r/smallstreetbets

NBIS printing
▲ 55 r/smallstreetbets+1 crossposts

NBIS printing

Been watching for days. Finally got in today. See you at the $200 price.

u/aconac — 5 hours ago

I think QQQ goes higher. Do I sell or keep this because theta?

QQQ has been down end of week and up at the beginning for a month. If I think it’s still going higher do I keep these or sell? How bad will theta spank me if I don’t sell and price stays the same or similar? I got the $740 calls for $0.23 each. The others were also really cheap. What’s the best day to sell or should I do it now?

u/Forward-Surprise1192 — 4 hours ago

$DELL stock is now up by almost 5% so far today

President Trump just said to “go out and buy a Dell computer

$DELL stock is now up by almost 5% so far today

u/FeatureAggravating75 — 6 hours ago
▲ 12 r/smallstreetbets+1 crossposts

the most interesting part of some mining stories isn't the geology anymore

This might be an unpopular opinion, but I think exploration is becoming more of a data business.

Geology will always matter.

Drilling will always matter.

But before either of those happen, companies are making decisions based on enormous amounts of information.

Historical reports.

Geochemistry.

Geophysics.

Regional mapping.

Past production records.

Claim data.

That's why I find the use of AI in exploration increasingly interesting.

NovaRed recently reported that its MetalCore platform has expanded to more than 2.7 million records, including mineral occurrences, geochemical samples, mining claims, and property datasets.

Will AI discover deposits on its own?

Probably not.

But if it can help companies prioritize targets and avoid wasting exploration dollars, that could become a significant advantage.

I'm curious how investors view this.

Do you think AI becomes standard practice in mineral exploration over the next decade, or is the market getting ahead of itself?

reddit.com
u/JamesBakerNight5720 — 7 hours ago
▲ 7 r/smallstreetbets+1 crossposts

⚡MORNING WATCHLIST⚡

$SPHL
Entry above: $3.55 🎯 $4.00/$4.50 🛑 $3.30
$KIDZ
Entry above: $1.16 🎯 $1.30/$1.45 🛑 $1.06
$ELAB
Entry above: $1.35 🎯 $1.50/$1.65 🛑 $1.25
$LUCY
Entry above: $1.11 🎯 $1.30/$1.50 🛑 $1.01

Note: These are trade ideas based on break-out levels, once they hit entry & start moving up, consider raising your stops to protect your profits and protect your downside according to your own trading plan :). MadMaverick personally trades these on either the 2 or 3 minute timeframes, waiting for a candle to close over the entry level.

Although we do extensive research for our watchlist, day trading, especially with low-float stocks, can be risky.

reddit.com
u/optimusprime006 — 7 hours ago

$WEN DD - Not a Retail Momentum Spike: How Institutional Buying and Options Hedging Might Trigger a Dealer Delta-Hedging Trap

TL;DR: Contrary to the popular narrative, I believe the recent price spike in $WEN was most likely not driven by retail traders but fueled by value investors and forced institutional index buying.

This has created a massive bear trap engineered by options market hedging and an upcoming clearinghouse deadline. Because Wendy's is a profitable, dividend-paying company, it was never a bankruptcy play to zero. The lower the price goes, the more attractive it becomes to institutions due to the skyrocketing dividend yield. Shorts are playing a dangerous long game, banking on the turnaround failing in the far future so they can force a dividend cut before a potential buyout occurs.

Position: symbolic 200 shares + 19x 8/21 Calls at the $7, $8, $9 and $10 strikes.

Current positiona

My suspicions were officially validated as, according to a news report by Reuters [1]

>In the first half-hour of trading on Wednesday, retail investors bought a net 2.2 million worth of shares earlier this week, according to Vanda Research data."

While a few million dollars was unusual, the trading volume for $WEN exploded to 200+ million shares in a single session. Since there are only about 190 million total outstanding shares, the equivalent of the entire company changed hands in a single day. Retail's contribution was a drop in the ocean.

This is because despite its highly "memeable" brand name, the truth is Wendy's is a mature, boring company and its core target audience is simply not the average retail trader.

🏛️ If It Wasn't Retail, Who Was Buying?

