u/splitresearch

A lot of people still don’t understand this strategy so I’ll explain it simply.

This revolves around certain reverse splits and merger-related corporate actions where companies disclose how they handle fractional shares.

Most of the time, brokers just pay cash-in-lieu (CIL) for the fractional amount and that’s the end of it. But sometimes companies include wording that says fractional shares will be rounded UP to the nearest whole share instead.

That’s where the opportunity can come in.

Example: Super Simple how these set ups normally look

A company announces a 1-for-20 reverse split.

If someone owns 1 share pre-split, mathematically that becomes 0.05 shares post-split.

Normally you’d just get cash for the fraction.

But if the filing says fractional shares are rounded up, that 0.05 can potentially become 1 full post-split share depending on the exact mechanics and broker processing.

And YES this is a real thing that has happened before.

That’s why some traders spend hours reading merger docs, SEC filings, S-1s, DEF14As, and reverse split language looking for these setups before the effective date.

Most people completely ignore this stuff because it sounds “too niche” or they assume nobody can make money from corporate action mechanics.

But inefficiencies absolutely exist in the market, especially in areas most people never take the time to study.

This obviously does NOT work every time.
Some companies explicitly cash out fractions.
Some brokers handle things differently.
And sometimes the filings are too vague.

But when the round-up language is clearly written and the mechanics line up correctly, the ROI relative to the capital used can honestly be insane.

The funniest part is this strategy is actually pretty simple once you understand what you’re looking for.

You’re basically just studying corporate action language and trying to identify situations where the market is mispricing or overlooking the mechanics.

It’s way more legitimate than people think.

Curious how many other people track reverse split mechanics, merger language, odd-lot setups, or fractional share treatment. Would actually be interesting hearing other experiences with this strategy.

The more I research HOOD the more I think Wall Street is completely misunderstanding this company.

Most people still view Robinhood as the meme stock trading app from 2021.

But the actual business today looks completely different.

Revenue is exploding.
Margins are improving.
Assets on platform keep growing.
Crypto volume is recovering.
Prediction markets are gaining traction.
And they’re quietly building a full consumer finance ecosystem aimed directly at younger investors.

This is not just a brokerage anymore. Robinhood is becoming a financial platform for everything and I mean anything

Robinhood has positioned itself to potentially be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the largest wealth transfer in history that’s coming over the next few decades.

And honestly I think AI could make this story even bigger.

They already own the attention of millions of retail investors. If they successfully integrate AI into investing tools, research, portfolio analysis, and financial planning, engagement could go way higher over time.

Most legacy finance companies move slow. Robinhood moves fast.

That combination gets interesting imagine how fast robinhood are gonna be able to scale.

But what really makes this setup crazy to me is the earnings potential over the next few years.

Right now the market still values HOOD like a cyclical trading app.

Meanwhile EPS is starting to ramp hard and the P/E ratio is compressing fast as earnings scale.

That’s usually what happens before growth stocks rerate higher.

People see the stock up big already and assume it’s expensive when the exact opposite can happen if earnings start exploding faster than price.

And honestly if crypto fully comes back into another major cycle, Robinhood could absolutely start printing earnings.

Crypto trading revenue would surge.
Retail engagement would spike.
Options activity would increase.
Platform assets would likely accelerate higher.
Subscription monetization grows.
And operating leverage starts kicking in aggressively.

That’s where these platform businesses get scary.

The market is still not valuing HOOD like a company that could potentially dominate the next generation of retail finance.

I’ve been building full long term projection models on HOOD using Bloomberg data combined with AI driven analysis and some of the upside scenarios honestly get kind of insane if execution continues.

I genuinely think this stock has massive upside from current levels

CELH Bull Case — Why This Might Be One of the Most Mispriced Growth Stocks Out There

Celsius has been absolutely wrecked from its highs. The market went from treating it like the next great consumer growth story to suddenly acting like the whole thing is over.

And honestly? That's exactly why I think this setup is worth paying attention to.

