S&P and Nasdaq both closed at record highs today and the Fed minutes come out tomorrow.
Curious what everyone else is sitting on right now. Drop your ticker, strike and expiry, and whether you're holding through the minutes or getting out before.
Overtrading feels like the thing everyone does and nobody posts about. I started stopping after two losses and skipping days when I haven't done my DD, and my journal looks a lot better for it.
Do you cap your trades per day, or go by feel? Bonus points for your worst overtrading day.
Micron beat revenue, beat EPS, guided Q1 to $61.5B and MU still went red after hours.
Record quarter, raised the bar again on guidance, and the stock basically shrugged. If you were holding calls into this you're probably looking at IV crush on top of a small red move, so even the people who called the beat right might be down on the trade.
The ones who look smartest tonight are whoever sold premium into earnings, since a 1% move is nowhere near what the market was pricing in.
So I'm curious how everyone was positioned going in. Long calls, puts, straddle, selling premium, or sitting it out?
And for tomorrow, is this a dip you're buying or do you think the "priced in" crowd is right and there's more downside at open?
Zuck, Jensen, Musk, Pichai, Nadella, Bezos and co. had lunch with Trump and signed an "accord" to police themselves. Internal audits, outside reviewers, boards check the reports. Trump called it "morally binding." No new regulation, no slowdown.
META, NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN, AMD, PLTR and TSLA were all in the room.
Green light for AI calls or are you buying puts on the first rogue AI headline?
He covered all his AI shorts this week and moved into puts, saying his bubble timeline is now sooner than 2028. Apparently he also wants a hard selloff "for the benefit of humanity" to derail the OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs.
- MU: June 2027, ~$500 strike (stock ~$1,054)
- NBIS: June 2027, double digit strikes
- NVDA: Sept 2027, mid $100s
- PLTR: Sept 2027, low $100s
- SOXX: Sept 2027, low $400s
- ORCL: Dec 2027, mid double digits
- CAT: Dec 2027, ~$400
- MET: new LEAP puts in the $70s
The MU puts need the stock to roughly halve by next June, and the Nasdaq just closed at a record. He's been right on PLTR and ORCL so far though.
So is this finally the one or is he Squidward walking into the sunset again? Anyone actually tailing him, and how would you play it?
Recap for anyone who missed today. Crude ripped this morning after Trump rejected Iran's proposal to reopen Hormuz, with November WTI getting up to about $96.50. Then around midday Axios and CNN both reported, citing a US official, that he was willing to offer sanctions relief and release frozen funds if Iran made concrete progress on its nuclear program. Oil gave back its gains and briefly went red, and the indexes bounced off their lows on the back of it.
At 5:34pm ET, after the close, he posted on Truth Social calling the Axios story a hoax and saying he offered Iran "NOTHING."
I think stocks dump tomorrow. The only reason SPX and Nasdaq came off the lows today was that report, and now it's been flatly denied. If oil climbs back toward the morning highs, that's more inflation pressure on top of yields that are already sitting near their highs with people betting on another Fed hike in October. I don't see what's left holding the afternoon bounce up.
The counterargument is that CNN ran the same story from what sounds like the same official and hasn't walked it back, and Trump is still saying talks happen this week. If the market reads the post as posturing before negotiations, the open might not be as ugly as I'm expecting.
Anyone loading SPY or QQQ puts tonight, or do you think this gets shrugged off?
Video above. Straight from him: AI is "inaccurate," SI is "much more accurate," and he wants it everywhere from here on out.
Anyone actually positioning around this, or is it just noise on top of the AI Force news?
tech stocks went FLYING today, crypto joined the party, and checking my portfolio today actually felt good hahaha
It feels like I’ve joined tens of paid, “free,” and actually free Pokémon restock Discords over the past year. There are plenty of threads advertising these places, but almost no discussion of which ones to avoid. Probably because that’s terrible marketing for them.
So I figured I’d start one. Which servers have been worth it, and which were a waste of time or money?
Mostly curious about ping quality, whether alerts are first-hand or just lifted from elsewhere a few minutes late, and whether paid tiers actually deliver anything the free servers don’t. Mod teams and general vibe too.