  1. Long-Term Institutional Value Investors

Roughly 85% of Wendy's stock is held long-term by institutions like corporate pension funds and insurance companies. They buy the stock, lock it away, and collect the dividend yield as a reliable hedge against inflation

Shares held by institutions

  1. Forced Index Fund Buying

At the end of June 2026, Wendy's officially migrated to the small-cap Russell 2000 index. As a direct result, passive index funds like Vanguard and BlackRock were legally mandated by their own fund rules to buy the stock. An index fund does not care about online sentiment, and they do not look at technical chart patterns. They were forced to buy millions of shares to rebalance their portfolios, permanently absorbing the liquid float from the marketplace and locking it away.

As reported by Gate [2]:

>Wendy's (WEN) stock extended gains overnight and was added to the Russell 2000 Value-Defensive Index effective June 29, following its best week in six years.

───

🧠 The Failed "Front-Running" Arbitrage

Did the shorts just forget the Russell rebalancing day was coming? Obviously not. They were likely banking on an Index Front-Running Arbitrage play, where the price is artificially inflated ahead of guaranteed index buying, and then aggressively dumped post-inclusion. However, something happened:

On June 23, 2026: Wendy's announced the appointment of Steve Cirulis as the new CFO. The corporate turnaround architect that previously engineered a massive 500% run at Potbelly [3] When the news initially dropped, it was buried under a massive, sector-wide sell-off fueled by fears of rising food commodity costs, pushing Wendy's to a 52-week low of around $6.00.

The infamous WSB post appears, and the very next day, a delayed ignition occurred due to institutional "risk-off" limits and manual planning & approval times. Massive institutional buy orders hit the tape exploding the volume into the hundreds of millions of shares.

Unless any data comes out to prove this otherwise, Retail most likely followed the momentum, not generated it. And because of this fundamental upgrade to the company, the floor price was raised days before the index inclusion and has not dropped back down since.

Market makers write these puts, and to hedge their own risk, they are forced to short-sell an equal amount of shares directly into the market. This process creates millions of Failures to Deliver (FTDs). To be absolutely transparent: We won't know the exact extent of this artificial selling pressure until July 15, when the SEC releases the official FTD report for the second half of June but we can safely assume it's extremely high based on the historic volume.

The volume ovee the past few days

It was this exact automated market-maker hedging that artificially dragged the stock down from its high of $9.45 to $8.33 during the July 2nd trading session. Despite bleeding and facing and facing intense downward pressure all day, buyers completely absorbed the wall. The stock bounced back right before the closing bell to finish at $8.59.

This leaves a massive wall of puts for the upcoming July 10th expiration at the $7, $8 and $8.5 strikes strikes completely out-of-the-money. Going into the trading week, time decay is actively melting the cash value of those short contracts.

Calls VS Puts

🚀 This Week's Catalyst: The Options Bear Trap

At the moment of writing, Other than the bullish comments made by S3 Panthers' Bob Sloan there is no big news to push the price one way or the other over the weekend. This means the main price action will be driven entirely by the option chain.

The massive wall of puts has created a coiled spring. If the stock holds above $8.50, these puts will either get closed or expire worthless. This will force market makers to buy back shares to close out their short hedges, creating massive upward momentum.

Options OI increasing

🐻 The Bear Case & Risks

Market De-risking: A broader market sell-off could drag the stock down regardless of the setup.

Can-Kicking: If buying pressure lightens, short sellers can control the narrative and drag this out much longer than expected.

The Dividend Burden: While the dividend yield attracts value buying, it eats away at most of the company's profits. If it is cut in the future, institutions have no reason to holding and the stock crashes to a completely unknown and speculative level.

🛡️ The $6 price floor

The 0.56 annual dividend by a $6.00 stock price equals a staggering 9.33% annual dividend yield.

A yield this high for an established brand is almost unheard of. Funds can simply park money in $WEN and collect cash returns independent of what the chart looks like

Furthermore, with roughly 50 million shares currently shorted, short sellers are forced to pay a staggering $28 million every single year directly out of their own pockets to institutional lenders. Combined with skyrocketing borrow fees on an empty lending pool, holding a short position here is insane.
According to S3 Partners, the stock has been ranked at a 100/100 risk for shorts due to overcrowding[4]. On July 2nd, 2026, its founder, Bob Sloan reiterated this [5] stating:

>"Keep your eyes on it because this thing could fly."

