.

Most portfolio tools are built around signals, alerts, and "sell now" urgency. Ownfolio does the opposite: it gives you clean fundamentals, long-term performance tracking, and a monthly "Top 25" ranking of the best-performing stocks by cap size — all using a disclosed, checkable methodology. No black box, no hype.

Every month we pull the trailing 1-year total return for every stock in our universe, rank them by market-cap tier, and publish the top performers. No opinions, no "buy this now" — just what actually happened, sorted plainly.

Why we do this differently: Most "top stocks" lists mix timeframes, cherry-pick lookback windows, or bury the methodology. Ours is simple: trailing 1-year total return (price + dividends), split by cap size (large/mid/small), recalculated on the same day every month.

Good morning everyone. I was on X reading the “For you” tweets and I try and help, answer those people. Remember, we do not companies. Unless you work at a company, have some kind of insider information we can not just go blindly and buy companies. I can understand why people buy an index like SPY VOO QQQ DIA keep in mind the SP500 does kick out and replace bad companies, so you can be completely passive. For myself, there are only maybe 50 out of the 500 companies that I can just buy, hold, and not worry, personally. Some that I do own for more than 10+ years are:

GS     JPM       HD      AAPL       GE [And because of spin offs GEV GEHC]       WMT

I do not know but could own long term GOOG GOOGL META MSFT AMZN

Because I am confident, that they can adapt and will adapt. I also do not blame people for NVDA if you want to add that, I personally would not have years ago, but now, maybe.

The user was in BYND , and wish they could have saw this coming. You can do this DD on any company, even a 3^(rd) grader can do it. This could have been done for AMC GME or even TSLA now [You can easily see a decline in the business] maybe a 1^(st) grader can see it!!!!!

I use Seekingalpha, I have a paid service, I do need to check if I can get it cheaper [it is like 300-400 a year]. I know you can use Yahoo finance, because I use that too, but mainly seeking alpha.

Type in:

BYND for beyond meat

You will notice from way back in 2018-2019 over the full year, sales flew up from 88 million to as high as 465 million in 2021… You can easily see in 2025 the overall sales were 275 million. This was not all of a sudden, but very gradual. The company was never profitable but you can see over that period of time as the sales came down, why were losses going up?

What you are hoping for in NBIS CRWV CBRS ONDS LUNR is that they have this tremendous growth, margins get better and over time the losses get minimal. Check quarter over quarter, year over year, overall year… This, even a 1^(st) grader can see numbers get bigger or lower….. maybe it takes a 3^(rd) grader to understand the math [not just recognize a higher and lower number]

Now someone asked me about a week ago what do I think about GPRO at 50 cents… Man 10 years ago this was near 100 and rumors were AAPL was buying it! NO JOKE!!!

So with GPRO:

2020 Sales 892 million on those sales                        66.8 Million loss

2021 Sales 1.16 Billion           Profit of 371.2 Million [Covid]

2022 Sales 1.094 Billion         Profit of 28.8 Million

2023 Sales 1.05 Billion           53.2 Million Loss

2024 Sales 801.5 Million        432.3 Million Loss

2025 Sales 569 Million            93.5 Million Loss

Look at this trend, a 3^(rd) grader can see… Now looking back you may see this is obvious… hindsight is always 20/20. Now do this for your companies…

Now do this for mighty TSLA

Then you will understand why I say the company is on the decline, Tesla the company is a cesspool! It has horrible margins, far lower than Ferrari or Porsche and borderline other car makers…

So we want to see and recognize trends, in the financials, we do not run companies!

 

If a company has a 95+ rating, and it is below 1 billion I am writing [Tiny]. If it is an 85 or 75, I do not bother but some of these companies are 100-200 million! It is important to know the size to see if this trend is consistent or not. What path is the company on?