Because here's what's strange — while the stock was collapsing, the actual business kept chugging along. Revenue grew. EPS scaled. Margins improved. Distribution expanded. Market share went up. The stock chart looks like a disaster, but flip to the income statement and you'd never guess it.

Wall Street is pricing CELH like growth is dying. The numbers suggest the company might just be entering its most profitable phase yet.

What Celsius Actually Is Now

Most people still think of Celsius as "just another energy drink." That framing is outdated.

What CELH is becoming is a scaled, multi-brand energy platform — and the Pepsi partnership is the reason that's even possible. Distribution is everything in beverages. You can have the best product in the world, but without shelf space, logistics, and retailer relationships, you're stuck. Pepsi essentially solved that problem overnight — giving Celsius national reach, convenience store penetration, and a real runway for international expansion. That alone raised the ceiling of this business dramatically.

But that's not even the most interesting part anymore.

The Alani Nu and Rockstar Angle Is Being Seriously Underestimated

This is what I think most people are missing.

Celsius is no longer a one-brand bet. Between Celsius, Alani Nu, and Rockstar, the company now has exposure across meaningfully different consumer pockets:

Celsius owns the fitness and wellness crowd — gym culture, performance energy, the "cleaner" energy positioning that's driven so much of its growth.

Alani Nu is tapped into a massive and loyal female demographic, built almost entirely through social media and influencer marketing. It's sticky, it's growing fast, and it skews younger.

Rockstar brings something different — traditional energy consumers, deep convenience store roots, and a legacy retail footprint that takes years to build from scratch.

Why does this matter so much? Because this is actually how beverage empires get built — not through one winning product, but through a portfolio of brands that collectively dominate shelf space. The more successful brands you control, the harder it becomes for any single competitor to push you out. Retailers have limited shelf space. They need to work with you. That's pricing power. That's staying power.

And CELH now has the Pepsi infrastructure to scale all three of these globally. That's a different company than what most people have in their head.

The Numbers the Market Seems to Be Ignoring

Based on Bloomberg consensus estimates, Wall Street still expects CELH to hit:

• 2025 revenue: ~$2.5B
• 2026 revenue: ~$3.35B
• 2027 revenue: ~$3.67B

That is not what a dead growth company looks like. That's nearly tripling revenue from just a few years ago. The skeptics and the estimates are telling two completely different stories.

The Real Case Here Is the EPS Trajectory

Revenue growth is nice. But what's actually compelling is what's happening with earnings:

• 2025 EPS: ~$1.45
• 2026 EPS: ~$1.64
• 2027 EPS: ~$2.04

Notice that EPS is growing faster than revenue. That's operating leverage kicking in — the point where distribution costs are largely fixed, margins expand, and incremental revenue drops to the bottom line much more efficiently. This is the exact dynamic institutions look for in maturing consumer growth names, because once it starts, earnings can accelerate well beyond what the top line alone would suggest.

So Why Is the Valuation Where It Is?

This is where it gets genuinely hard to explain.

Celsius has historically traded at 30x, 40x, even close to 70x earnings at various points. Right now, based on forward projections, you're looking at something closer to 15x 2027 earnings.

That kind of compression makes sense if growth is actually broken — if the Pepsi partnership is failing, if Alani Nu is stalling, if the category is dying. But there's not much evidence of any of that in the actual results. The market seems to be punishing the stock for a narrative that the fundamentals haven't confirmed.

The $100+ Case

Running a simple model forward: if 2028 EPS comes in around $2.54 and the stock rerates closer to its historical average — call it 46x — you get to roughly $117 per share.

The stock is sitting around $30 right now.

That's not some fantasy scenario requiring a perfect world. It's just CELH continuing to execute at roughly the pace it already has been, and the market eventually deciding to value it like a real growth company again instead of a broken one.

Wall Street has largely moved on from this stock. It had its run, the thinking goes, and now it's done.

But the setup actually looks like something different — a company that spent the last few years building real infrastructure, locking in real distribution, and assembling a real brand portfolio. The "momentum stock" phase might be over. The compounding phase might be just getting started. And historically, that transition is when the most durable gains actually happen right after the market stops paying attention.