S3 Data showing an overcrowding of shorts

📉 Why the Short Thesis is Dead

Shorts have been riding Wendy's downward momentum for years, slowly draining it with predictable algorithms. Shorting a stock makes total sense when a company is bleeding cash and facing bankruptcy - your goal is to hold until it hits zero so you never have to buy back the shares.

But that thesis does not apply to $WEN:

• Still Profitable: Despite financial hurdles, the company remains profitable.

• No Capital Destruction: There is no share dilution and no reverse splits.

• New CFO and corporate restructuring under "Project Fresh"

Because bankruptcy is out of the picture, shorts cannot play the classic "never-cover" game. They are holding positions they must close at some point.

🃏 The Buyout Wildcard

Based on SEC filings [6], Trian Fund Management (Wendy's largest shareholder) filed a Schedule 13D/A indicating they are exploring strategic alternatives, including a potential buyout to take the company private, stating that:

>Investors believe Wendy’s stock is undervalued and that they are actively reviewing alternatives for their sizable stake

Usually, a buyout announcement is a short seller's worst nightmare. It triggers a mandatory share recall by institutional lenders who want to reclaim their borrowed stock, creating a massive rise in price. Shorts likely believe this buyout threat is a bluff to bully the board into making operational changes. And they are probably right, but the structural threat of a recall remains a massive liability for them.

🛑 Play Invalidation Point

The entire play rests on the dividend. Shorts are betting that the turnaround will fail and management will cut the payout. If the dividend is eliminated, the $6 floor breaks.

This is highly unlikely to happen anytime soon. During the Q4 2025 earnings call [7] management reassured investors that the $0.14 per share quarterly payment remains a priority. Despite lower cash flows, they explicitly stated there is a comfortable buffer to sustain the dividend obligation throughout 2026. But in the distant future, if the turnaround fails they will prioritize survivability over share price.

At the moment, because these dividend risks are pushed far into the future, a floor price of $6.00 against an unlimited ceiling makes this, in my humble opinion, a rare, asymmetric, risk-to-reward setup.

Wendy's is expected to report its Q2 earnings on August 12, 2026. Wall Street analysts project an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.17.

[1] Reuters: Reuters Capital Flow Report via Vanda Research

[2] Gate: Russell 2000 Value-Defensive Index Realignment

[3] yahoo Finance: Announcement of new CFO [4] s3 Parthners data on shorts vs longs imbalance

[4] s3 Parthners data on shorts vs longs imbalance

[5] Bon Sloan on the Risk and Return financial podcast (43:20)

[6] Sec filing by Trian. exploring the possibly of a buyout

[7] 2025 Q4 earnings call where the board stated the dividend remains a priority

u/SoulForTrade — 18 hours ago
▲ 62 r/smallstreetbets+1 crossposts

The Chip Dip and How to Profit from it

So midweek Meta announced they're going to start selling their "excess" AI compute to outside customers. Meta jumped 10% on the news.

https://preview.redd.it/ad1jc29aohbh1.png?width=1000&format=png&auto=webp&s=f904b16f5a5b9d3f9230289634a0bea3a4e3f050

Everything downstream of it though got cooked. The news did not sit well with a lot of people holding the semiconductor supply chain trades. The entire AI supply chain trade right now is underwritten by scarcity, and one of the biggest capex spender in the market just said it has spare capacity.

Six months ago the hyperscalers were telling us there wasn't enough compute in the world for the next 20 years; now META says it has extra? You don't sell surplus of something that's scarce.

The selloff started in the neocloud compute providers and spread down the stack, feeding what feels like a rising "bottleneck fatigue" across the whole space.

The bears got loud: the trade is overcrowded, semis are pushing 20% of the S&P 500, the dot-com comparisons are back, and capital looks like it's flowing out of the sector as a whole, the great rotation.

https://preview.redd.it/884oepeyohbh1.png?width=1108&format=png&auto=webp&s=3c7c0d44a401cd6c67613787253a22c56bf3a285

But in my opinion, the doom and gloom is overblown.

