
Two-time OH-7 Democratic candidate Matt Diemer on why Brian Poindexter has a real shot at Max Miller
I'm Radell Lewis, host of Purple Political Breakdown Ohio Edition. This week I sat down with Matt Diemer, who ran for Congress in OH-7 in 2022 and again in 2024. He's also the writer of The Angry Democrat and The Angry Ohioan newsletters.
A few things from the conversation worth flagging here:
The OH-7 map changed again. The version Brian Poindexter just won the Democratic primary in is about 75 percent the same as the one Matt ran in, but it now includes all of Ashland County. The district is rated R+11 on paper. Matt's argument is that the "plus eleven" part is real but the "R" part is softer than people think. He calls it "purple plus eleven."
Max Miller is genuinely vulnerable, and not because of a polling shift. He's in the middle of a very public custody and divorce fight with the daughter of fellow Ohio Republican Sen. Bernie Moreno, with court filings alleging physical abuse and a current Bay Village police investigation. His own attorneys have admitted in filings that he fabricated testimony to support a protection order against his ex-wife. That is the kind of story that does not stay inside the political news cycle.
Brian Poindexter is the Democratic nominee. Union ironworker. Brook Park city councilman. Working Families Party endorsed. Won an eight-candidate primary with about 37 percent of the vote. The case Matt makes for him is what he and his old campaign manager (now Poindexter's campaign manager) call the "union method." Stop sorting voters into identity categories first and asking what they want second. Ask what working people across the district need (gas, healthcare, schools, property tax relief, jobs that don't get shipped overseas), then let the coalition build itself.
We also went through the rest of the Ohio primary night. Allison Russo over Bryan Hambley about 68-32 for the Secretary of State Democratic nomination, despite Hambley running a strong, well-funded outsider campaign on gerrymandering reform. John Kulewicz over Elliot Forhan about 64-36 for the Attorney General Democratic nomination. Sherrod Brown over Ron Kincaid for the Senate Democratic nomination, setting up a Brown vs. Husted race that is going to be tangled in FirstEnergy bribery trial testimony from now until November. Vivek Ramaswamy and Dr. Amy Acton both winning their gubernatorial primaries.
The most useful part of the conversation, in my opinion, was Matt's argument that healthy contested primaries are good for voters and good for candidates. Voters get used to disagreement. Candidates get sharper. Ohio is a state that has not had many real Democratic primaries in years, and that lack of practice shows up in November.
Full episode here: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/can-democrats-flip-ohios-7th-district-in-2026-ft-the/id1626987640?i=1000767752764
Including the parts about Andor, Dune, The Boys, and why the Democratic Party keeps losing in places it forgot to compete in.
Curious what people here think, especially folks who live in OH-7. Does Poindexter have a real shot, or is R+11 still R+11 no matter what's happening to Max Miller personally?
Sources:
- AP via WTOP News, Poindexter Democratic nomination call: https://wtop.com/news/2026/05/brian-poindexter-wins-democratic-nomination-for-u-s-house-in-ohios-7th-congressional-district/
- Ashland Source, OH-7 primary results breakdown: https://www.ashlandsource.com/2026/05/06/poindexter-wins-democratic-primary-for-ohios-7th-congressional-district/
- Wikipedia, 2026 U.S. House elections in Ohio: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio
- Signal Ohio, live 2026 Ohio primary results: https://signalohio.org/live-updates-ohio-2026-primary-election-results/
- WKYC, Ohio primary Secretary of State results, Russo over Hambley: https://www.wkyc.com/article/news/politics/elections/ohio-primary-election-2026-democrat-allison-russo-republican-robert-sprague-win-nominations-secretary-of-state/95-5af22fe2-d004-4c39-b7be-0a4fddc45cc1
- WKYC, Husted vs. Brown Senate matchup and FirstEnergy testimony context: https://www.wkyc.com/article/news/politics/elections/ohio-us-senate-may-5-primary-election-results-incumbent-jon-husted-sherrod-brown-november-showdown-general/95-1001b48c-c17a-4ef9-9c70-3c4dd3bd885b
- NBC News, Sherrod Brown wins Senate Democratic primary: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/sherrod-brown-wins-ohio-senate-democratic-primary-jon-husted-rcna343049
- TMZ DC, Max Miller and Emily Moreno custody battle filings: https://www.tmz.com/2026/04/22/max-miller-wife-accuses-him-of-abuse-neglect-in-custody-battle/
- Daily Caller, Miller attorneys admit fabricated witness claim: https://dailycaller.com/2026/05/01/max-miller-attorneys-emily-moreno-bernie-moreno-domestic-violence-ohio/
- TiffinOhio.net, Bay Village police child abuse investigation report: https://tiffinohio.net/posts/ohio-republican-congressman-named-in-active-child-abuse-investigation-amid-custody-dispute/