There are lots of ways to find value in investing.

Over the last few years I’ve tried pretty much everything.

Swing trading.
Low P/E stocks.
Growth investing.
Options.
Forex.
Momentum.
Small caps.

Honestly, probably most of the strategies retail investors talk about online.

But the one thing that consistently stood out to me had nothing to do with indicators or complicated technical analysis.

It came from actually reading filings.

Most people only read headlines or Twitter posts about a company. Very few people actually take the time to read the corporate actions themselves.

That’s where I started noticing something interesting.

Occasionally, companies going through reverse splits will include wording like:

“Fractional shares will not be issued.”
“All fractional shares will be rounded up to the nearest whole share.”

I know reverse splits immediately turn a lot of people away, but hear me out.

I’m not talking about blindly buying bad companies.

What interested me was the market structure side of it and how certain situations can create weird little inefficiencies that most people never notice.

For example, depending on the split ratio and the wording used, a shareholder who would normally receive a fractional share after the split could instead receive a whole share due to rounding provisions.

It sounds small, but once I started digging deeper into this stuff a few years ago, I realized there are a surprising number of overlooked situations in the market that people ignore simply because they never read beyond the surface.

Since then I’ve spent a lot of time tracking corporate actions, comparing filings, and trying to better understand how these situations actually play out in practice. But honestly, I still find incredible value in long-term investing and buying companies with good P/E ratios. But I’ve found the most value from studying other types of value investing the ones nobody really talks about.........

What do you guys find the most value from ?

I'm 20 years old and I've slowly come to realize that most people are just... over-diversified. Not because diversification is wrong, but because if you actually want to build real wealth not "8% annually over 40 years" wealth, but generational wealth you need concentrated positions backed by genuine conviction.

In the last 3 months alone I've made more than I would've compounded in the S&P for 7 years. And it came down to one simple thing: I stopped spreading my bets and started going deep on the things I actually understood.

Here the play that started it all,I started buying AMD around the $120 range because I genuinely believed the market was massively underestimating what was about to happen with AI.

At first it was just shares.

Then my conviction got bigger.

While everyone around me kept saying "just buy index funds," "don't take risk," "you can't outperform the market" I kept digging deeper. And the thesis only got stronger.

So I got aggressive.

I started adding heavier positions, used margin, added leveraged exposure through AMDL, and honestly went more concentrated than most people would ever be comfortable with.

People thought I was insane.

But when you spend every single day studying one industry and one company, eventually you stop listening to the noise and start trusting your own work.

That trade turned into well over six figures in gains.

And honestly? It completely changed how I look at investing forever.

I think too many people my age are taught to play defense from day one.

"Diversify everything." "Buy indexes." "Take your 8% annually." "Don't try to beat the market."

And look — I get it. For most people, that's probably the right advice.

But we're in 2026. Retail traders have access to information, tools, and data that didn't exist 10 years ago. The edge gap between institutions and individuals has never been smaller. The idea that you can't develop a real informational advantage on a single company if you put in the work? I just don't buy it anymore.

The biggest money in markets has almost always come from concentration — when someone truly understands what they own before everyone else fully sees it. The biggest winners were never built from average conviction.

My AMD thesis is still pretty simple:

• AI infrastructure spending is still in the early innings
• Compute demand is exploding globally
• AMD is becoming a real competitor in AI accelerators and data center infrastructure
• Revenue and EPS growth are accelerating faster than most mega caps
• Yet the valuation still doesn't reflect a true AI supercycle scenario

The crazy part is when you actually start modeling it out. If AMD keeps taking share in AI and data center while margins continue expanding, the long-term upside starts becoming way bigger than most people are willing to imagine right now.

People laugh at the $1,000 target.

they also laughed at NVIDIA when it was a $100B company. They laughed at Tesla. They laughed at Bitcoin. They laugh at every exponential trend while it's still early — because humans think linearly. Markets don't.