After all how does the stock of the company selling AI compute jump 10% while the industry supplying it collapses?

IMO, META's move is not an admission of a glut. Instead, it proves compute is monetizable, and Meta's $27B commitment to Nebius still stands. The selloff is a misunderstanding of the news by a segment of market that doesn't have the slightest clue where AI is going, and is just responding to any daily stimulus.

And the fundamentals did not change overnight. Semi supply is still constrained: Micron's CEO says memory is in the tightest supply the industry has seen in years, with the shortage expected to run into 2028. Demand is not slowing either: $MU just blew out earnings, carries $2,000+ analyst price targets, and even has Trump publicly pumping the stock.

If anyone recalls November selloff, then historic rally , this feels eerily the same.

https://preview.redd.it/wpyhnmsophbh1.png?width=1502&format=png&auto=webp&s=465db6b97d6b1caf54260f843eadba871af4480e

So what can we expect over the next coming weeks? Months? And how can we position ourselves intelligently.

Of course nobody really knows but we can look at how the biggest players are positioning themselves and what the markets are reflecting overall to get a good gauge.

The short term

Let's look at where the most short dated, out the money, high-conviction option premiums this week went. These represent big directional big bets by high level institutional investors. Depending on the skew we can get a good a sense of which direction they are betting betting on.

We can also flag any extra large single contract premiums for further conviction.

Secondly we can take a look a the gamma levels to gauge what the key levels that we can expect to hold and bounce off of.

https://preview.redd.it/8g2gu8zrphbh1.png?width=1500&format=png&auto=webp&s=4b1c209273e353549e3ceb506849042f97430070

Based on the stats here we have a couple of setups that seem interesting short term. Ranked by confidence:

- $LITE : 86% Bullish whale premium. Price currently nearing the $700 wall. Long 720-750 | Target of $820 | Caution below $690.

- $BE: 90% bullish premium, lots of volume $160 million worth . Strong Gamma wall at $240, look for bounces of that wall. LONG $240-$250 | Target : $300 and up | Caution below: $230

- $AMAT: 82% Bullish whale premium. More upside gamma pull then downside, this one is a little longer play but overall still definitely bullish outlook. LONG: $590 and up | Target : $800 | Caution below: $550

- $AMD : 71% Shorterm Bullish premium. A staple in semi trade. Long the lower half of $450–520 only, target $600, out below $400. The zone is too wide to chase.

https://preview.redd.it/1sq34s8vphbh1.png?width=1530&format=png&auto=webp&s=f51434e1cba7e9c37652e805687e28768e1f803b

The long term

If your horizon is years and you believe overall in the AI boom, then this week's drop is a discount across the board.

Nonetheless we can still do some very basic analysis to see which ones are the most "on sale" at the moment.

To asses long term outlook, we can see we can where institutions are placing there longer horizon LEAPS bets, and then do some fundamentals analysis to see which ones still give us the best deals.

https://preview.redd.it/5jltmtgxphbh1.png?width=1470&format=png&auto=webp&s=1287fec7f558e188ebdccf29de35dae76b9d0287

Reading the tape and fundamental comparisons, here are the winners ranked by confidence:

- $MU: The golden child of the memory stack. Took in$892M of LEAPS calls against $243M of puts, at 13x forward earnings with 91% revenue growth expected. Add in thirds: some in $900–975, more at $900, the rest only after a test of the wall holds

- $AMAT: the cleanest chart in the group, above every line that matters. Add in $500–610, stop adding below $450.

- $SNDK: Another staple of the semi trade. Strong business, strong margins and right now the biggest winner, so let it come to you. Accumulate at $1,500, stop adding below $1,300.

https://preview.redd.it/etgwysc8qhbh1.png?width=1684&format=png&auto=webp&s=a8e58d13d8ab919ef5c59599d995e077223f588b

Of course this is not financial advice by any means. This is just my read on the market. There's like an infinite way to look at the same data and of course, I have my bias.