Heads up, Walmart is doing a Tuesday drop tonight which is pretty unusual for them.
Two products going live at 9PM EST:
• Ascended Heroes Booster Bundle (~200k stock) -> walmart.com/ip/18728422476
• Prismatic Evolutions Mini Tin Display 8ct (~7k stock) -> walmart.com/ip/5984332803
Details:
• No Walmart+ required
• Max 5 per SKU
• Links won’t show MSRP until the queue goes live, don’t add to cart early, just refresh at drop time
Fair warning: Walmart’s bot protection is pretty weak so a chunk of stock on high-demand drops tends to get sniped.
Prismatic Evolutions in particular is low stock at ~7k units so expectations should be tempered.
Wanna join like-minded collectors in a close-know community? Join our free Discord: www.discord.gg/saffroncity
Good luck tonight! 🍀
Hey everyone! Just wanted to give a heads up that Best Buy has opened up invites for the Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box. If you’ve been trying to grab one at MSRP this is worth jumping on.
Why this set is worth it:
Prismatic Evolutions has been one of the most sought after sets in recent memory. The Eevee-lution theming is sought after and very pretty, the Special Illustration Rares are some of the best artwork we’ve seen in the entire Scarlet & Violet era, and demand has been insane since launch. ETBs have been nearly impossible to find at retail price so a Best Buy invite event is a genuine opportunity.
How the invite system works:
Sign in or create a Best Buy account and request your free invite
Download the Best Buy app and enable notifications for real time alerts
If selected, you’ll get 24 hours to purchase once the event goes live
Not selected right away? You stay on the list for future restocks
Selection criteria may include purchase history and membership status, so it’s not guaranteed but it’s completely free to enter so there’s no reason not to.
Direct link: Best Buy Prismatic Evolutions ETB Invite
Good luck everyone! 🙏 Please let me know if you get lucky!!
Target loaded the backend with new stock last night but didn't go live, and with the Yu-Gi-Oh Rarity Collection 5 (RC5) street date being tomorrow (April 17th), all signs point to a massive drop TONIGHT.
Expected Window: 1:00 AM – 3:00 AM EST
⚡ Pokémon Expected Links
The Booster Bundles are the priority here, expect them to sell out in minutes.
• Ascended Heroes Booster Bundle ($29.99) Direct Link
• First Partners Deluxe Pin Collection ($29.99) Direct Link
• Mega Emboar ex Box ($24.99) Direct Link
• Perfect Order 3-Booster Blister ($14.99) Direct Link
🃏 Yu-Gi-Oh! Rarity Collection 5
RC5 is finally here. If you're hunting for those high-rarity pulls, this is the drop you've been waiting for.
• RC5 Booster Display Box (24 Packs) — $143.99 Direct Link
Pro-Tip for the Pulls: Keep an eye out for Super, Ultra, Secret, Starlight, and Platinum Secrets. If you're lucky, you'll hit those Target-exclusive Prismatic-style Ultimate & Collector’s Rares.
Good luck everyone! Get those products added to your "Saved for Later" or "Favorites" now to speed up the checkout process. 🍀
Want to know where to find Pokémon cards for your lovely kiddos this week? I've got the latest boots-on-the-ground updates for your hunt.
💲 Family Dollar
They’ve been stocking a surprising variety of Pokémon lately! Keep an eye out for:
Pro-Tip: Not every store will have all products. Most stores are friendly and will let you know what's in stock if you call ahead politely!
😷 CVS + Walgreens
Drugstores are coming through!
‼️ Walgreens Top Tip: Check online and place your order for pickup to confirm it's actually there: walgreens.com/search
💙 Sam’s Club
Across the US, Sam's Club had Black Bolt and White Flare Binder/Poster Collections at opening, TODAY, April 14, for $39.98.
💛 Best Buy
Best Buy stores have scanned in high stock for two specific items over the past 48 hours:
Definitely worth swinging by your local store to see if you get lucky.
⚠️ Reminder: Chaos Rising Pre-orders (the new set!)