I'm not saying it happens tomorrow.

But if AI becomes the industrial revolution it's starting to look like, and AMD executes the roadmap they've been executing, multi-trillion-dollar territory stops sounding crazy pretty fast. That's why I stayed aggressive even after huge runs. Even when everyone kept saying "you missed it," "it's already too high," "just take profits."

Maybe I'm wrong. But I'd rather take a real shot on a thesis I've actually done the work on than spend my whole life playing scared and wondering what would've happened if I'd just trusted myself.

Appreciate anyone who read this far. Will drop the research and projections below for anyone who wants to dig in.

I'm just a 20 year old who refused to diversify his way into mediocrity.

I'm 20 years old. I put basically everything into AMD. Then I added margin. Then leveraged ETFs at $200. People said I was insane, but here's why I did it anyway.

Two years ago I started buying AMD around $120. Nothing crazy at first just conviction Then I kept adding. And adding. And the deeper I got into the research, the more something genuinely didn't sit right with me.

Here me out !!!

AMD's earnings growth is accelerating hard. And the forward valuation keeps collapsing. At the same time.

That doesn't make sense. So I had to figure out why. I have actually spent months tracking hyperscaler AI spending, following MI300 adoption, watching data center capex trends, and studying every major semiconductor rerating cycle I could find — particularly what happened with NVIDIA in the years before the market finally figured out what it actually had.

The Bloomberg consensus numbers that kept me up at night:

• 2026 EPS: $6.76
• 2027 EPS: $11.21

That's ~66% year-over-year EPS growth.

Meanwhile the forward P/E was doing this:

• 2025: ~85x
• 2026: ~44x
• 2027: ~27x
• 2028 (projected): ~16x

So you have a company compounding earnings at 60%+ annually... and the market is de-rating it in real time.

I went back through AMD's entire valuation history. They have never traded this compressed during a genuine acceleration cycle. Not once. Not even close.

My thesis, simplified: the market is still pricing AMD like a traditional cyclical chip company. The actual business is turning into an AI infrastructure platform. That gap is where the opportunity lives.

At $200 I decided I'd done enough research to get aggressive. Added margin. Started building AMDL exposure. My portfolio became something that would give most financial advisors an actual heart attack.

But here's the thing — I'm 20. I have no mortgage. No kids. No real financial obligations. My downside is I go back to zero and start over in my 20s. That asymmetry is real and I think people my age massively undervalue it. Sitting in index funds at 20 when you have genuine edge and high conviction is its own kind of risk.

Earlier this week when AMD crossed $420 I finally trimmed. Hard to type that sentence without feeling a little sick honestly, because my conviction hasn't changed — but the position had grown to a size where I'd be lying if I said I was sleeping fine. Even I have limits.

Locked in gains on all the margin. Pulled back some of the leveraged exposure.

What I'm still holding:

• ~$70K AMD
• ~$50K AMDL

Still by far the biggest position I've ever had. Still concentrated in a way most people would call reckless.

I built out a full model through 2028 , earnings trajectory, revenue scaling across data center and AI segments, and where the P/E historically compresses to during major rerating events in semiconductors. When I run those numbers, a realistic path to $1,000+ isn't a meme. It's not even that aggressive if the earnings growth holds.

Obviously the risks are real:

• NVIDIA isn't going to just roll over
• Custom silicon (Google TPUs, Amazon Trainium, etc.) could erode TAM
• AI demand could disappoint or get pushed out
• Macro tightening hits growth multiples first
• The market could just stay irrational longer than I stay solvent on leverage

I'm not ignoring those. I've thought about each of them in depth. But my base case still holds.

I don't post much but I've been wanting to write this out for a while. If anyone actually wants to see the full model with the projections and the math behind the $1,000 target, drop a comment and I'll put it together in a follow-up post.

There is real Math behind my conviction !!!

I'm 20 years old. I put basically everything into AMD. Then I added margin. Then leveraged ETFs at $200. People said I was insane. They weren't wrong — but here's why I did it anyway.