 

Excellent [95+]

EQPT        CURI [Tiny]        HLIT [Impressed]      COHR        STAA [Wow DD]      OMER [WTF DD how Bio tech?]       MSGS      CRMD [Tiny]      MGTX [DD wow never seen this company]      FIGR [DD add to Plays]

 

Very Good [85]

SKYH         STN       PARK      LPA        ANDG      EPSN      CSCO     USIO      LNSR      AVAH       BSP      DSVSF

 

Good [75]

CAE         LMRI        LFTO       KSCP       ENS      DERM     ARCO      BKTI      AIT    AIRO      YETI

 

I may buy the CLBT dip, they help with litigations, careful, earnings and guidance eh, but down 30%? Jesus, do need new DD but I am busy!

 

I sold 250 shares of NVGS from 19.75 to 20.50

I am in 100 shares of LULU at 121.50

 

Good luck!

Every month we pull the trailing 1-year total return for every stock in our universe, rank them by market-cap tier, and publish the top performers. No opinions, no "buy this now" — just what actually happened, sorted plainly.

Why we do this differently: Most "top stocks" lists mix timeframes, cherry-pick lookback windows, or bury the methodology. Ours is simple: trailing 1-year total return (price + dividends), split by cap size (large/mid/small), recalculated on the same day every month. You can check our math.

Every month we pull the trailing 1-year total return for every stock in our universe, rank them by market-cap tier, and publish the top performers. No opinions, no "buy this now" — just what actually happened, sorted plainly.

Why we do this differently: Most "top stocks" lists mix timeframes, cherry-pick lookback windows, or bury the methodology. Ours is simple: trailing 1-year total return (price + dividends), split by cap size (large/mid/small), recalculated on the same day every month. You can check our math.

Good morning everyone. I have been working very hard on this 3 property deal with TD Bank for many months. This deal went under contract 3^(rd) week of March 2026. For many years I wanted to purchase properties using TD Bank. I finally got large enough that they actually wanted my business. [You must keep in mind these are investment properties out of state and that are held by an LLC entity, ask your banks and you will see, most do not do this]. I go to my local TD bank in Queens, NYC often. I was there yesterday, I was getting notaries as I am constantly doing evictions or suing tenants. In December, I finally had meetings and decided I wanted to go with TD bank. The problem is my 2 main local banks in CT are reaching their limits on exposure. Most small banks have a cap of near 5 million to 1 borrower, even if it is an LLC. I am also prepping for new build, I wanted a lender that could allow me to borrow 20+ million…. Sorry TD is horrible!!! I originally gave 20K deposit to secure the deal. Then around 7/4, nearly 3 ½ months later, the seller decides he will cancel the deal and send me a refund of my 20K. I fight to keep the deal on, I send an extra 250K [Not even in escrow, I do not recommend this] and make the total non refundable!!! 270k!!!

If I cancel for any reason, or can not get financing, the seller keeps the 270. It is 3 properties, 11 units for 1.35 million. We were supposed to close a while ago….

Finally about 10 days ago, TD bank has a checklist I must meet to have a clear to close…

So in other words, 4+ months they did not say anything, and then in the end they add requirements to the list….[I am fighting to get an exception for surveys!!! Friends, I just got a survey done and it took me 10 weeks, mind you, it was 7,800 dollars….. in CT I have never had a survey as a requirement from a bank, also, they want all the work done on the open permits… I have seen what is necessary and want to sign off letting them know I will complete it…. The underwriters are reviewing… it is a nightmare…. Obviously, I didn’t know this going in, I did this deal 3^(rd) week of March and was told by the banker it would close by 7/1 or about 3 months, slightly longer…..

I hope to close end of this week? Next week?

I just wanted to share the story and why I cant really focus on trading.

Trading and investing is my passion, always… but in 2017, I started to buy rental properties. I do not have a super, property manager, I answer calls, texts, emails from tenants… I am about to have 140+ units, 35+ properties…. I am not saying this to brag… but I am spreading myself way to thin, I am overwhelmed to say the least….

I hope that when I do build the new multi family, next year, to let someone live for free, give him some salary, see how he does… and slowly give him more pay, more responsibilities….

So, I just closed on Friday on a 3 family, doing repairs everywhere, closing on 3 more properties, so you can see why I didn’t really even try to make a trade yesterday. I will be in and out today also… I did make a lot of changes to my Play watch list.