Please lmk what y'all think !

reddit.com
u/PandaMcGee3 — 21 hours ago

Mods of WallStreetBets

WallStreetBets? HA more like your my WallStreetPETS silly mods banned me over on that forum, but let's see them try to touch me over here😐😐. Here's a meme for their troubles!😐

u/DominiqueM457 — 1 day ago

Social Paper Trading game?

Long weekend with the market closed had me fiending for a candle to stare at, so I built something dumb.

I got tired of people posting one green trade, a cropped P&L screenshot, or some “trust me bro I’m up all time” nonsense while never showing the full chart.

So I made a paper trading game where everyone gets the true American equalizer:

**a small loan of $1,000,000.**

No real money involved. Just fake money, real tickers, and a permanent record of your bad decisions.

Basic idea:

- Everyone starts with the same fake $1M balance
- You make paper trades
- Your profile shows actual history instead of one cherry-picked screenshot
- There are daily, weekly, and all-time scoreboards
- There is also a board for the biggest losses, because that is where the real art happens
- If you nuke the account, you can reset and get a new small loan
- Your old disasters stay on your profile forever because history matters

The whole point is receipts.

No more shitty cropped green screenshots. No more “I’m actually up all time bro.” No more posting one lucky trade and disappearing when the account gets turned into dust.

If you talk like you can beat the market, cool. Here is a fake million dollars. Go do it in public.

If you blow it up in 36 hours, also cool. Now we have content.

The vibe I’m going for is basically:

**Reddit dark mode + terminal charts + public humiliation + a scoreboard for people who think risk management is optional.**

If you have feedback, idgaf.

Ok fine, I do gaf.

If you have ideas, find bugs, or see an obvious way people are going to cheese this, comment or DM me. I want it to be funny and brutal without turning into some bloated fintech dashboard with memes taped to it.

TLDR: bored degen made a game where Reddit liars get exposed or prove they’re worth a damn.

If links are allowed, I can drop it in the commentshttps://wsbanbet.org/

reddit.com
u/Ceremyjabbacang — 18 hours ago

TXTM - Due diligence microcap / Information - Asymmetrical risk/reward

Due diligence not a pump... Got my money full ported (Blossom) so you can see I am not selling.

Its a biotech/Tokenization company - Proprietary seed genetics + bioavailability machine. Essentially they will bridge the illiquid biotech/farm world with the new financial world via tokenization of RWA. (Look at image 3 pulled from filings, this is not hype but real value as the chairmen got a pilot with absa bank. Although that pilot is specifically with the chairmen its still in our filings, which means there will be economical value somewhere as stated in the text. The fact Absa bank already extends a liquidity line to txtm showcases the connection by the chairmen is already benefitting the company. Standard bank another big institution/bank did not show up in the companies filings for nothing, There is institutional collaboration already. - Considering proprietary seed genetics etc - your closest comparison to another company is probably Mosanto who sold a few years back for $60 billion dollars - Compare to their own seed genetics / royalty systems - being ways to make money so its been proven already - the tokenization adds a layer ontop of that - likely for institutions only.

To the riskier microcap guys, imo this is asymmetrical risk to reward play. Most penny stocks fail/scam within the first year.

TXTM has a 4 year track record. (Owners acquired in 2022) As shown above. No salaries. Management cleared the previous managements debts (As company is pretty much debt free)

Company was acquired with $0 in assets now it sits at $600 million in assets.
Critical: With due diligence under IFRS ias 41 those $600m in assets may convert up to $20 billion

Biological assets under GAAP are not fairly valuated thats why its $600m > That is why under IFRS it may convert way higher (Some will say its balance sheet magic) but the reality is its biological commodity (If banks check off and allows it to be collateral) then it becomes lendable then it ends up having ECONOMICAL VALUE (Like corn in america or soybeans can be used at a bank to get loans (Farmer loans) > Economic value , IF it gets to $20b then that's a huge credit line for instance.

(Company hired valuators AND deloitte (Top 4 accounting firm in the world) - So they reach the $20 billion? Find out soon.