Two years ago I started buying AMD around $120. Nothing crazy at first just conviction Then I kept adding. And adding. And the deeper I got into the research, the more something genuinely didn't sit right with me.

AMD's earnings growth is accelerating hard. And the forward valuation keeps collapsing. At the same time.

That doesn't make sense. So I had to figure out why. I have actually spent months tracking hyperscaler AI spending, following MI300 adoption, watching data center capex trends, and studying every major semiconductor rerating cycle I could find — particularly what happened with NVIDIA in the years before the market finally figured out what it actually had.

The Bloomberg consensus numbers that kept me up at night:

• 2026 EPS: $6.76
• 2027 EPS: $11.21

That's ~66% year-over-year EPS growth.

Meanwhile the forward P/E was doing this:

• 2025: ~85x
• 2026: ~44x
• 2027: ~27x
• 2028 (projected): ~16x

So you have a company compounding earnings at 60%+ annually... and the market is de-rating it in real time.

I went back through AMD's entire valuation history. They have never traded this compressed during a genuine acceleration cycle. Not once. Not even close.

My thesis, simplified: the market is still pricing AMD like a traditional cyclical chip company. The actual business is turning into an AI infrastructure platform. That gap is where the opportunity lives.

At $200 I decided I'd done enough research to get aggressive. Added margin. Started building AMDL exposure. My portfolio became something that would give most financial advisors an actual heart attack.

But here's the thing — I'm 20. I have no mortgage. No kids. No real financial obligations. My downside is I go back to zero and start over in my 20s. That asymmetry is real and I think people my age massively undervalue it. Sitting in index funds at 20 when you have genuine edge and high conviction is its own kind of risk.

Earlier this week when AMD crossed $420 I finally trimmed. Hard to type that sentence without feeling a little sick honestly, because my conviction hasn't changed — but the position had grown to a size where I'd be lying if I said I was sleeping fine. Even I have limits.

Locked in gains on all the margin. Pulled back some of the leveraged exposure.

What I'm still holding:

• ~$70K AMD
• ~$50K AMDL

Still by far the biggest position I've ever had. Still concentrated in a way most people would call reckless.

I built out a full model through 2028 , earnings trajectory, revenue scaling across data center and AI segments, and where the P/E historically compresses to during major rerating events in semiconductors. When I run those numbers, a realistic path to $1,000+ isn't a meme. It's not even that aggressive if the earnings growth holds.

Obviously the risks are real:

• NVIDIA isn't going to just roll over
• Custom silicon (Google TPUs, Amazon Trainium, etc.) could erode TAM
• AI demand could disappoint or get pushed out
• Macro tightening hits growth multiples first
• The market could just stay irrational longer than I stay solvent on leverage

I'm not ignoring those. I've thought about each of them in depth. But my base case still holds.

I don't post much but I've been wanting to write this out for a while. If anyone actually wants to see the full model with the projections and the math behind the $1,000 target, drop a comment and I'll put it together in a follow-up post.

There is real Math behind my conviction !!!

A few days ago I made a post explaining why I went heavily into AMD around the $120 range and why I believed the market was massively underestimating the company’s long-term AI growth potential.

Since then, the position has continued to run and I’m now up over $80,000 total.

But I also decided to significantly de-risk the trade.

When AMD pushed above $420, I sold off all of the margin I was using and trimmed some of my leveraged exposure. I wanted to lock in profits while still maintaining a massive long-term position because I still believe AMD is in the early stages of a much bigger move.

Right now I’m still holding roughly:

• ~$70,000 in AMD
• ~$50,000 in AMDL

Even after taking profits, this is still by far the biggest position I’ve ever had.

For the last two years I’ve been completely obsessed with understanding this company.

I listened to earnings calls, tracked AI infrastructure spending, watched hyperscaler capex trends, studied MI300 adoption, looked at data center growth, profit margins, valuation history, and how companies like NVIDIA repriced once earnings started exploding.

The more I researched, the more I started noticing a massive disconnect between AMD’s growth and the way the market is valuing it.