Target & Walmart pre-orders for Chaos Rising should be live within the next week or two! Since the Pokémon Center US dropped yesterday, the big box retailers are usually right behind. Keep those notifications turned on! 📲
🚩 Where should you avoid?
We’d always recommend thinking twice before purchasing at Macy’s, GameStop and Dick’s Sporting Goods.
These retailers often charge DOUBLE or TRIPLE the MSRP. Don't pay the "convenience tax" unless you're desperate!
Happy hunting, Pokémon Parents! Let me know in the comments what you're finding in your area. 🕵️♂️📦
Chaos Rising SKUs appear to have been loaded on PKC right now and the queue went live as of a few minutes ago! Get in here with us and score your preorders!!
Walmart is dropping several hard-to-find Pokemon products tonight. Stock is rumored to be under 1,000 units per item, other than the newest set, Perfect Order, so act fast.
Here’s what you need to know:
Key tip: Refresh at exactly 8:59:59 PM EST
Available Items:
* Prismatic Evolution Elite Trainer Box
* Perfect Order Elite Trainer Box
* Perfect Order Booster Bundle
* Mega Lucario EX Figure Box
* Black Bolt Tech Sticker
* White Flare Tech Sticker
* White Flare Binder
* Charizard EX Special Collection
* Cynthia’s Garchomp EX Premium Collection
Tips to maximize your chances:
Good luck tonight, all! ♥️
I found a digital binder feature for Pokémon TCG collectors and my kid has been obsessed with it during Spring Break (me too, honestly).
I wanted to share a website I’ve been using called Saffron City. It has an easy to use digital binder feature that lets kids (and let’s be honest, us parents too) organize their Pokémon card collections online.
My son already made his first binder on my account called “Birds” and filled it with 35 cards, most that he doesn’t have yet. He picked Piplup, Articuno, Swanna, Skarmory, and more. Watching him curate his own themed collection without any help was honestly the highlight of my week :’)
It’s been a great way to get him engaged with the hobby digitally, especially for cards he hasn’t pulled yet (or we can’t afford!!). He’s really enjoyed “collecting” cards he sees at tournaments or in friends’ collections and has added them to a wishlist binder too.
Highly recommend checking it out if you’re looking for a fun way to keep your little collector organized! Has anyone else tried it?
Whether your kid just tore open their first booster pack or has been begging you for a specific card or set for months, I’ve been there. Here are the top tips I swear by for getting cards for my son:
Where to Buy:
* CVS, Walgreens, Five Below, and Family Dollar are your best friends. They often carry booster packs at or only slightly above MSRP.
* Local game stores (LGS) are underrated! Staff are often knowledgeable and genuinely helpful. My LGS reserves 50% of sealed product for under-12s at MSRP, and my son joined a Pokémon league there too.
* Avoid Facebook Marketplace and eBay sellers for sealed product. Prices are inflated and packs can be tampered with.
* Join a Discord alert service for real-time retailer restocks and live purchase links. Hands down my #1 “Mom win” and it’s how I scored product directly from Pokémon Center US.
What to Spend:
* A standard booster pack should cost $4–$5. Seeing $10+? Walk away.
* Booster bundles (MSRP $29.99) and Elite Trainer Boxes (MSRP $49.99–$54.99) often offer better value per dollar than single packs.
* Set a budget before you hit the store. We all know kids have a gift for finding the $80 item!
Red Flags:
* Anyone selling “guaranteed hits” as that’s not how this works!
* “Rare lot” listings with no individual card values listed.
* Beware of FOMO! New sets are often scalped shortly after release at extortionate prices. Don’t fall victim to the hype, patience will pay off and product often restocks.
* Prices 2–3x above MSRP at retail stores in person and online. Top perpetrators are GameStop and Macy’s!
Talk to Your Kid:
The best thing you can do is learn a little. Ask them what set they’re collecting, what their favorite Pokémon is, what cards they still need. I get so much from sharing in this hobby with my son, and he’s even taken to designing his own cards!
Use This Community:
Post a photo, ask a price check, share a find. No question is too basic here, we were all beginners once.
Drop your own tips in the comments, what do you wish someone had told you at the start? mo