I have 28 watch list, probably have 1,200+ tickers. [About 6,000 trade on NYSE and Nasdaq, I do not count OTC] but I am definitely swamped… a lot of evictions too.

 

Some amazing earnings:

BW [Wow]        HLIO        QMCO [Tiny but wow]        HPK [Tiny]        NGS [Tiny]       AAON [Wow!]       YPF [DD]        AMBQ [Wow DD]       BMWN [Tiny]

 

Very good earnings:

LIF [May buy dip, need DD down 25%, guidance]        KOPN      TCMD [May watch the dip, guidance]       ESLT

 

Good earnings:

DSP       PANL      SMC     ALCO        PIII        FF       A  PEI     EVC       FENC [Bio Tech]         DPC     HBIO       MIDD     ETOR [May add to plays]       CRNT       ARMK       VG

 

I wanted to mention ASTS RUM HIMS RKLB and SE . These are popular names, some even Memes. On all 5, they missed bottom line but all grew over 30%. You have to personally weigh if the growth is worth the investment they are making, near term loses.. As I said yesterday, to raise shareholder value, you have to market, do RD, invest in sales… If you are constantly raising cash with dilution, making investments, taking out loans, buying companies and it doesn’t reflect in the Sales/earnings…. Stay away TSLA RBLX GME AMC

Sorry, these are all companies that have invested, done RD, marketing, new products, etc where none of that improved the actual business! AMC is getting better but they diluted to oblivion. GME changed game plans, shafted retail and bonds to the tune of near 11.5 billion… they did not do anything organically to increase shareholder value…

So with ASTS RUM HIMS RKLB SE … They are increasing sales still… are the losses coming down? Margins? These are things to watch for…

 

I regard anything over 30% sales growth as hyper growth..

This is because great companies on SPY VOO SP500 grow sales/earnings at 10-20%... So, to me, no rules, but 30% is a figure I regard as hyper growth..

 

Good luck, I have to run and get this deal done!

Good morning. I am headed to a closing today on a 3 family. I am buttoning up everything to close on a 3 property, 11 Unit deal that will close next week. [Finally! I signed this deal around March 21^(st), my first, and maybe my last deal with TD Bank, they do not specialize in investment properties, owned by LLCs out of State, multi families…. Most banks do not] That said, I may try and do a couple of trades here and there but I will not be able to focus energy on it. I will share some videos of a huge renovation on my largest, as of now, 8 unit building. I got back a 3 bedroom from Eviction Wednesday, from that building, I will make a video of the progress… should be done Monday or Tuesday, what a mess! Will cost me about 25k. Tons of damage from cat urine and feces. [The apartment is near 1,500 square feet, and floors are about 5 per square foot, labor and materials, we are using Killz to kill the odor… this is why landlords may charge 50-100 a month, to cover this]

 

My goals in trading are simple. I try and make between 200-600 per trade. I am not necessarily limited how much capital I am using, holding for any type of %. I am just trying to make 200-600 per trade… make 100K per year trading. [I have blew past this pretty much every year since 2010, that is roughly when I set this goal] Someone asked me how much they need to do these trades.

Yesterday I made 250 on 100 UBER shares that I purchased at 67. [6,700 capital for the 250]

I also sold 100 shares of LULU that I purchased months ago for 124 [12,400] to make 175 as I sold for 125.75… So for me, it is not a %, but the 200 to 600.

The other day I made roughly 1,000 on 250 shares of PSIX. I purchased 250 shares of PSIX for 7,375. I sold 250 shares of PSIX at 33.25. [3.75 x 250 = 937.50] I shared the screen shots of this trade on X.