According to Bloomberg consensus estimates:

• 2026 EPS: $6.76
• 2027 EPS: $11.21

That’s around 66% year-over-year earnings growth.

At the same time, forward valuation multiples continue collapsing:

• 2025 forward P/E: ~85x
• 2026: ~44x
• 2027: ~27x
• projected 2028: ~16x

That’s the part almost nobody is talking about.

Historically, AMD has NEVER traded at these kinds of compressed valuations during periods of accelerating growth.

Not once.

In my opinion, the market is still pricing AMD like a maturing semiconductor company, while the earnings trajectory increasingly looks like a high-growth AI platform.

To me, this looks very similar to what happened with NVIDIA before the market fully repriced the earnings expansion.

And before people say I’m blindly hyping the stock there are obviously real risks:

• competition from NVIDIA/custom silicon
• AI demand slowing
• macro conditions
• valuation compression continuing

But I genuinely believe AMD is one of the most misunderstood large-cap stocks in the market right now.

A lot of people thought I was insane for using margin and leverage as a college student.

Honestly… maybe they were right.

That’s why I sold the margin and de-risked.

But I still have extremely high conviction long term.

And yes, there is actual math behind my projections, not just hype.

I built out a full multi-year earnings and valuation model for AMD through 2028 based on revenue growth, EPS expansion, and historical valuation ranges.

I still believe this stock has a path toward $1,000+ over the long term if earnings continue compounding at this pace and the market eventually rerates the valuation.

Curious if anyone would actually want to see the full projection/model breakdown because there’s a lot more behind this thesis than I can fit into one Reddit post. If anyone actually wants to see the math behind why I’m still all-in on AMD, I can post the full projections and valuation model. There’s a lot more behind this thesis than just hype.

I know this will sound crazy to a lot of people. I really believe that AMD is one of the most undervalued big stocks in the market right now.

I am a college student. I have been buying more and more of AMD since the price was around $120. For the two years I have been totally focused on learning everything about the company. I listened to their earnings calls I looked at how much big companies are spending on them I checked out their new products like MI300. I tried to understand how much people want to use AI and how that will affect AMD.

The more I learned the more I thought that the market was not giving AMD credit for how well they will do in the future.

Instead of just owning some shares of AMD I decided to go all out.

I used borrowed money to buy more AMD and I also bought some special shares called AMDL that are connected to AMD.

Here is what I have now:

* 2,400 shares of AMDL

* My investment is worth around $114,000

* I have already made a profit of $64,000

* That is a return of 128%

This is really changing my life.

And the crazy thing is, I still think AMD is just getting started.

Everyone is talking about NVIDIA all the time. Hardly anyone is paying attention to how good AMDs situation is looking for the next few years:

* More and more people want to use AI, which's good for AMD

* AMD is making a lot of money from data centers. That is growing fast

* People think AMD will make more money every quarter

* The company is finally making money from each product they sell

* AMDs profit margins are getting better

* AMD is taking market share away from Intel

* The market for AI is growing faster than people thought it would

What really made me believe in AMD was that the price of the stock does not match how well the company is doing.

AMDs business is getting much better. The stock price is still low like people do not really think the company can keep growing.

That is where I think I can make some money.

If AMD does what I think they will do in the 3-5 years then the price of the stock today will look very cheap.

People used to laugh at me when I said that AMD could one day be a trillion-dollar company.

Now I am even more sure that it can happen.

I think people are still thinking about the AMD, not the new company that is becoming one of the most important companies for AI infrastructure in the world.

Yes I know that using borrowed money can be very dangerous and that special shares like AMDL can lose value over time.

If you really believe in something then it is okay to take some risks.

This was not some crazy idea I had. I spent thousands of hours researching AMD before I invested so much money.

Now I really think that AMD can do things that most people think are impossible.

I am curious to know if anyone else is as excited, about AMD as I am or if you think I am totally crazy. THERE IS REAL MATH BEHIND THIS - If anyone is interested, I can show you the analysis and projections.