How much backtesting is enough?
I've backtested a gold strategy from 2025 till now, having 1-2 trades per day, is this much enough to rely on it?
I've backtested a gold strategy from 2025 till now, having 1-2 trades per day, is this much enough to rely on it?
I've backtested a gold strategy from 2025 till now, having 1-2 trades per day, is this much enough to rely on it?
I've backtested a gold strategy from 2025 till now, having 1-2 trades per day, is this much enough to rely on it?
I backtested a strategy (completely automated so no emotions involved) for last 5 years and it includes 2621 trades as you can see in these images, but the thing is it started working well only from 2024 (I even backtested it for the last 10 years still wasn't good until after 2024).
So, my question is should I continue with this strategy and forward test it in demo or did I just get lucky for the 3 years with this strategy and it won't work in the future just like it didn't work before 2024?
I'd appreciate any help
I backtested a strategy (completely automated so no emotions involved) for last 5 years and it includes 2621 trades as you can see in these images, but the thing is it started working well only from 2024 (I even backtested it for the last 10 years still wasn't good until after 2024).
So, my question is should I continue with this strategy and forward test it in demo or did I just get lucky for the 3 years with this strategy and it won't work in the future just like it didn't work before 2024?
I'd appreciate any help
I backtested a strategy (completely automated so no emotions involved) for last 5 years and it includes 2621 trades as you can see in these images, but the thing is it started working well only from 2024 (I even backtested it for the last 10 years still wasn't good until after 2024).
So, my question is should I continue with this strategy and forward test it in demo or did I just get lucky for the 3 years with this strategy and it won't work in the future just like it didn't work before 2024?
I'd appreciate any help
I backtested a strategy (completely automated so no emotions involved) for last 5 years and it includes 2621 trades as you can see in these images, but the thing is it started working well only from 2024 (I even backtested it for the last 10 years still wasn't good until after 2024).
So, my question is should I continue with this strategy and forward test it in demo or did I just get lucky for the 3 years with this strategy and it won't work in the future just like it didn't work before 2024?
I'd appreciate any help
First of all, I know good results in backtesting doesn't equal to being profitable in live trading because the market behavior keeps on changing and also our emotions and charges and sllipage are involved, but still before entering into live market with any strategy it's important to see if it has worked before or not, so I was just wondering how many months of backtesting data is enough to be confident with our strategy?
For example, I backtested my gold strategy for the last 12 months and till December most months being around breakeven, some were average, including one month being in the loss, but from January it has worked fine and I in may it was quite average
I know gold changed a bit after the breakout in September
I risk 1% per trade with 1:4 rr
Loss month was -6%
Good months were around +30%
And average were around 15-20%
Total yearly return +225%
Should I go into live trading with this strategy or am I just delusional to think this is enough?
Thank you in advance for any advice 🙏