u/riverfish72

With the relative inexperience of the team's staff, the crunch on IP is going to get real over the next 75 games.

75 regular season games; with a standard 5-man, 15 starts each.

At minimum (5 IP/ start) that's 75 IP needed from each SP, or more accurately 375 total SP innings- anything less and that bullpen is going to be in absolute tatters (and it would be stretched hard at that rate). Better would be a total of ~400-410 IP from SP. Then there are the playoff starts...

Assuming an organizational target of 30% IP increase over previous season, which saves some IP for playoffs:

Miz- career max 141 IP. Target would be 185 regular season. He is at 104 IP; perhaps they let him go 80 IP over 13 starts (close to his current pace of 6.1 IP/ start)

Harrison- career max 124. He's going to have to hold up, and looking at 165 IP. He's at 79.2; has 85 IP left. Maybe he makes all 15 starts and gets 75 IP.

He's averaged 5 IP/ start thus far.

Sproat- 142 last year; target similar to Miz at 185 IP. He's at 75; this is the guy that could be a linchpin if he could provide depth into games reliably, a theoretic 110 IP left, more realistically maybe he takes all 15 starts and gets 75 IP.

Henderson- he threw 113 IP total last year, at 47 this year. But with the injury woes, let's say he's not on track for a significant increase. 70 IP left... 12 starts, 60 IP?

Gasser threw 48 last year; he's already at 62. Pre-TJ he'd been at 135, twice.

Drohan topped at 130 IP before injury erased 2024; he threw 54 in 2025, is at 70 already this year.

Between those two, maybe 18 starts and 90 IP?

Puts them both at 110-115 IP. Maybe too aggressive.

That's 73 starts, 380 IP... close to the minimum target, and achieved if Crow and/or Hall take the ball a few times. BUT that's if absolutely nothing goes wrong, and the bullpen doesn't turn into a pile of goo. Under that scenario the pen is being asked to throw four+ innings almost every game, and one should assume somebody is going to miss some time.

In my mind it would be helpful to add a veteran SP who could take the ball every fifth day and give them 5+, and sometimes 6+ innings. They don't have to be all-star innings, just efficient, "good enough" innings, so that Miz/ Harrison & co. have a lot more left in the tank headed into the playoffs. And then bring Woody back.

Bandbox ballpark, temps in the 90s, double-digit winds blowing out again tonight, and the one homer-prone regular SP on the Brewers' staff starting... we've all got the under, right? 😂

The slide started last September- 237/302/368, and then he was utterly lost at the plate in the playoffs (161/206/194) and has not been the same since.

There are flashes, but overall it's been tough to watch a formerly reliable and eminently likeable player struggle so much. I notice a lot more swinging out of his shoes than I remember- that damn swing-so-hard he falls down cut, but maybe it was always there with better results? Or does he know that the two guys behind him can't hit, so he got it into his head that he has to be one of the "sluggers?"

The offense is incredibly productive despite three black holes, but that does not seem like a sustainable course, and leaves the team vulnerable if one of the productive guys goes down.

A July trip- 3 adults, 2 10 yo kids. Four of us from out of town, one from PNW.

Staying 4 days/3 nights b/t PA and Sequim, bopping around things up there- Dungeness, Hurricane, Sol duc, Salt Creek, Crescent Lake.

Then headed to LaPush. Have a wilderness permit for a night @ 2nd beach. We'll arrive early afternoon, backpack in, and spend the day/ night/ next morning there. Then pack out & one of the adults heads home .

Now... it's lunchtime on a Monday at LaPush. Goal is to be in Portland by about 7 PM Tuesday...

Where to go & what to do?

Try to camp another night near Hoh or between Hoh & Quinault? Drive to some place you know about but I've never heard of?

Going to be hard to get my kids off the beach; they'll always go for more of that. But traveling 2000 mi, seems like rainforest shouldn't be missed. We don't care much about direct routes; if I could swing through Aberdeen & see Under the Bridge I would happily drag the fam with me... could either camp somewhere, cheap hotel, air b&b- really flexible for where we sleep Monday night.

61 levels later I learned the encounters aren't random, and just how many varieties there are 🤦‍♂️. No idea which I've transferred.

But down to needing these variants:

Sandstorm

Icy Snow

Monsoon

Sun

Tundra

Would love adds from those regions!

I'm in Polar, not that exciting, but do travel & collect gifts from wherever I go.

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