I mentioned PSIX now, because earnings were good and it is flying to 38-39 at the moment… It was 27 this week! The low I think Monday or Tuesday! But I wanted to mention it, because when we hold into earnings, when a stock has a valuation so low, we may see huge, huge gains… I like to wait for earnings generally, because we are not rolling the dice here, if we wait to make a position after earnings, we are being told near term future, and last 3 months. [I do not care for hocus pocus Elon SPCX 2030! WTF!!! I am not saying that can not happen. Once again, I am not saying SPCX does not have good prospects, I am tired of being called a shill for saying things like they are] I am saying I am not paying now for something that may or may not happen 4 years from now!!! WTF!!! We can see everything said by Elon, analysts were dead wrong on TSLA 4-3-2-1 years ago. The company has a decline in sales, earnings… the best years at TSLA were 2021-2023.. These are facts, ask AI to tell you profits, margins, sales growth… But the market gives it a 200x PE…

Now I am saying this because I have 2 blocks of TTD that I purchased several months ago at an average of 36… Now, even at that time, I did see growth slowing [Still growing sales and earnings but instead of 30% growth it was 15-20% which is still good!] We do not run companies!!!! So at that time, I felt it should have a 20x PE… Earnings about 2 dollars… 15-20% growth…. Fair value 40. [20 x 2] the financials were and still are strong and I personally felt a 20x PE was fair… Fast forward to today… The growth is 3%. [Most SPY VOO SP500 companies grow 5-10% a year, but the SP500 at an all time high trades near 24x earnings… given earnings have been amazing but just comparing any company relative to the SP500]

I am not defending TTD or the earnings, the earnings were not good. I am saying that this valuation makes 0 sense!! It will open with a 6-7x PE ratio. The company has solid financials… Will it go to flat, will they decrease sales and earnings… definitely possible, but at a 6-7x PE that is built in! Recall, I have said that most private companies, good ones, sell at 5-10x earnings… TTD will make 700 to 800 million this year, and when the market opens the entire company will have a value of near 5.7 billion dollars.

To put this simply..

I have a business… You can buy my business for 570,000. You ask me… how much do you make a year…. I say 700 to 800,000. You ask me to show the books… I say we are still growing about 10% a year, over the last 3 months we grew at 3%..... By the way, we have net cash in the bank of well over 100,000!! So in essence you aren’t paying 470,000 because you will acquire our bank account too! So, once again, I am by no means defending TTD earnings… and I had rated this at 20x from earnings, many quarters ago…

The question is, could management turn it around… would you be able to turn that business around… they have a 95% stickiness with clients, selling ads, they are just making less per ad, lower margins… Just giving you information on how to value the business..

90% of companies can not turn it around and turn to all time highs [CVNA just did for example] but at least 10-20% re-accelerate earnings/sales again [just not to all time highs]… So the risk reward is good, at the moment… I am not buying more, and I am not selling TTD . I will not tax harvest either… Usually when these turn arounds happen, when they do, it takes 4-6 quarters, unfortunately….. [12 to 18 months, CVNA took maybe 24 months]

 

I sold 100 UBER 67 to 69.50.

I sold 100 LULU 124 to 125.75 [Was stuck 2+ months]

I bidded for 100 ROOT at 46 [orders were hitting, but not mines] it hit 51 later in the day….

[4,600 total capital for 500 gain same day! 11% for those that are asking capital]

 

Excellent earnings:

ABX     ATLC [DD]     FIGS      WPM       JHX      ARLO     EGY [Tiny]      KINS [Tiny]       KRMN     ARW      QNST      LASR      ONTO      AVPT      PRAA [Tiny]       HASI     OMDA      MCHP       NET       MNST      ROKU [Don’t like valuation]      FROG [Don’t like this valuation either]      WLDN [Wow]     AAOI      TEAM      INOD [Wow]     TWLO      RGTI [Valuation]      SEZL       HALO [Bio tech]     MDA [DD may add to Plays]       ACMR      ROAD      ANIP [Bio tech]      AD       DCH [DD may add to Plays]

 

Very good earnings:

LION      HG      IRTC     EFC     PAR      NUTX     REAL      MTW      PUBM       NTRA      KRT       PSIX      BMRN     CRSR     MITK     PDFS       CWST      ABNB     ARKO      SPB      KRP

 

Good earnings:

VHI       AHR     AMN     PBYI      HCI       NTGR     ALRM      SPT      FNKO      RGA      GMED     RMD     YELP      AORT     ICUI      CVSA      CTRE     FIVN       TXRH      SYNA      DCBO       GTN     TILE      OFRM      CON      NATH     ESNT      FLR      EMBC      JOUT      ATMU       GLP

 

Good luck!