The Josh Green Fit
I think Josh Green is being underrated in what he brings to the table, especially as much needed wing depth on the roster.
Let's start with some obvious things, Green is not worth the 14.7m he's owed this season, in the open market he would probably be a TPMLE player, but he's still a solid player. Having him expire on our books and then re-signed at a lower AAV would actually be a really good move.
This is all assuming we don't get LeBron of course.
Profile
Green is a wing. He plays the 2 or the 3, he's decently sized for both positions at 6'6 with a 6'10 wing span. His main value is his high level defense coupled with good corner 3pt shooting and not requiring the ball at all to be effective.
He held PnR ballhandlers to 0.81 ppp on 2.5 possessions a game, the best mark on the Charlotte Hornets and held spot up shooters to just 0.89 ppp on 2 possessions a game, the 2nd best mark on the Hornets team, he also held isolation scorers to just 0.43 ppp a game on a small sample though. These marks are all below league average, meaning that Josh Green is making life quite difficult for whoever he guards.
He had a DFG% of 39.3%, forcing players to shoot 6% worse than their season averages. Players he defende shot 13% worse from 3 than their average.
Green has had good results against a variety of star players he's guarded in the past 2 seasons, of the players he's guarded with more than 80 possessions, he's had great success against Shai, Haliburton, Cade, Brunson, Wagner, Mitchell and Maxey. He's been terrible against Trae Young, Tyler Herro and Darius Garland. (https://databallr.com/matchups/1630182/josh-green/1630245/ayo-dosunmu/2024/2026) if you want to play around with it.
Advanced Metrics
Josh Green has basically non-existent box-score metrics, he's like a super low usage wing player that's on the court mostly for defense. The majority of his shots are 3 pointers off the catch. Playing with LaMelo (one season starting the other off the bench), Green is shooting 40% from 3 on 3 attempts per game, which is pretty solid.
Now, his advanced metrics are actually quite good:
DARKO -> +0.4 overall, +1 on defense. Would rank 6th on the Wolves for the 25-26 season above Beringer, Randle and Ayo. Ranks 149th in the NBA overall and 97th in defense. Very good rotation player numbers.
RAPM -> +3.2, ranking 29th in the NBA overall, -0.5, 150th overall if using the last 2 seasons
On/off -> +10.7 this season, highest on the Hornets and +1.5 last season, both years making big contributions defensively averaging a -3.8 defensive on/off.
Basically while he doesn't have good PRA at all, he's consistently made his team better and ranked pretty well using advanced metrics. His advanced numbers have improved while moving to Charlotte and playing with LaMelo
Fit
Green is a good 3 for us. He would make alot of sense as a starter as a super low usage 3&D player next to LaMelo/Ant/Jaden/Rudy. He can guard some matchups that McDaniels struggles against and keep him as a roamer at the 4 spot for alot of his minutes.
He has weaknesses as a rebounder, but hopefully with LaMelo and McDaniels away from the POA it allows us to maintain our rebounding level.
Having Green gives us a good defender to allow Jaden to play away from the ball on defense and allows Ant to guard the 2nd best handler instead, which would really help out. McDaniel's rim defense numbers are comparable to Evan Mobley, so just having him help Gobert and Joan is a big deal and reducing the amount of time he spends on the perimeter would be helpful.
Green is a worse player than Ayo, but requires the ball far less and is imo a better defender while hitting 3s at a good clip. I think he would be the better fit with the starting lineup and allow Ayo to have the ball more when he comes off the bench as the primary weapon there.
Conclusion
I actually think starting Green isn't a bad idea, he fits well with the other guys on the court and has a nice skillset in that role, on top of that you can easily just replace him with Ayo in matchups you think is best to have Ayo in the starting lineup instead
Re-signing Green to a lower value deal for him to come off the bench once we secure our PF would also be great and would open up alot of flexibility with the roster. Even if we get someone like Rui, I think Green still fits better in the starting 5 due to his defense and usage.