Chairmen (The backbone backer of the company) - Has bought shares with his $1 since 2024 (As of last quarter he added 520 milliion shares) up to (775 million shares) - He also paid out of pocket to Broadridge financial to get them SEC/Edgar compliant (Cause they ended up posting form 8k's and form 4's showing his share count with the SEC

> NEVER DILUTED. Normal companies would have diluted years ago, these guys have not, Literally buying shares and funding everything out of pocket. Engaging with Edgar/Sec + broadridge is bringing scrutiny onto the company, a P&D/Scam would not have made these moves.

Im drilling the fact with deloitte / edgar / asset injection / no dilution these are all traits that normal P&D / scams do not do.

Deloitte + IFRS audits are being used to prove asset value and uplist to a foreign stock exchange (The uplist will be the mega catalyst) - since at that point institutions can actually get in finally.

(Some people may go to the website and say its Ai) - and yes its true and unappealing probably but ignore exterior, dig into the information i laid out, the potential and the filings/press releases, NOT a website (Birkshire almost 1 trillion company yet has a website made in the stone ages) - Website does not = good or bad oppertunity.

(I am not saying too buy) I am saying people like me who bought now. Got enough of the puzzle pieces (NOT ALL), but we see the share holder alignment, we see the potential ifrs valuation (of $20 billion that puts a implied asset to share price value of $2+ a share). based on previous filings we see they are gearing up and structuring the company to uplist. **Buying now is buying pre uplist / pre valuation / pre audit / pre revenues** - But how I see it is I got enough of the puzzle, my cost basis will be significantly lower than someone who waits for after those items drop. I am willing to take the risk now for the higher roi.

https://preview.redd.it/xdjnzjnu7fbh1.png?width=1495&format=png&auto=webp&s=2ef5950f645d6a5ec0c04bc196968b1bf7e1ce65

You may ask why I believe revenues will come soon? Why buy pre revenue? You would need to research our chairmen Dr J (The guy who bought 775 million shares). - You can see from google he is a big shot in the forerign world, Buisness internationally etc via private farm/entity. So at any point he can sign a paper and assets like the seeds or cannabinoids or even revenues can end up on the balance sheet. Its not a idea or a start up its backed by a guy who has done this for decades successfully. Question is when he drops that hammer? I think soon cause why else did they never dilute the company but also buy almost 1 billion shares ? FOLLOW THE MONEY.

The guy literally signed a letter of intent with a government, thats the scale he does things. Depending on how he structure things we benefit...

Look back a couple press releases and you would see txtm added a ambassador (political figure) to the advisory team. Why would a politician join a non revenue otc company? The answer is Dr.J and the point is they are gonna do something on the international scale when he is ready.

https://preview.redd.it/uwwnb4or8fbh1.png?width=1430&format=png&auto=webp&s=92e2a68a73cd9245628b9fe46f2645de4ba7fda8

Look you can see right here when he was at the meeting in veluzuela one of the politicians who signed the letter of intent IS GOING TO JOIN TXTM's advisor team (ANOTHER POLITICIAN) - I just hope people can look passed the "Oh no revenues bad" stigma, and see the bigger picture. See that something big is getting set up quietly, and its a matter of patience right now.

In the event anyone does get in I do wanna say there are no in-betweens its either all real or its not in my opinion. If real I personally retire with my share count be low by 24-25 years old (6 months - 2 years) imo (Long term holds) if not real, then this is the most extravagant joke iv seen.

Disclaimer: No I am not apart of the company I am just a big share holder who has held for over a year - My portfolio is shown here - if you have blossom you can confirm.

Ontop of that I just wanna be a first mover of the stock - I put myself out there as one of the first share holders speaking of it on forums before the confirmation (Audits/valuations/uplist) - So if this does work out people cannot look back and say I got lucky. Cause the clues and allignment has all been set up in filings, in press releases, even stated by the chairmen or company. So it was not luck if it pans out but built on due diligence and patience. (Literally feels like a ipo even though its already public) - its just a matter of dropping the hammer.

https://preview.redd.it/y8n54fo39fbh1.png?width=568&format=png&auto=webp&s=2565c2da3e34872fcca1f54094bb2915cdd5e3ff

u/AzureLainCapital — 1 day ago