Predicting what the Sabato's Crystal Ball Senate map will look like on Election Day
▲ 21 r/YAPms

Predicting what the Sabato's Crystal Ball Senate map will look like on Election Day

u/dak676141 — 8 days ago

YouGov/Univision poll | 8/27-9/4 RV Texas statewide races 2026 US Senate 🟦James Talarico 48% 🟥Ken Paxton 43% —— Texas Governor 🟥Greg Abbott 47% (incumbent) 🟦Gina Hinojosa 47% —— Generic congressional ballot 2026 (TX) 🟦Democratic 48% 🟥Republican 46%

univision.com
u/dak676141 — 1 month ago

Final 2026 Senate primary composites!

(Yeah I know RI and DE technically haven't held their primaries yet but they're obviously going to be Safe D)

This is basically which party had the turnout advantage in each Senate primary, in terms of margins (1/5/15)

This does not predict who's going to win, but it can definitely be a sign of which party has a turnout and enthusiasm advantage

Should note that LA and WV are a result of ancestral Dems who haven't switched their registration. They are going to be Safe R in the general.

u/dak676141 — 1 month ago
▲ 105 r/YAPms

Brand new Michigan Senate poll released this morning has El-Sayed up by 5.

u/dak676141 — 1 month ago
▲ 98 r/YAPms

The first general election votes of the 2026 midterms will be cast in 5 days, in the state of North Carolina

u/dak676141 — 2 months ago
▲ 57 r/YAPms

EPIC-MRA Michigan Senate poll, El-Sayed +4.

Previous poll from the start of Åugust (pre-primary) was Rogers +3

u/dak676141 — 2 months ago
▲ 36 r/YAPms

DFP poll of Alaska Senate: Peltola +6. Weighted to Trump +13 and Nick Begich +2 recall

u/dak676141 — 2 months ago
▲ 70 r/YAPms

Fox News Maine Senate poll: Jackson +2, was Collins +3 back in July when Platner was still in the race

u/dak676141 — 2 months ago
▲ 219 r/YAPms

Conservatives on r/YAPms when 95% of Democratic voters in Michigan fill in the "VOTE FOR ALL DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES" bubble and don't read the rest of the ballot

u/dak676141 — 2 months ago
▲ 64 r/thespinroom+1 crossposts

The Guardian reports that Iran is working to intentionally keep gas prices high in order to sabotage the GOP's midterm prospects.

u/Intelligent_Wafer562 — 2 months ago
▲ 30 r/YAPms

Zogby generic ballot poll: D+11, a 7-point increase for Democrats from April

u/dak676141 — 2 months ago
▲ 71 r/YAPms

Kamala Harris endorses Abdul El-Sayed

List of notable El-Sayed endorsements as of now:

Haley Stevens
Gretchen Whitmer
Mallory McMorrow
Kamala Harris
Elissa Slotkin
Gary Peters
Chuck Schumer
Kirsten Gillibrand

Obama endorsement probably coming soon, if I had to guess

u/dak676141 — 2 months ago
▲ 77 r/YAPms

Stevens, McMorrow, Whitmer, Slotkin, Peters, Schumer, and Gillibrand have all endorsed El-Sayed

u/dak676141 — 2 months ago
▲ 135 r/YAPms

Haley Stevens and Chuck Schumer have both endorsed Abdul El-Sayed

u/dak676141 — 2 months ago